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-   -   Tourist mini sub missing off titanic (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1141939-tourist-mini-sub-missing-off-titanic.html)

Chocaholic 06-24-2023 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by berettafan (Post 12030450)
It's funny when i see public discussions on subjects i truly know about (tax for example) i am astonished at the level of ignorance (true meaning of the word) i see on display. I would imagine structural engineers are feeling the same about now.

Agree. I’m sure you enjoy reading confident expert tax policy analysis…which is wrong. It’s the confidence part that stands out. My limited knowledge is in diagnostic imaging. Not a frequent topic but it’s always interesting to read the words of “experts”.

Word to the wise. Believe nothing on face value.

berettafan 06-24-2023 10:38 AM

Choco it shakes your confidence in ALL media.

Mahler9th 06-24-2023 10:39 AM

"My limited knowledge is in diagnostic imaging."

More "the world is small."

I started in this field right after high school as a summer engineering student in the 70's..

Systems engineering.

GE.

Third summer I learned a lot about MFG support (GE CT/T 8800 production) and about ENG/MFG transfer (about to be released CT/T 9800).

I first learned about carbon fiber composites that summer (1980)... related to the construction of the CT/T 9800 CAT scanner.

Fourth summer, GE's first DSA system.

I learned a lot.

Seahawk 06-24-2023 10:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chocaholic (Post 12030459)
Word to the wise. Believe nothing on face value.

It is all:

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1687631895.jpg

There is, however, in this thread, some excellent insights (not me, duh).

Mahler9th 06-24-2023 10:57 AM

Perhaps of interest:

https://www.doermarine.com/?page_id=704

"The process of classing and peer review is another area where the Deepsearch Program is fundamentally different from experimental submersibles. There is much to be learned from experimentation; remarkable breakthroughs have been had via the ” let’s just do it” philosophy inventors sometimes embrace. Yet unless that information is shared and leveraged, it will always be limited in value. By engaging with a peer review body such as Lloyds, ABS, or GL, sub sea vehicles become inherently safer through the discipline of testing, record keeping and safety protocols. Even an experimental craft can be built to meet the intent of class which helps pave the way when a classed build is undertaken. Deepsearch and Ocean Explorer are both classed builds."

The company founder might likely be considered an expert. She was apparently the keynote speaker at a conference likely attended by one of my good friends just a few years ago.

Shortly after that time, Mr. Rush's company announced a raise of an additional $18m.

He was likely at the conference-- almost certainly.

Space exploration and deep sea exploration.... very different in this part of the 21st century and going forward.

Which provides a "better" dopamine release... speculating/commenting about these types of things, or forming questions and hypotheses and going on to learn?

Noah930 06-24-2023 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J-Mac (Post 12030293)
I have to believe that, deep down, he knew he was wrong.

Disagree. My guess is that deep down, he thought he knew better than those stodgy (sissy?) experts who told him he wasn't right. He thought he was right up until that hull creaked the moment before it imploded.

J-Mac 06-24-2023 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Noah930 (Post 12030531)
Disagree. My guess is that deep down, he thought he knew better than those stodgy (sissy?) experts who told him he wasn't right. He thought he was right up until that hull creaked the moment before it imploded.

True that, perhaps my tense was wrong…maybe, deep down, he knows he was wrong.

Superman 06-24-2023 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by berettafan (Post 12030450)
It's funny when i see public discussions on subjects i truly know about (tax for example) i am astonished at the level of ignorance (true meaning of the word) i see on display. I would imagine structural engineers are feeling the same about now.

I see the same thing in a different (different from taxation) popular topic.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chocaholic (Post 12030459)
.... It’s the confidence part that stands out....

Indeed. Certain and inflexible and arrogant confidence in topics only thinly understood while the actual experts are more circumspect.

Superman 06-24-2023 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seahawk (Post 12030464)
There is, however, in this thread, some excellent insights (not me, duh).

Like this. Like Seahawk here. Listening with humility. It shows far greater understanding that haughty confidence.

Alan A 06-24-2023 12:23 PM

And that’s why Mr Dunning and Mr Kruger got a paper published back in 2011.

FOG 06-24-2023 12:41 PM

I just have the ME degree and only used it as needed as a Marine after that. No PE.

I saw on the news a clip of people being bolted in. The guy doing it was using a ratchet vice torque wrench and was going around clock-wise vice a torque pattern. As this is car forum how many would not question this method of tightening the bubble?

S/F, FOG

otto_kretschmer 06-24-2023 01:11 PM

I'm a Scott Manley fan

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/qdz9vcSFBqw" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe>

speeder 06-24-2023 01:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by J-Mac (Post 12030545)
True that, perhaps my tense was wrong…maybe, deep down, he knows he was wrong.

Well, deep down is definitely where he was when he found out. So did they ever find out what the rhythmic sound patterns were? Darwin clapping?

Sorry…kind of soon.

stevej37 06-24-2023 02:04 PM

[QUOTE=speeder;12030587] So did they ever find out what the rhythmic sound patterns were? Darwin clapping?


From the Titanic.:eek:

Por_sha911 06-24-2023 02:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rawknees'Turbo (Post 12030096)
Adhesive for the end cap rings applied by hand with bondo spreaders, and apparently not done in a vacuum chamber and with the assembly spinning in order to evenly distribute the adhesive and lesson air bubbles in it (and with glue being the only fastener used? Wow!)- nutz, considering the intended use of that thing.

May I'm missing something but, since the vehicle was withstanding pressure from the outside, it doesn't need adheseive to hold the end caps in place. That's was was accomplished by the pressure of the ocean. The risk would be in the center of the body withstanding implosion.

Mahler9th 06-24-2023 02:25 PM

Perhaps of interest:

https://www.marinetechnologynews.com/news/manned-submersible-built-explore-551695

"The pressure vessel is comprised of two titanium hemispheres, two matching titanium rings, and a 56” diameter, 100” long carbon fiber wound cylinder – the largest such device ever built for use in a manned submersible. In this latest milestone event, the two titanium rings were permanently bonded to the ends of the carbon fiber wound center cylinder to form the core of the pressure vessel.

“The bonding of the titanium rings to the carbon fiber cylinder is a major milestone in the construction of Cyclops 2. The accuracy of the alignment and the integrity of the bonds were critical to maintaining exacting engineering tolerances,” said Tony Nissen, OceanGate’s Director of Engineering. “The precision we achieved guarantees that we have solid foundation to work with as we continue assembly of the sub.”

and:

https://www.compositesworld.com/news/oceangate-to-build-two-new-deep-sea-submersibles

https://www.compositesworld.com/articles/composite-submersibles-under-pressure-in-deep-deep-waters

"The design of the Cyclops 2 hull, says Spencer, is based in large part on the strategy applied to Fossett’s DeepFlight Challenger. Thickness, he says, was estimated using micromechanics, and then verified with finite element analysis (FEA). Modeling was done in SolidWorks (Dassault Systčmes, Waltham, MA, US) and analysis was done with COSMOS/M, supplied by Dassault Systčmes subsidiary Structural Research and Analysis Corp. (Santa Monica, CA, US).

The biggest challenge, Spencer reports, was developing a manufacturable design that “would produce a consistent part with no wrinkles, voids or delaminations.” And without use of an autoclave. Spencer opted for a layup strategy that combines alternating placement of prepreg carbon fiber/epoxy unidirectional fabrics in the axial direction, with wet winding of carbon fiber/epoxy in the hoop direction, for a total of 480 plies. The carbon fiber is standard-modulus Grafil 37-800 (30K tow), supplied by Mitsubishi Chemical Carbon Fiber & Composites Inc. (Irvine, CA, US). Prepreg was supplied by Irvine-based Newport Composites, now part of Mitsubishi Chemical Carbon Fiber & Composites Inc. The wet-winding epoxy is Epon Resin 682 from Hexion Inc. (Columbus, OH, US). The curing agent is Lindride LS-81K frLindau Chemicals Inc.cals (Columbia, SC, US).

Initial design work indicated that the hull, to be rated for 4,000m depth with a 2.25 safety factor, should be 114 mm thick or 4.5 inches, which OceanGate opted to round up to 5 inches (127 mm) to build in an additional safety margin."



At least one report I read suggested that some technical and scientific experts suggested that the finished DeepFlight Challenger should only be used once at Challenger Deep depth.

And I think Mr. Cameron referred to the DeepFlight Challenger in recent interviews, stating that he warned its second owner not to use it.

Mahler9th 06-24-2023 02:37 PM

Triton's 13k foot product with wings:

https://tritonsubs.com/subs/gullwing/?dc=ultradeep

Two-seater with ACRYLIC hull.

"The World’s Deepest Diving Acrylic Sub

The Triton 13000/2 Titanic Explorer is the only acrylic-hulled submersible commercially certified for dives in excess of 13,000 ft.

Like all other Tritons, it takes advantage of our exclusive manufacturing process to produce the world’s only completely colourless, optically perfect hulls.

Featuring zero-distortion, Triton hulls are the preferred choice of high-end filmmakers."



I wonder about the IP.

Mahler9th 06-24-2023 02:52 PM

Chart from Triton sales/marketing literature:



http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1687647135.jpg

Rawknees'Turbo 06-24-2023 03:03 PM

^^^

Over 26,000 pounds in weight - amazing! I'm guessing a VW Bus won't be able to tow it?!?! :D

otto_kretschmer 06-24-2023 05:44 PM

<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/4PUTbK5AqY8" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe>

some useful info from this video

The carbon fiber looks to be all hoops and no diagonals.

otto_kretschmer 06-24-2023 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mahler9th (Post 12030602)

[I]"The design of the Cyclops 2 hull, says Spencer, is based in large part on the strategy applied to Fossett’s DeepFlight Challenger. Thickness, he says, was estimated using micromechanics, and then verified with finite element analysis (FEA).

Bravo Sierra

FEA is an analysis, a computer model. You verify an analysis with a real test.

Mahler9th 06-24-2023 06:12 PM

Perhaps of interest:

Spencer Composites Corporation |

otto_kretschmer 06-24-2023 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mahler9th (Post 12030602)

The biggest challenge, Spencer reports, was developing a manufacturable design that “would produce a consistent part with no wrinkles, voids or delaminations.” And without use of an autoclave. Spencer opted for a layup strategy that combines alternating placement of prepreg carbon fiber/epoxy unidirectional fabrics in the axial direction, with wet winding of carbon fiber/epoxy in the hoop direction, for a total of 480 plies. The carbon fiber is standard-modulus Grafil 37-800 (30K tow), supplied by Mitsubishi Chemical Carbon Fiber & Composites Inc. (Irvine, CA, US). Prepreg was supplied by Irvine-based Newport Composites, now part of Mitsubishi Chemical Carbon Fiber & Composites Inc. The wet-winding epoxy is Epon Resin 682 from Hexion Inc. (Columbus, OH, US). The curing agent is Lindride LS-81K frLindau Chemicals Inc.cals (Columbia, SC, US).

Jebus Blinking Xrist

Stockton Rush didn't use an autoclave so the hull wasn't cured under pressure. And he mixed prepreg materials with room temp cure wet layup.

This guy had zero idea. An autoclave is a pressurized oven where you cure a composite part with heat and pressure. The pressure compacts the plies and removes air pockets and the heat cures the resin.

https://th.bing.com/th/id/OIP.RJ1sUm...376&h=305&rs=1

Most autoclaves are run around 100 psi and most common prepreg materials are cured around 250 F.

Room temp cure carbon fiber has about the same mechanical properties as room temp cure fiberglass when in compression.

Mahler9th 06-24-2023 06:18 PM

At least two US Navy NUKULAR subs are down in the North Atlantic... lives lost.

Implosions.

I suspect there are some weapons and reactor materials down there with them.

I suspect that much related knowledge has been gained, and tech developed since those two subs were lost, likely a good portion by US DOD.

Thoughts with family and friends of those lost.

Mahler9th 06-24-2023 06:23 PM

Well we have a thread poster that apparently knows more about composite engineering than the folks at for example Spencer Composites.

I have some tubes in my garage that I made without an autoclave and cured at room temp. Wet lay up.

One layer 5 oz CF/kevlar cloth, one layer baltek mat and one layer of CF/kevlar on the inside. Epoxy resin.

Just tightly wrapped and cured at room temp-- did not even use my vac bag rig.

One of these tubes is less than 1/8 thick and less than two inches in diameter. A 200 pound person can stand on this tube. As expected.

Rawknees'Turbo 06-24-2023 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by otto_kretschmer (Post 12030665)
. . .
some useful info from this video

The carbon fiber looks to be all hoops and no diagonals.

I wonder why they chose to layer the CF like a paper towels on a roll like that?

I am not a composites engineer or expert, but have done enough of that work (repairing aircraft nose bowls, wing tips, and so forth) to know that if you want strength, and are layering, you don't situate the fiber layers all in the same direction. Sure seems strange to me.

otto_kretschmer 06-24-2023 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rawknees'Turbo (Post 12030694)
I wonder why they chose to layer the CF like a paper towels on a roll like that?

I am not a composites engineer or expert, but have done enough of that work (repairing aircraft nose bowls, wing tips, and so forth) to know that if you want strength, and are layering, you don't situate the fiber layers all in the same direction. Sure seems strange to me.

It makes it faster. You lay more material for each pass of the arm. I was looking for the trough of resin that each TOW (string) must pass through to get inpregnated. It may be there but I couldn't tell. Prepreg material comes out of the box with the resin already squeegeed into the material. Its done at the vendor and placed in a vacuum sealed bag and frozen so it doesn't start curing. Normal shelf life is a year at 32 F or less.

otto_kretschmer 06-24-2023 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mahler9th (Post 12030686)

Looks like Stockton Rush got a mom and pop shop to do the composite part of the hull.

I bet Brian Spencer PhD now wishes he never answered the phone with Rush.

Rawknees'Turbo 06-24-2023 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by otto_kretschmer (Post 12030699)
It makes it faster. You lay more material for each pass of the arm. I was looking for the trough of resin that each TOW (string) must pass through to get inpregnated. It may be there but I couldn't tell. Prepreg material comes out of the box with the resin already squeegeed into the material. Its done at the vendor and placed in a vacuum sealed bag and frozen so it doesn't start curing. Normal shelf life is a year at 32 F or less.

It sure seems like the technique they used would have resulted in tons of air bubble pockets in the resin and between the layers. Amazing.

Rawknees'Turbo 06-24-2023 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by otto_kretschmer (Post 12030699)
It makes it faster. You lay more material for each pass of the arm. . . .

And quicker process means less cost, naturally. Damn, sure seems like a foolish time to pinch pennies, to me.

masraum 06-24-2023 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by speeder (Post 12030421)
So here is a really dumb question; why is there so much pressure as you go deeper in the ocean? Is it just the weight of all the water above you? At what depth does marine life cease to be present? Lastly, would humans just be obliterated at that depth/pressure? So there were never any intact human remains on the Titanic?

Pressure, yes, mostly the weight of the water above you, just like the air pressure that we all experience is due to the weight of the air above us.

Life finds a way. There's life in pretty much every inhospitable place that you can imagine, hot, cold, high pressure, poisonous gases and liquids. Not only is there a ton of pressure 2.5 miles down, but the water temp is only barely above freezing.
https://a-z-animals.com/blog/what-lives-at-the-bottom-of-the-mariana-trench/

Humans are mostly water. Water is mostly uncompressible. Anywhere in the body filled with air would compress if it didn't fill with water first. Humans would not be pulverized. When a person drowns at the surface the water fills what would normally be full of air and then the lesson is uncompressible.

Lots of folks think that a person would be squished to nothing because of the pressure. The only way we get squished like that is if or because we aren't subjected to high pressures uniformly, for instance, if a tornado drops a house on you.

red 928 06-24-2023 11:49 PM

it does wonders to a styrofoam cup though.

The sudden inrush of 6000 psi would certainly crush
and render a person unrecognizable as a person.
The air temperature would rise to unimaginable levels
due to compression,
but I'm not sure if there would be enough time to
incinerate flesh before being quenched by the water.

Captain Ahab Jr 06-25-2023 01:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by otto_kretschmer (Post 12030665)
<iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/4PUTbK5AqY8" title="YouTube video player" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe>

some useful info from this video

The carbon fiber looks to be all hoops and no diagonals.

Lot of design/manufacturing info. in this video ��

I see so many basic, fundamental, good practive composite design/manufacturing omissions

Without knowing the full history of what was done, the reasons why or how it failed it's impossible for speculate how it failed

Alan A 06-25-2023 05:16 AM

I can speculate with the best of them…

It failed because it wasn’t overbuilt sufficiently and with enough redundancy to withstand whatever happened to it between the design studio and the ocean floor.

Engineers tend to be cautious. Salesmen tend to look for quick, imperfect results.

A930Rocket 06-25-2023 05:41 AM

In the video, it look like there was may be 2 inches of engagement or overlap between the CF tube and the bulkhead. It's not much to my untrained eye.


Quote:

Originally Posted by Captain Ahab Jr (Post 12030784)
Lot of design/manufacturing info. in this video ��

I see so many basic, fundamental, good practive composite design/manufacturing omissions

Without knowing the full history of what was done, the reasons why or how it failed it's impossible for speculate how it failed


Superman 06-25-2023 06:41 AM

We certainly seem to have a great deal of expertise in CF submersibles capable of wi.thstanding pressures greater than 6000 psi. Captain Ahab is reluctant to pontificate, but what does he know, really?

masraum 06-25-2023 07:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by red 928 (Post 12030773)
The sudden inrush of 6000 psi would certainly crush
and render a person unrecognizable as a person.

How would the 6000psi crush a person? It's not like the 6000psi would hit them and press them against the side of the sub. Wouldn't the 6000psi press against them from every side and angle? And if it was pressing from every angle, wouldn't the body be mostly (except for the hollow filled with air in the lungs/throat) incompressible?

Superman 06-25-2023 08:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by masraum (Post 12030870)
.... Wouldn't the 6000psi press against them from every side and angle? And if it was pressing from every angle, wouldn't the body be mostly (except for the hollow filled with air in the lungs/throat) incompressible?

Yes and yes. And ears. The body parts containing no air will basically 'equalize' with the surrounding water.

I'm still struggling to wrap my head around 6000 psi. That would be 864,000 lbs/SF.

The SCUBA depth record is 1,060 ft. Pressures there are immense enough. I think the last guy who tried for the record did not resurface. It is well-known that liquids are not compressible and that a human body can withstand fairly extreme pressures, but one of the main problems with surviving this is nitrogen and also oxygen saturation. Decompression times can be VERY long. The record for diving in a diving bell is 2,200 ft.

The occupants of Titan would have seen much more extreme pressure and more importantly, would have seen it in the blink of an eye. The volume of air in a full pair of lungs would have been reduced to about the size of a pea.

fisher22 06-25-2023 08:58 AM

Now that this has gotten worldwide attention, some people who backed out of this adventure are chiming in about their concerns. Not sure at what point they backed out, but certainly by the time they read the waiver that the vehicle was not certified by any organization whatsoever.

Mind-boggling how smart/successful passengers would follow someone using basically a home made craft going into one of the most inhospitable places on our planet. And with a CEO salesman who challenged the certification process and then flat out refused to go through that process.

Still, sad how this group met their end.

Jeff Hail 06-25-2023 09:51 AM

Mythbusters did a gag a few years ago with a dive suit. They presurized the suit, took it down to 300 feet and then decompressed the suit to crush. Meatman liquified.

I can only imagine the mini-sub passengers became one with the force, or one with the sea as well.

<iframe width="1280" height="858" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/bicJkZaaUa4" title="Compressed Diver Suit Mythbusters Surviving 300 ft Shocking Results" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" allowfullscreen></iframe>


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