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-   -   Hurricane Hil a ry (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/showthread.php?t=1144991)

William930t 08-18-2023 01:56 PM

Hurricane Hil a ry
 
Multiple times this post went straight to PARF, so I am retrying with a tweak to the title per reply from Tobra

I have become quite an amateur meteorologist from experiencing years of East Coast storms while living in FL, SC and GA. Following developed Cat 3-4 storms that affect US West Coast seem so rare. I am hoping Hilary will not be so destructive, looks like landfall in central Baja Friday and then travel North to Southern CA. May this be a minor event for all in her path.

Mikes Weather Page (East Coast focus) has started some coverage.

https://spaghettimodels.com/default.htm

Seahawk 08-18-2023 02:38 PM

Wasn’t me.

I’ve been out with the pup.

And, in the spirit of detente, all H funnies put in PARF please.

This storm is going to be destructive if the rain totals are right as forecast.

KFC911 08-18-2023 02:44 PM

Hey Paul, it appears to be automatic now (it wasn't a few years ago). The title caused it to immediately be sent to PARF .... like the "Trump" in my test thread (I opened here) was sent over.

This is new :D

Hilary is not Hillary tho ;)

Tobra 08-18-2023 03:12 PM

Close enough, it is an algorythm, which is about as smart as me ex wife

This Hilary looks pretty nasty.

HobieMarty 08-18-2023 03:49 PM

Well it is an old wind bag so...

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

Evans, Marv 08-18-2023 03:56 PM

By the time it gets here, it will be a tropical depression probably. I feel sorry for people in Baja. They don't have the storm management we have here. We're supposedly getting 3 to 5 inches. The amazing thing is the desert areas to our east might get 5 to 7 inches. That's almost unheard of. I've almost finished getting ready, but the great majority of the time they forcast lots of rain, & it ends up a sprinkle. We'll see.

Zeke 08-18-2023 05:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Evans, Marv (Post 12070972)
By the time it gets here, it will be a tropical depression probably. I feel sorry for people in Baja. They don't have the storm management we have here. We're supposedly getting 3 to 5 inches. The amazing thing is the desert areas to our east might get 5 to 7 inches. That's almost unheard of. I've almost finished getting ready, but the great majority of the time they forcast lots of rain, & it ends up a sprinkle. We'll see.

I hope it peters out. The weather folks talk about no heavy tropical storms here since 1939. I'm here to tell you I had a house apart and exposed in Aug of '78 and it rained all night long. I was catching water in 5 gallon buckets at one a minute. Each minute I had time to dash for a tool. After an hour I had rigged up an inner tube downspout.

Tobra 08-18-2023 07:09 PM

I have seen a couple inches of rain in a few hours, it was loud

jyl 08-18-2023 08:05 PM

Up in OR, we’re hoping for the residual rain to slow down fire season. CA probably thinks that too.

KFC911 08-19-2023 03:53 AM

Even a slow moving TD can be devastating and I don't wanna be in 60 mph winds either.

Localized flooding.... water has to go somewhere...

Don't take this lightly guys ... stay safe!

William930t 08-19-2023 05:57 AM

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1692449825.gif

Tobra 08-19-2023 06:09 AM

Slow moving can be very bad

About 20 years ago a storm stalled off Galvaston and dropped a few feet of rain in surprisingly short order, saw a house with 3 feet of water on the second floor

KFC911 08-19-2023 06:32 AM

Water is the real killer .... a few inches (3-4) in a short amount of time will cause serious flooding here where I live, and become a killer in the mountains. The first storm in a long time will carry the built up debris, clog drains, bridges become dams, etc.

Eastern NC (east of Raleigh) basically became one big azz lake just a few years ago for those near sea level.

Danger is coming to you guys .... and I doubt most in CA have ever experienced a hurricane, TS, etc.

3rd_gear_Ted 08-19-2023 08:31 AM

They already shutdown the train to San Diego in anticipation of more earth coming down over the tracks in San Clemente.
Our family beach house in Baja is right at the point of landfall around Ensenada.

Zeke 08-19-2023 08:41 AM

This map is amazing. There's still a chance for the direction of travel to change.

GH85Carrera 08-19-2023 08:45 AM

Good luck to you Pelicans in the path of all that rain. Hopefully no major flooding, and landslides.

In Oklahoma, on a few occasions, we have been happy to get the remnants of a hurricane to break a long hot dry spell.

Seahawk 08-19-2023 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3rd_gear_Ted (Post 12071345)
They already shutdown the train to San Diego in anticipation of more earth coming down over the tracks in San Clemente.
Our family beach house in Baja is right at the point of landfall around Ensenada.

Keep us posted.

Like most on the East Coast, I have the H T-Shirt. There is really nothing to do other than prep.

Best to all.

Scott Douglas 08-19-2023 09:57 AM

I only hope people listen to the forecasters and take precautions. Out in the desert is most dangerous because rain can fall miles away from you and cause a dry river bed to become a raging torrent in minutes if not seconds. I was warned about this in zoo class when we took a field trip overnight to the desert to catch whatever we could find. Like the song said, the desert is an ocean with it's life underground. Rain in the mountains surrounding Palm Springs will flood PS for sure.
The Ventusky site Zeke linked to is one of the best weather sites I've seen.

Zeke 08-19-2023 10:45 AM

The problem with the wind map is that it is not real time by any means. Just a daily overview.

I owe credit for the link to some Pelican that I don't remember.

Tobra 08-19-2023 11:44 AM

Palm Springs and Sandy Eggo are fixing to take a beating, hope all your storm drains are clear. I wonder how much of this will drain into the Colorado River


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