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Jay H Jay H is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: WI, US
Posts: 649
I'll throw my $.02 and guesses in...

I remember the C4's introduction in 1988. That was written up as an incredible car and definitely was the 911's biggest change up until that point, maybe even rivaling the 993 to 996 changes... I read auto mags more than once call the outgoing 3.2's pretty dated cars and it was time for Porsche to update the 911.

In 15 years, the Boxster will be just like the current 944/924. It will probably be too expensive to fix an abused, high mile car so resale values might be very low on these. Nice cars will only be a few thousand more, so unless you want a project 986, you'll just wait for a nice one to come around. Porsche built too many 986's to have many be collectible.

The 996 and 997 WILL get down to the enthusiast buyers. I bet there will be some guys/gals that grew up lusting for a 996 and will view the older air cooled cars as too old for their taste. The aftermarket will be in full gear on these cars with probably many mods to extract more power than what we can do currently. I just spent 2 hours driving a 2002 C4S yesterday, and man, it was a fun ride after I got used to it. It's still a sports car...

I would assume Porsche will stop supporting the parts for even 3.2's and 964's as time marches on.

The long hood 911's probably will get too expensive (hard to find parts and expensive parts) for daily driving cars. The 2.7's, SC and 3.2's will also be getting up there in age and less and less will be drivers and more and more will either get parted out/junked, left in tatters (but still running!) or become more of a weekend, fun car. More and more will be restored to better than new and spend their lives trailered to shows or driven only on sunny Sundays (kinda like 356's and really early 911's are now). I do feel the SC's and 3.2's will really last quite awhile (due to the better rust protection and bullet proof construction). Again, bad cars will cost too much to restore as compared to just buying an already restored or well preserved car to begin with.

The 964's will continue to suffer the same fate as the 2.7 cars. People will dismiss them as problematic, too complicated and resale values will probably fall below 3.2's and 993's. Though I still feel the 1993 and 1994 model year 964's are some of the more bullet proof 911's ever built and are a great value for the performance you get (but I'm a biased 964 owner...).

It remains to be seen how the 993 will fare, since I've been reading about more and more carbon buildup problems (or whatever that emissions problem is called) on 993 boards on the web. That expensive problem may or may not affect the 993's high current image in the 911 world.

The electronic brains in 964's and 993's will probably be pretty well decoded in 15 years and I bet there will be simple software available for diagnosis and warning light resetting right from a laptop or whatever device we'll be using then (making the more and more rare 'hammer' less and less needed).

I would bet too that to get our aging cars serviced, we'll have to most likely go to specialty shops that are very focused on these early cars. Less and less Porsche dealers will even care to service a 35 year old 1985 Carrera 3.2... Most mechanics will be born well after that car was introduced and probably wouldn't have the first clue as to how to fix stuff. "What do you mean I can't hook up a PC to it and fix the faults?"

I'd hate to have an early 996... Those will be labled right up there with 2.7's and early 964's due to their teething problems. More low resale values. High mileage early 996's are already below $30k. I bet they will sink much further (below $20k mark???)...

All in all, I would guess the '87 to '89 3.2's will always be in high demand as the 'classic 911', possibly the 993's as well (especially the '97 and '98 model years). I doubt good 911's will ever fall below the $10,000 mark (regardless of age) and like we all say, a good 911 is always at least a $20,000 car by the time you are done...

Sorry for the length...

Jay
90 964

Last edited by Jay H; 12-16-2004 at 02:53 PM..
Old 12-16-2004, 02:38 PM
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