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-   -   Any bets on the FOMC meeting tomorrow? (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/381676-any-bets-fomc-meeting-tomorrow.html)

djmcmath 12-10-2007 02:41 AM

Any bets on the FOMC meeting tomorrow?
 
Pundits are all over the board on this one. I've read analysis arguing fervently for a 50 point cut and for no cut at all. Both sides are promising the end of the world as we know it if they are wrong. Any bets from the investing crowd here?

Dan

RoninLB 12-10-2007 04:01 AM

I bet they cut. Most bets are on .25 cut.

I wish they didn't cut at all. It's a very temp feel good fix imo.

Porsche-O-Phile 12-10-2007 04:06 AM

I'm guessing 50 b.p. although anything >0 will help in the short term. . . and hurt in the long-term.

legion 12-10-2007 04:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RoninLB (Post 3636077)
I bet they cut. Most bets are on .25 cut.

I wish they didn't cut at all. It's a very temp feel good fix imo.

Yep, they should be raising rates.

turbo6bar 12-10-2007 04:34 AM

Bernanke needs to show the world he's serious. I vote for a 475 basis point cut giving a new target rate of -0.25%.

djmcmath 12-11-2007 10:46 AM

Well, there it is. 25 points. Does that show the world that he's serious, or that he'll cave to the Street's pressure? Is this good news or bad news?

turbo6bar 12-11-2007 12:03 PM

The cut shows they care. Unfortunately, there is no weapon to fix the credit issues. You can't force participants to absorb risk.

Hugh R 12-11-2007 01:21 PM

DJIA dropped almost 300 pts on the good news.

Gooch1971 12-11-2007 03:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hugh R (Post 3639303)
DJIA dropped almost 300 pts on the good news.

And Treasury prices went through the roof following the cut.

the 12-11-2007 03:20 PM

I think they only went .25 because they know there are only 4 more drops of water left in the canteen, with the end of this desert nowhere in site.

So they used one drop, leaving 3 left for later.

Of course, that drop isn't very satisfying, so the market went down 300.

And now there are only 3 drops left. With no end in site, and in fact the sun getting hotter.

RoninLB 12-11-2007 04:34 PM

seems like all talking heads are all over the map on the reasoning and affect of the cut?

One thing Kudlow did say is that the markets need Fed leadership and the Fed is not leading.


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