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A Man of Wealth and Taste
 
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Your Lookin At SP 500 Going Down To 2000

Support levels have broken down and everything gained in Equities since T got elected could be wiped clean? That means SP500 at 2100. That is where the next level of support lies. The Feb low was 2581..

This is more of a consternation over the FED abandoning an accomodative policy and leaving Equities to the vagaries of a totally dysfunctional political process. That means the American people themselves are to blame because they tolerate such nonsense in their elected officials and government.

That will make everyone's day.


Last edited by tabs; 12-10-2018 at 08:25 AM..
Old 12-10-2018, 08:10 AM
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Did you think the irrational exuberance was gonna last? Equities are simply returning to proper evaluations...minus the "juice" imo, and it's far from over...
Old 12-10-2018, 08:20 AM
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Old 12-10-2018, 08:22 AM
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Does this mean air-cooled Porsche's will go up or down in value?
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Old 12-10-2018, 08:22 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jim Richards View Post
I can't....
Old 12-10-2018, 08:30 AM
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Originally Posted by 996AE View Post
Does this mean air-cooled Porsche's will go up or down in value?
Absolutely!
Old 12-10-2018, 08:30 AM
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The market does what the market does. What you do should depend on your age and tolerance of risk.
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Old 12-10-2018, 08:35 AM
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How long before the Stock Market ruins property values?

What's the time lag on this?

Found this:

Could stock market volatility cause house prices to fall?

Published: Oct 10, 2018
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-one-thing-you-dont-need-to-worry-about-during-the-market-volatility-2018-02-06
Quote:
Amid the stock market’s volatility on Wednesday, experts will once again look for the bubble that might burst into the next recession. But housing experts say that real estate is unlikely to be the culprit this time around.....................................

But experts argue that concerns of a real estate bubble, insofar as housing is concerned, are overplayed.................

The housing market is unlikely to hurt the stock market much this time around. On the other hand, continued stock market volatility or a cooling equities could have an effect on home-buying activity.........................

Mortgage rates have rebounded this year, and continue climbing. If rates were to continue to rise much higher, it could put a damper on the home price appreciation occurring in some markets, since prospective buyers would be less inclined or able to buy homes at such high prices, Blomquist said..............
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Last edited by kach22i; 12-10-2018 at 08:41 AM..
Old 12-10-2018, 08:38 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KC911 View Post
Absolutely!
Lol...
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Old 12-10-2018, 08:40 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KC911 View Post
Did you think the irrational exuberance was gonna last? Equities are simply returning to proper evaluations...minus the "juice" imo, and it's far from over...
Without the juice means SP 1400. That means your cooked..whether you have exposure or not. Without the juice the Depression of 08 would never have ended. So that is when the irrational exuberance began.

My doom and gloom scenario is beginning to look mighty fine right about now. Which means that I never thought it would last..that gravity would prevail.
Old 12-10-2018, 08:41 AM
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So you have one thread saying the market will surge since the Fed said nice things, now you are claiming we're dropping to 2000?

You should be on TV with accurate predictions like those!
Old 12-10-2018, 08:51 AM
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tabs, the weather bunny?
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Old 12-10-2018, 08:52 AM
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Someone let me know when I should run outside and scream like my ass is on fire.
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Old 12-10-2018, 09:00 AM
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Originally Posted by cabmando View Post
Someone let me know when I should run outside and scream like my ass is on fire.
You'll know....I sure did..three times already....no mas

Every ten years or so....it just happens...

'87, '99, '08, '19....

Last edited by KFC911; 12-10-2018 at 09:19 AM..
Old 12-10-2018, 09:15 AM
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A Man of Wealth and Taste
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biosurfer1 View Post
So you have one thread saying the market will surge since the Fed said nice things, now you are claiming we're dropping to 2000?

You should be on TV with accurate predictions like those!
I said the Dow surged 400 pts on Dovish comments by the Fed..which indicates that the power lies with the FED and not in the political process anymore. And I didn't want to hear anymore stupidity about it.

Read critically.

I raised a red flag in late June about the psychology of Equities chaging when Powell raised interest rates and Equities sank. I had a wait and let's see attitude. Equities have become increasingly choppy since then.

Recently I have said there is an uncertainty and confusion that has caused traders to hesitate from piling back in, now it is a wait and see attitude. They are protecting the money..

We have bounced off 2585 which was a bit above the 2581 low in Feb. We will see what today's close is...today could be the low and a rally follows??? Or if we break lower than 2581???

Below 2581 well your next stop would around 2100. That's why I say 2000. I watch support levels as psychological bench marks.

As I said the animal spirits talk to me and they are scared of falling off a cliff today.
Old 12-10-2018, 09:38 AM
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Quote:
Your Lookin At SP 500 Going Down To 2000
LOL you been sayin that since it was at 1800
Old 12-10-2018, 09:55 AM
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It looks like we bounced but who knows.
Old 12-10-2018, 11:01 AM
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Put some measurables on it, 2000 by when? I'll grant you some grace, ballpark it for me.

I'm not saying you're wrong but that would be an historic free-fall if your time frame is tight.
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Old 12-10-2018, 01:36 PM
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Old 12-10-2018, 01:47 PM
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A wild market day for sure. Starts off down over 500 on the DOW, closes under 100 up. Crazy volatility. Not a clue what to make of it.

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Old 12-10-2018, 02:06 PM
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