arcsine |
05-06-2020 01:14 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by HardDrive
(Post 10853709)
Base on what I have said above, one has to wonder about increased herd immunity of the Indian population.
Lastly, Indians are very family oriented. Its not uncommon for people to hang out only with their family, or their cousins. Less external socialization means fewer vectors to the disease to spread.
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It is impossible to have any level of herd immunity against a newly introduced virus. There may be a level of 'robustness' of the Indian immune response that enables them to mount a response more quickly. However there are time-delays built into the system that the response will still be measured in weeks.
Word on the street is this first wave of COVID-19 has lead to an approximately 10% exposure in populations as measured by either death or the formation of anti-COVID-19 antibodies. The other 90% of the still naive population will have to wait until stay-at-home restrictions are removed and we become social again and we get exposed. Or a vaccine is developed. The data seems to indicate that the presence of antibodies alone is not predictive of immunity which raises a question of the efficacy of a vaccine.
The relative isolation of the Indian population is a large factor in the low death rates seen. That, and as in most countries, the fidelity of the reporting is suspect.
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