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-   -   Mutual fund performance this year? (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1052632-mutual-fund-performance-year.html)

Baz 02-14-2020 06:17 AM

Mutual fund performance this year?
 
I have a friend who's mutual fund account went from $100,022.50 to $87,270.38 in 2019.

A loss of $12,752.12.

From the statement looks like stocks are grouped into three categories - all Invesco Oppenheimer Rochester acquired in 2008.

I'm not very well versed in the stock market other than what I hear in the news in general terms.

Seems like my friend's account should be increasing given the positive direction of the market.

I did go back to these two threads:

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1020645-financial-advisor.html

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1041465-learning-invest.html

....but also wanted to drill down on this specific situation for input from the brain trust here.

Thanks!

MBAtarga 02-14-2020 06:25 AM

Did they withdraw funds on Jan 2nd in the amount of about $30K ?

That "loss" makes no sense...

Sooner or later 02-14-2020 06:27 AM

Muni tax free? It should be up. I am with MBA. Wirhdrawal?

https://www.invesco.com/us/financial-products/mutual-funds/product-detail?fundId=31989

GG Allin 02-14-2020 06:36 AM

I've got a very diverse mix of mutual funds that gained 24.85% from 01-01-19 to 12-31-19

I suspect everyone else had similar returns.

You would have had to try very hard to lose money last year.

DonDavis 02-14-2020 06:37 AM

That's entirely too general of a question. Too many variables at play.

Sure, mine are cruising along nicely, but the term "mutual fund" is getting bastardized quite a bit over the last few years.

I'd have them go to https://www.daveramsey.com/smartvestor?int_cmpgn=no_campaign&int_dept=elp_bu& int_lctn=Homepage-Buckets&int_fmt=button&int_dscpn=HP_Bucket_2_SV_12 2619

Find one that's local, have a meeting. Costs nothing to just talk it out.

If your question is about learning what MF are and how they work, go there as well.

Highly recommended.

Baz 02-14-2020 06:45 AM

Maybe I'm not reading the statement correctly?

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1581695069.jpg

sammyg2 02-14-2020 06:57 AM

It's all about timing, take a look at the fund when they bought it (2008) and where it is now. It took a HUUUUUUUUUGE dump in 2008 right after they bought it and never fully recovered. it's been doing OK for the past 2 years but before that it totally sucked.

There are a go-zillion different mutual funds out there, most do well. Some do not.These are tax-free municipal bond funds, extremely conservative to a fault.
Is your neighbor managing this for themselves? If so, I suggest they consult a pro.

If they are working with a pro and this is the result, they need a better advisor.
Heck, I could do better than that and I know nuthin.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1581695852.jpg

biosurfer1 02-14-2020 06:59 AM

Doesnt that say it was acquired in 2008? Wouldn't the "original cost" be from 2008?

A quick check of the first fund, OPTAX, shows it went up ~12% last year

Sooner or later 02-14-2020 07:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sammyg2 (Post 10752546)
It's all about timing, take a look at the fund when they bought it (2008) and where it is now. It took a HUUUUUUUUUGE dump in 2008 right after they bought it and never fully recovered. it's been doing OK for the past 2 years but before that it totally sucked.

There are a go-zillion different mutual funds out there, most do well. Some do not.
Is your neighbor managing this for themselves? If so, I suggest they consult a pro.

If they are working with a pro and this is the result, that advisor belongs behind bars IMO.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1581695852.jpg

Damn you Sammy. I was about to post the exact info but from Yahoo.

It is a load tax free muni bought just before the crash. My chart is the high yield fund

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/ORNAX/

sammyg2 02-14-2020 07:08 AM

Here's the part I really don't like (bedsides the turnover rate):

Expenses & Fees Expenses & Fees Additional Information
Exp Ratio (Gross) 1.19%
($11.90 per $1000)

Exp Ratio (Net) 1.19%
($11.90 per $1000)

Distribution and/or service fee(12b-1) Fees 0.25%

Loads
Front End Load 4.25%

Sooner or later 02-14-2020 07:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sammyg2 (Post 10752559)
Here's the part I really don't like (bedsides the turnover rate):

Expenses & Fees Expenses & Fees Additional Information
Exp Ratio (Gross) 1.19%
($11.90 per $1000)

Exp Ratio (Net) 1.19%
($11.90 per $1000)

Distribution and/or service fee(12b-1) Fees 0.25%

Loads
Front End Load 4.25%

On a bond fund. A huge part of return is going to fees.

ckelly78z 02-14-2020 07:48 AM

Holy crap....1.9% fees to lose 12.8% on the year. I am self managed in PLCGX, and made 29.8% in 2019 (it would have been a few points higher, except for a brain fart of mine in October).

With this same account, I am up 7.98% YTD in 2020.....this adviser should be shot for negligence, how can you lose money in this economy ?

cstreit 02-14-2020 08:03 AM

Even a trained monkey could have picked positive stocks the last two years. A LOSS? Wow. and 1.9% fees? Way high.

Sooner or later 02-14-2020 08:05 AM

The fund was up in 2019. The loss is due to buying just before the 2008 crash.

RWebb 02-14-2020 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sammyg2 (Post 10752559)
Here's the part I really don't like (bedsides the turnover rate):

Expenses & Fees Expenses & Fees Additional Information
Exp Ratio (Gross) 1.19%
($11.90 per $1000)

Exp Ratio (Net) 1.19%
($11.90 per $1000)

Distribution and/or service fee(12b-1) Fees 0.25%

Loads
Front End Load 4.25%

I am sorry but your friend got screwed. Read sammy's other posts - Vanguard & Fidelity & others offer good bond funds and will not screw him with fees.

Besides the load, the exp. ratio is high for a bond fund. It would be fine for an actively managed foreign stock fund...

brainz01 02-14-2020 12:07 PM

Hang on, it's not as bad as it looks:

It's worth noting that those funds pay a big distribution. A quick check on Yahoo Finance suggests that including the distributions, your friend's total return is likely closer to 100% (i. e., around a double on initial investment) since the original investment date.

I agree with others, however, that the management fees on those funds are high.

Baz 02-14-2020 01:37 PM

Thanks for all the replies so far.

wildthing 02-14-2020 02:18 PM

Municipal bonds weren't too hot last year... How close is this person to retirement? I have 20 years more at least and have almost nothing in bonds.

fintstone 02-14-2020 04:04 PM

I would expect a return more like this one (index fund). 10-12% per year on the average...even including 2008. Time/Long term is your friend.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1581728574.JPG

Sooner or later 02-14-2020 04:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fintstone (Post 10753061)
I would expect a return more like this one (index fund). 10-12% per year on the average...even including 2008. Time/Long term is your friend.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1581728574.JPG

You are showing a stock chart and the investment was in a tax free muni. We don't know what he was looking for. He might have wanted income. He might have used it for his bond part of the portfolio and he had 95% already in stocks. We don't know his age or current income. We don't know his risk tolerance. Too many unanswered questions to determine if a bond fund was the right move. I don't like the choice due to expenses and his timing might not have been the best. On the other hand he might have sold off a bunch of stock at a large profit prior to the crash and put it into a bond fund to limit risk.

RWebb 02-14-2020 04:30 PM

yes, we don't know if a bond fund was the right move


we do know that this bond fund was a wrong move

most people should never worry about timing the market (if you do try to time the market do it with OPM and charge well - and do not base the charge on your performance...)

Sooner or later 02-14-2020 04:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RWebb (Post 10753080)
yes, we don't know if a bond fund was the right move


we do know that this bond fund was a wrong move

most people should never worry about timing the market (if you do try to time the market do it with OPM and charge well - and do not base the charge on your performance...)

Isn't that what I said?

I do agree that trying to time the market is a mistake. Taking profits after a big run up is not.

fintstone 02-14-2020 05:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sooner or later (Post 10753068)
You are showing a stock chart and the investment was in a tax free muni. We don't know what he was looking for. He might have wanted income. He might have used it for his bond part of the portfolio and he had 95% already in stocks. We don't know his age or current income. We don't know his risk tolerance. Too many unanswered questions to determine if a bond fund was the right move. I don't like the choice due to expenses and his timing might not have been the best. On the other hand he might have sold off a bunch of stock at a large profit prior to the crash and put it into a bond fund to limit risk.

Whatever he was looking for...he would have been off to better to look here.

pwd72s 02-14-2020 05:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GG Allin (Post 10752518)
I've got a very diverse mix of mutual funds that gained 24.85% from 01-01-19 to 12-31-19

I suspect everyone else had similar returns.

You would have had to try very hard to lose money last year.

About what a no load total market fund yielded...

jyl 02-15-2020 06:38 AM

Those are muni bond funds. Most of you are comparing their performance to equity (stock) funds. Apples and oranges.

Not clear that they actually declined in value last year. They have declined in value since they were purchased.

The management fees are too high, for a bond fund.

He could sell these funds, realize a tax loss to offset some other taxable income (consult accountant) and replace with a different muni bond fund(s) if that is the asset class he wants to own. Or with something else.

Sooner or later 02-15-2020 06:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jyl (Post 10753398)
Those are muni bond funds. Most of you are comparing their performance to equity (stock) funds. Apples and oranges.

Not clear that they actually declined in value last year. They have declined in value since they were purchased.

The management fees are too high, for a bond fund.

He could sell these funds, realize a tax loss to offset some other taxable income (consult accountant) and replace with a different muni bond fund(s) if that is the asset class he wants to own. Or with something else.

Yep
Yep
Yep
And yep

flatbutt 02-15-2020 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Baz (Post 10752492)
I have a friend who's mutual fund account went from $100,022.50 to $87,270.38 in 2019.

A loss of $12,752.12.

From the statement looks like stocks are grouped into three categories - all Invesco Oppenheimer Rochester acquired in 2008.

I'm not very well versed in the stock market other than what I hear in the news in general terms.

Seems like my friend's account should be increasing given the positive direction of the market.

I did go back to these two threads:

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1020645-financial-advisor.html

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1041465-learning-invest.html

....but also wanted to drill down on this specific situation for input from the brain trust here.

Thanks!

It's not really a loss unless he surrenders the bonds, till then it's just a drop in value. It could recover.


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