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-   -   National Polling Data (real people with important things to do please ignore) (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/429119-national-polling-data-real-people-important-things-do-please-ignore.html)

jmshepard 09-07-2008 11:31 AM

National Polling Data -- Now updated with USA Today
 
The statisticians are indicating that any "bounce" from the RNC will be fully manifested by the Tuesday daily trackers.

Just in case your interested:

The Rasmussen Reports-
McCain 46, Obama 46 in first full poll after Palin speech
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll


Zogby-
The McCain/Palin ticket wins 49.7% support, compared to 45.9% backing for the Obama/Biden ticket, this latest online survey shows. Another 4.4% either favored someone else or were unsure.
http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1548

Gallup-
McCain’s 48% share of the vote ties for his largest since Gallup tracking began in early March. He registered the same level of support in early May. This is also McCain’s largest advantage over Obama since early May, when he led by as much as six percentage points. Obama has led McCain for most of the campaign, and for nearly all of the time since clinching the Democratic nomination in early June.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/110050/Gallup-Daily-McCain-Moves-Ahead-48-45.aspx

USA TODAY-
McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters, the Republican's biggest advantage since January and a turnaround from the USA TODAY poll taken just before the convention opened in St. Paul. Then, he lagged by 7 percentage points.
http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/election2008/2008-09-07-poll_N.htm

red-beard 09-07-2008 12:37 PM

Of course, they were expecting that all along

Rick Lee 09-07-2008 01:28 PM

I wonder if these polls are weighted to consider the number of folks who say they'll vote for Obama, but once behind the curtain, will not vote for a black man. Seems to me a LOT of folks support Obama solely out of white guilt and I doubt that's a huge motivator once one is in total privacy.

BeyGon 09-07-2008 02:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rick Lee (Post 4165948)
I wonder if these polls are weighted to consider the number of folks who say they'll vote for Obama, but once behind the curtain, will not vote for a black man. Seems to me a LOT of folks support Obama solely out of white guilt and I doubt that's a huge motivator once one is in total privacy.

Like Barbara Boxer, I would like to see who she really votes for, she has been wishy washy about Obama but the other night she said since he picked Joe somebody she would vote for him, he now has some experience.
She has to say she would vote for a Democrat.
Show me the ballot.

Rick Lee 09-07-2008 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BeyGon (Post 4166008)
Like Barbara Boxer, I would like to see who she really votes for, she has been wishy washy about Obama but the other night she said since he picked Joe somebody she would vote for him, he now has some experience.
She has to say she would vote for a Democrat.
Show me the ballot.

Hell, Boxer is at least as far left as Obama, if not more so. Though, she probably wants Hillary back in the game, so I could see her voting for McCain. Not that it matters in CA. CA is absolutely going for Obama.


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