Electoral predictor assumptions...
 

Check this out;

Red is Bush, blue is Kerry. Oct 28 prediction. Undecideds go 2:1 for Kerry?


http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1099020364.jpg

This predictive map was made using the following assumptions.

- Voters who already have made a choice will stick to it
- The undecideds will break 2:1 for the challenger (Kerry)
- In states where Nader is on the ballot, he will get 1%; otherwise 0% (was 2.74% nationally in 2000)