Any stock picking gurus left around here?
 

Last year almost everyone claimed to be an expert. One guy (Sammy I think) was hoping for ANOTHER 40 percent gain this year and others saw no problem making 20 or 30 percent this year.

Good ole finstone even explained to us how "any idiot" could make 15 or 20 percent just by using an index fund. Hmm...........

Well, my Zacks account is down about 6 or 7 percent already this year so how about some great stock picks that I could pass along to them?

Disney has done 15.3% return consistently the last five years.

Anyone who isn't a condescending jack*ass left around here?

Mule is going to be very unhappy with you.;)

srz.to on the toronto exchange and and pzg on the NY billboard

Steve

You are correct Hugh. Actually ESPN alone is probably worth a good portion of Disney's current price.

PZG? Might not be a good time to jump into gold right now with it's current price.

Plus PZG has some really nasty looking base statistics. But, who knows.

There is at least ONE!

I'd recommend checking out kstarnes "Single Stock Pick for 2008" to see who!

I'm updating it now! I'll post the latest port in a sec.

Best,

Kurt

Early indicators show commercial real estate is prepped for a big fall. If the trend continues, SRS (double inverse REITs) would provide substantial gains. I want to try a handful of shares, but am having trouble finding an entry and exit point. jurgen

We are three months into the year. Any stock pick could look bad if you only analyze it over the short term. You typically get into the market to stay for a long time.

Unless my calendar is way off, the year aint over yet.

Plus there are probably folks here who wouldn't offer you water if you were dieing of thirst because of how you act, and you expect them to help you make money?

I do know the date and not trying to "analyze" a previous stock pick.

But with prices currently being (as they like to say) depressed, this might be a good time to target some good value stocks. Since many people were so good at picking wonderful winners when the market was up it should really be easy now that since there are so many stocks with relatively low prices.

Thus my question.

Short the index. Particularly financials. This is going to be a bloodbath before the end of the year.

Since everyone is predicting doom it's probably a good time to buy. Fade the public. :)

My stock pick (TCF Bank - TCB) started the year at 17.90, which is the price I paid. It promptly tanked into the 15s, a loss of almost 20% in the first month. A few days later it skyrocketed on good earnings and an increased dividend and by February had hit 22, a sweet 20% plus gain. It promptly tanked again, going under water for the year by yesterday. Today I'm back up 3% on the year. Since it's in my Keogh I guess I won't worry about it.

My crystal ball says wait for Citibank to hit bottom this summer and buy it then. Financials are getting hit too hard. They have a way to go but when they hit bottom they'll be great to own. Betting against banks is like betting against the house.

Buy anything low, sell anything high.

It's amazing how difficult that is to do. I guess the problem is determining what's low and what's high. Right now, we are probably near low, if you believe the media exaggerates every problem.

I doubt we are in a recession, for example; the data doesn't support it yet. But being told we are every day on TV does not help.

Does pelican sell stock?

Now what did I ever do to you to cause such expressions of hatred...you seem to have some serious personal issues.

Whassa matta...Sammy's Club go out of business?;)

Good thinking...bargain hunting time...

Good thinking. Bargain hunting time.

Short the index. Particularly financials. This is going to be a bloodbath before the end of the year.
__________________
Jeff Novak (Brewer, Pelicanite, 951 Combustibility Tester)

Oops, I'm getting conflicting opinions here. But at least you both had the guts to make a statement up front...rather than saying how great you did in the past or after the fact.



I'm going with the commodities and food guys (ADM, CPO, BG) since one of my kids works in that industry and he thinks they could be the oil stocks of the next few years and for a speculative (read that as money you can afford to lose) a small local firm (OESX) that seems to have a ton of upside. And I agree with MRM about the banks and the financial outfits. Those Jewish guys always have been smarter than me about money!;)

Also seems like battery stocks or those trying to come up with the next break-thru in that segment could also be something to play around with. But the info seems sketchy about who that might be.