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Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Linn County, Oregon
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Market changes ahead?

I'm hoping this avoids PARF. I found it an interesting piece written by a nobel prize winner in economics.

https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/illusion-driving-asset-prices-upward-by-robert-j--shiller-2017-01

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Old 01-18-2017, 01:49 PM
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That gives me another reason to believe we are in bubble that's about to burst.

Tabs should be along any minute now to insult you and the author. 3-2-1 ....
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Old 01-18-2017, 02:01 PM
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Even people who don't follow the markets have been talking about how there is going to be a post-inaguration market crash which is exactly the reason why I think the markets will keep going up. I'm planning to be mostly cash next week though!!

Oh yeah and you boyz just don't get it. I'm really tired of how stupid you all are so I'm gonna get on here and make sure you know.
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Old 01-18-2017, 02:10 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gogar View Post
Oh yeah and you boyz just don't get it. I'm really tired of how stupid you all are so I'm gonna get on here and make sure you know.
LOL...shoe shopping
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Old 01-18-2017, 03:09 PM
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Meh! You guys think that just because this guy has all these credentials he could know more about economics than our Tabs???
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"Now, to put a water-cooled engine in the rear and to have a radiator in the front, that's not very intelligent."
-Ferry Porsche (PANO, Oct. '73) (I, Paul D. have loved this quote since 1973. It will remain as long as I post here.)
Old 01-18-2017, 03:29 PM
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Anything I have in the stock market, is throw away money, if I put in enough principle, and it goes up enough over time, I cash out, and buy some land in the country, and build a personal fabrication shop/garage.

I did jump in when I realized Obama would be making a massive debt bubble. Whether it pops or not, will be up to our new government. An inauguration crash doesn't bother me, that is a "phantom" so to speak(buying opportunity). A policy based crash, that is where it can hurt.
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Old 01-18-2017, 03:59 PM
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When hundreds of billions of foreign reserves are released from overseas and spent, where do you think they go? They mostly recycle back where they came from. That increases the domestic money supply and we get inflation. Please don't fall for the dollar as a store of value. It's only a medium of exchange. The money supply has tripled in the last 10 years. It will at least double in the next ten. Stocks are simply inflating up at this point. It has nothing to do with earnings. Foreigners are also net buyers of U.S. large cap stocks as domestic is still net sellers. Overseas buying is outweighing domestic selling by 4 to 1 last time I checked.


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Old 01-18-2017, 04:22 PM
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