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rammstein's Avatar
 
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1970s real estate drivers

OK old timers- I have to put together a little summary report on factors contributing to real estate prices and activity during the 1970s. The items I have already touched on:

* Less capital available to invest due to inflation coupled with static income tax brackets and whatnot.

* Pre 1980s, so this means that with commercial properties depreciation had to be spread out over many more years than currently.

* deficit spending, 'nam. etc.

This is a work in progress, so I'll add more as I go, but figure some of you were actually alive during the 70s and might have some first-hand info to share.

I'm kind of writing this in a cause-effect kind of way, if that helps.

Old 04-12-2006, 04:46 PM
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Old 04-12-2006, 05:00 PM
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early 70's -Introduction of FHLMC (FREDDIE MAC) - infusion of government backed funds to commercial banks for lending against homes.

Baby boomers, DINK's etc. wanting bigger homes.

Then, Prime rate was a mess by the mid 70's as well. Rates soared, buying and selling stopped. Killed a lot of activity for years.

rjp
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Old 04-12-2006, 05:47 PM
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Is there some sort of comparison/lesson regarding 70s real estate pricing and current-day pricing? What's the final objective?
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Old 04-12-2006, 05:52 PM
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My dad built apartment buildings in the 70's.

If a project would pencil out as a break-even, the banks would lend money. Inflation gave you a profit.

A huge percentage of apartments were built in the 70's.
Old 04-12-2006, 05:57 PM
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I believe it was 74 when good ol tricky dick removed the gold standard and as they say the rest is history. That was the start of inflation as we all know it today, it allowed the fed reserve to control money from their perspective.

Then in the 80's during the reagan yrs he gave us the luxury tax which killed alot of businesses in the boating industry.

IMHO it was the 74 removal of the gold standard that killed us.
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Old 04-12-2006, 05:59 PM
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Thanks for the information so far guys- I'm researching more on some of your comments.

As for the objective of this, I am a new Commercial Real Estate Investment Agent, and as part of our training a group of us have each been charged with identifying what was going on in each decade. The idea is that by doing so, we will have a better understanding of our clients. I see the value in it; by knowing what was going on in the period of time where somebody bought a building, it says a lot about where they are coming from.

On a side note, I am extremely impressed with the company I am working for. This is a first for me! They are really putting me to the grindstone to make sure I know what the hell I am donig, and for that I am thankful.
Old 04-12-2006, 07:01 PM
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Glad to hear things are working out. Sounds like you've found a good place to work.
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Old 04-12-2006, 07:08 PM
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I bought commercial real estate in the early '80's...I'm not talking REITS, I bought actual "dirt". One of the happiest days of my life was when I sold it in the early 90's...
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Old 04-12-2006, 07:31 PM
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Just keep your chin up. It can be a cutthroat business....

Think of it like pulling a slot machine, get two deals to land at once and then life is good....

Just keep your foot to the floor and in 5th until you hit it!

rjp
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Old 04-12-2006, 07:41 PM
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Thanks for the encouraging words!

I just read something interesting about 1031 exchanges. Prior to the 'Starker Decision' in 1979, the exchange had to happen SIMULTANEOUSLY!!! I will remember this when investors cry about only having 45 days to identify and 180 to close. HAH!
Old 04-12-2006, 07:44 PM
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This industry can set you for life.

I worked briefly with this one dude- who closed several apartment complexes - $1MIL commission in one year...

Oh, BTW, that was ONE transaction.

My loan processor arranged financing on another complex in January -

$78K in commission for him. One deal, 3 months to close. He's not an agent but a loan guy. Yes, his YTD as of 2/1/06 was like $83K

I love Real Estate..

rjp
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Last edited by RANDY P; 04-12-2006 at 07:51 PM..
Old 04-12-2006, 07:48 PM
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Quote:
Originally posted by RANDY P
I love Real Estate..
+1
Old 04-12-2006, 08:17 PM
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Old 04-12-2006, 08:39 PM
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Quote:
Originally posted by RANDY P
This industry can set you for life.

I worked briefly with this one dude- who closed several apartment complexes - $1MIL commission in one year...

Oh, BTW, that was ONE transaction.

My loan processor arranged financing on another complex in January -

$78K in commission for him. One deal, 3 months to close. He's not an agent but a loan guy. Yes, his YTD as of 2/1/06 was like $83K

I love Real Estate..

rjp
Yup. My old scoutmaster was into commercial real estate. In two years he was able to move to the good side of town (Saratogoa). He now has a nice home in Atherton.

Old 04-12-2006, 08:58 PM
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