Pelican Parts Forums

Pelican Parts Forums (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/)
-   Off Topic Discussions (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/)
-   -   Your Dow prediction? (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/431070-your-dow-prediction.html)

BlueSkyJaunte 09-18-2008 09:03 AM

Your Dow prediction?
 
When the bloodbath is finally over, I'm guessing 4K. Growth since 1995 has been just plain unnatural.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1221757339.gif

einreb 09-18-2008 09:06 AM

linear scale is a bit misleading.

head and shoulders takes it to 8k.

BlueSkyJaunte 09-18-2008 09:31 AM

Linear scale is "a bit misleading"?!?!

LOG scale is misleading!

MRM 09-18-2008 09:47 AM

Adjust for inflation and dividends reinvested and your graph means something. Otherwise it doesn't.

EarlyPorsche 09-18-2008 09:48 AM

Theres no predicting this one. Investment bank failure is not something we can figure out. I would say it could stabilize today or go down a bit. I think we just need stability SOON and a stimulus package NOW.

dd74 09-18-2008 10:24 AM

I think real value is 7500-8000. Should slowly rebound from there.

Porsche-O-Phile 09-18-2008 11:23 AM

I agree with DD. My gut feeling is that the "real" value is around 8500 or so, but that's just a WAG rather than the result of any hard data or analysis.

The overvaluation/overpricing of stuff started with housing and extended to virtually everything. It'll be a long time to correct.

We're still quite a ways from any real bottom. There will be some other ugly days, don't worry.

JeremyD 09-18-2008 12:31 PM

Dow up 450 today...

http://chart.bigcharts.com/custom/cn...ze=1&rand=8628

9elf 09-18-2008 12:46 PM

+1 for a log scale.

anyone got one?

dd74 09-18-2008 02:55 PM

Actually 409, because of (again) govt. intervention. But there's a price for that too...

Porsche-O-Phile 09-18-2008 03:17 PM

Short-term gain, longer term pain. Ultimately the actions today and more regulatory oversight will only drag things down more.

tabs 09-18-2008 04:45 PM

With 3 Trillion sitting in Cash..U figure it out.

Chocaholic 09-18-2008 07:28 PM

Put down your USA Today and step away from CNN. The sky isn't falling kids. It's just money changing hands. Free market. Capitalism doing what it's supposed to do. You can cash out and stuff you money in the mattress, or you can take advantage of the great investment opportunities that just popped up this week.

NO MORE CNN.

dd74 09-18-2008 08:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chocaholic (Post 4189395)
Put down your USA Today and step away from CNN. The sky isn't falling kids. It's just money changing hands. Free market. Capitalism doing what it's supposed to do. You can cash out and stuff you money in the mattress, or you can take advantage of the great investment opportunities that just popped up this week.

NO MORE CNN.

It's not just a matter of what we do with our money. It's also a matter of what everyone else does with their money.


All times are GMT -8. The time now is 11:45 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.7
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Search Engine Optimization by vBSEO 3.6.0
Copyright 2025 Pelican Parts, LLC - Posts may be archived for display on the Pelican Parts Website


DTO Garage Plus vBulletin Plugins by Drive Thru Online, Inc.