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CDC's job is to propose common sense solutions to understand the current CV and prepare for the next, based on really simple systems engineering and modelling practices. I think we'll get there. At least a part of me does. |
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Good read. Thank you Shaun. SmileWavy |
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That is what contact tracing does. US has medical privacy laws so you aren't seeing the results. Public health personnel have aggregate data. The virus (like all pathogens) is under selection pressure to evolve to less virulence but we don't really know that it has, and it may never do so. CFR going down is very likely due to demographic changes in infections. |
The challenge with the death statistics is that they are over inflated. In at least some states, anyone who dies regardless of the cause of death who tests positive for Covid in the postmortem is classified as a Covid death. So if I die in a car accident today and then test positive, I’m added to the statistics. A more meaningful measure would be to track total deceased positives AND deaths where Covid was the primary cause of death. Because many of the local cases, particularly in nursing homes, were people basically in the verge of death already.
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