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“this model is an excellent tool for evacuation and recovery planning," the authors said.“ What evacuation? In 10-15 min? |
Hopefully no paywall (there wasn't for me):
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2015/07/pacific-northwest-earthquake-cascadia-fault-massive-destruction |
Oh yeah. When left Seattle 12 years ago, we had 2 houses. Our primary house was on a steep hill, known slide zone. The foundation has clearly been moving down hill, and the house was only 60 years old. We would have done better from a $ perspective if we had kept that house, it was in a very desirable area. But we sold, and kept our rental which is on very stable ground. For those in the area, I'm talking about Laurelhurst and Wedgwood.
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Does it affect my decisions? Abso-friggin-lutely.
I live in Arizona, largely due to the weather. Sure, it gets hot (not THAT hot where I live) but I have zero concerns about natural disasters. Granted, I type these words about a week after my house has been fully repainted after having a new roof put on due to a hailstorm last month...but that was a freak occurrence and was no danger. No way could I bring myself to live in a place that could be wiped out any given "weather event." |
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You know, I bet there is a (small) market for drop-in turn-key survival bunkers. Topic for another thread. |
Personally I'm waiting for the next Asteroid to hit me right between the eyes.
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Yes. When looking for land to build on years ago we looked at some with a house still on it, on one of these the lower entrance door was only a couple feet above high tide, no thanks. Like building on a flood plane what can go wrong. There is possibility of an earthquake damage out here, but also possible to engineer the build to try and withstand the forces.
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It’s never crossed my mind, but the only thing we have to worry about is hurricanes. Not much change but I can do about those. There is a seismic area around Summerville, which is just west of Charleston.
When we lived in Westport, Connecticut, the high school was next to an abandoned Minuteman or Nike radar/missile facility. I’m not sure when it was active, but there were houses all around it. I guess live there wasn’t a problem, until a missile arrived. |
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West coast earthquakes are small?
There’s a big one coming to the seattle area. Seattle fault goes directly under my house. I’m expecting everything is going to be destroyed. Apparently we are overdue. Osceola mud flow: rainier cut loose and made a debris flow that reached lake Washington and Peugeot sound 5600 years ago. WRT earthquakes this paper was pretty interesting. South beach Oregon they matched tree rings to a tsunami recorded in Japan. Whole valley in coastal Oregon was inundated. Apparently has a lot to do with the shape of the earthquake and of the ocean floor at the coast. https://nhess.copernicus.org/articles/21/1971/2021/ Says at south beach to expect run up heights of 17 meters. We have a place on the water up north at an altitude of 35 feet but the shore there is deep and steep, the tsunami is expected to roll right past but if there’s a big one I’ll be driving/biking/running away up a nearby mountain. |
So I went to that area this weekend. I am skeptical of the tsunami inundation model map. The gray areas (supposedly won’t be inundated) are where the “tsunami evacuation” signs point you to. I drove up there. It didn’t look that high above sea level. My phone said 25 feet. I think the whole spit is likely to be inundated and everyone drowned. It was a pretty area, but there is no way in hell I’d live there, even part-time.
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And I don’t know if the inundation maps account for expected height change of the ground. I’ve heard the edge of the PNW coast is expected to violently move west and drop, the link zakthor provided suggests -2 to -4 meter elevation drop along the coast.
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The 2004 (?) Indian Ocean tsunami killed something like 250,000 people in eleven countries.
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I live in paradise right now - so I'm good.
However.....some day....... <iframe width="315" height="560" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/ac7Nd9OpfKs" title="Kangaroos mob golfer in Australia 🦘🇦🇺 | Wendy Woo Golf" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe> |
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