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-   -   2008 vs 2020 (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1078129-2008-vs-2020-a.html)

Zeke 11-15-2020 03:48 PM

Sorry but I have to throw 2021 into the equation. No, we don't know for sure how things will be in the 11th month of 2021 but my guess is if you asked the same question this time next year, 2021 will dominate the poll.

We're in deepsiht but we don't feel it — yet.

93nav 11-15-2020 04:04 PM

All the info I have seen on excess deaths point to there being more, like 30% +/-.

Quote:

Originally Posted by ficke (Post 11103664)
As for the 200,000 plus who died from covid in 2020? The over all death rate in the US could, and most likely went down in 2020, with the lock down there was much less driving and the related car accidents, business were shut down and the related work place accidents were lessened. And of course the transfer of diseases was lessened in 2020 , so even with the highly contagious covid, was there less over all deaths from infectious diseases in the US from 2020 than other years? easily could be what we find out when the numbers are all tallied. I think the jury is still out on if death rate was unusually high during 2020 in the US compared to previous years discounting war deaths.


93nav 11-15-2020 04:06 PM

I voted for 2008, I think a lot of people never recovered from that either financially or mentally. Though I can certainly see 2020/2021 being worse.

Instrument 41 11-15-2020 07:28 PM

2020, not just from Covid but Oil crashing right before Covid ,that combined with the economical hit to small business's operating on thin margins and now we are seeing number of closures. 2020 by far.

black73 11-16-2020 05:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ficke (Post 11103664)
As for the 200,000 plus who died from covid in 2020? The over all death rate in the US could, and most likely went down in 2020, with the lock down there was much less driving and the related car accidents, business were shut down and the related work place accidents were lessened. And of course the transfer of diseases was lessened in 2020 , so even with the highly contagious covid, was there less over all deaths from infectious diseases in the US from 2020 than other years? easily could be what we find out when the numbers are all tallied. I think the jury is still out on if death rate was unusually high during 2020 in the US compared to previous years discounting war deaths.

Yes, the jury is still out but the preliminary numbers suggest you are incorrect.

"The over all death rate in the US could, and most likely went down in 2020"

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid19/excess_deaths.htm

"with the lock down there was much less driving and the related car accidents"

https://usa.streetsblog.org/2020/08/31/roadway-deaths-are-way-higher-than-normal-report/

"business were shut down and the related work place accidents were lessened."

Construction, manufacturing and essential work, the really dangerous jobs, carried on as usual for the most part. Healthcare became a life threatening profession for many. I doubt you will see a great reduction in work related deaths.

jcommin 11-16-2020 05:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 93nav (Post 11104369)
I voted for 2008, I think a lot of people never recovered from that either financially or mentally. Though I can certainly see 2020/2021 being worse.

I took a beating in 1999 - 2000 financially. I recovered but not fully when 2008 hit me. To compound that I was going thru a ugly divorce that didn't get settled until 2010. Adding other things that life can throw at you, I can say 2000- -2010 was the darkest days financially for me.

I dug out of a huge hole and got back on track. I am nowhere near what I thought I would have financially and I'm working longer than I wanted too ( I'm 70 yrs old). I'm fortunate - I'm still in a better spot than most. 2008 everyone took a hit, 2020 is different: jobs, business segments are taking a beating, some are doing well. My company is doing well.

I'm not sure 2008 changed the way I live as much as 2020 has. It will carry into 2021.

.

Porsche-O-Phile 11-16-2020 07:11 AM

I take exception to those above saying essentially that 2008 was easy or that we recovered quickly or recovered fine. None of those were / are true. We did not recover quickly (or “fine”) and it was not easy. I only reached my “break even” point digging out of the losses I suffered after 2008 in 2017. Nine years later. The opportunity cost of that “lost decade”? Doubtful I’ll ever recoup that. I’m glad I’m where I am and learned a lot but it galls me (and terrifies me) to hear people pooh-pooh 2008-09 like it was no big deal. That’s a perfect set-up for history to repeat when people have such short attention spans and memories...

That said, I think 2020 is worse overall in terms of the damage to our system, our society, our values and our psyche as a nation. It’s done incalculable damage in terms of mental and physical health to people, in addition to financial. Our kids are getting screwed with “lockdowns” and loss of access to social groups they need. The damage to our liberties is real - we’ve enabled and awakened tyrannical impulses in our “leaders” that will have severe after-effects for years, maybe even a couple of generations.

Worst of all, NOBODY has held the culpable parties accountable. Nobody. Not in / because of 2008 and not now. That’s very worrisome.


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