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$600000 S
http://www.early911sregistry.org/forums/showthread.php?112760-600-000-rhd-2-4s-sold |
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another long hood s went for nearly $250k an 83 930 turbo went for nearly $170k don't count the bubble as bursting just yet... |
Take a look at just what went in to that car:
Bonhams : Formerly the property of Richard Hamilton,1973 Porsche 911S 2.4-Litre Coupé Chassis no. 9113300884 Engine no. 6331402/911/53 To me, that seems like an anomaly. 48 993tt's currently (and in most cases repeatedly) listed on eBay and cars.com? not so much. |
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Why would the registration number "RGO 6L" resonate with Porsche aficionados? Other than that Faure's Carrera RS bore reg no RGO 2L? It's certainly no GVB 911D ;-) Plus, right hand drive. The breathless prose of the auction description is laughable. But apparently, effective. Cheers d. |
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Just a few years ago I saw my little SO Cal house go all the way up in value to past $600,000. I remember folks saying that So Cal homes would never go down again. Then the bubble, then down to under $300,000 overnight. Now steady at $400,000. All in the last 7 years. Cars, guitars, mandolins, antique radios and such are all the same. What goes up must come down. Just drive your cars and have fun.
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I just scrolled through the "Cars for Sale" here (haven't really looked in a few weeks). It seems many cars that would have been snapped up a while ago are for sale with several 'bumps'.
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I think these cars 'were' more fun when money and values weren't so much a part of it. I almost feel sorry for the new generation of air cooled owners. Is it possible anymore to just have fun and drive them? All this anxiety... Just shut up and drive already.
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You all seem fully convinced that the main market driver is some sort of speculation / get-rich-quick greed.
Could it be simply that prices have been rising because more and more people are sick and tired of riding in computers on wheels and they long for the experience of driving a real car instead, and the aircooled 911s are the greatest example of an uncomplicated, nimble, and very analog (at least up to and including the SC) sports car, and demand vs supply has led to higher clearing prices? That's certainly the case with me. When i finally manage to buy my 911 I won't be giving a damn about resale values and future price trends because I want to drive that mother****** until the wheels fall off or until the government makes it illegal (de jure or de facto) for people to drive their own cars, whichever comes first. |
^^^^ Understand ur point, but.......Uncomplicated? Just a quick read of the Tech Forum would suggest they're more complicated than Dennis Leary. Which is strange since you can look in the motor compartment and there it is. ALL of it!! Looks simple enuff!
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I don't get the over-restored like to new prices
for cars that are a joy to drive but will NOT retain that value if driven who cares about matching numbers or perfect trim bits or paint color the point is the cars performance the insane prices are not for all cars but many cars are being bumped into ever higher prices now that is where the bubble is and will pop cars like the 912 that get drug into the 911s class :rolleyes: or the middies the 67 S is not the car that will drop alot in value btw these cars all rust investments should not rust |
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Tell Rich about the bubble bursting. Hey, Rich, they're some *****in' deals out there for 911's these days, huh? As I said, try buying one of these cars and get back to me about the soft market for 911's. Good luck Rich. Market is tough, especially in our neck of the woods. Nick |
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Ever try buying a nice 911 is metro NY? You'd figure out 'our neck of the woods' pretty quickly.
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Your reasons for wanting one of these are pretty common these days actually. And add in the fact that the actual cost of ownership and maintenance has skyrocketed and we have cars that cost more. You get a bunch of guys all coming into their earning curve who had posters of IB 911s and 930s on their walls and they create an increase in demand with limited supply. The collector grade top of the market thing isn't really relevant to the average price of one of these cars, IMO. Quote:
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I think this quote from NASDAQ.com may very well sum up this entire thread:
Economic bubble Definition: A market phenomenon characterized by surges in asset prices to levels significantly above the fundamental value of that asset. Bubbles are often hard to detect in real time because there is disagreement over the fundamental value of the asset. No, wait, maybe it's this one: “Another sign to watch for: In every bubble, there are always people trying to burst it by declaring that financial assets have become overvalued. At first, Prof. Goetzmann says, such skeptics earn respectful attention. But eventually, investors turn on them with anger and ridicule.” |
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That has more to do with financing. A small SoCal house could sell for $600k because someone could finance that and have a job to clear the ARM payments. I don't think collectors are paying 6-figures on 911s using credit and hoping to flip it in 5 years for a profit. |
My point is that all collectables can go way up or they can go way down. Antiques market or classic car market. People who buy a long hood 911 for $170,000 are taking a big chance with the market. A few years ago Catlin antique radios were thousands on ebay. Now in a good market they are down thousands. Also, there are just too many air cooled Porsche 911's. There are still thousands out there. This no different that a 1924 Gibson F5 Lloyd Loar mandolin selling for $250,000 a few years ago. Now they are trying to sell them for $95,000. What goes up, must come down.
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I go on fun drives to our San Diego outback all the time. Who gives a **** if it is worth $10,000 less if I sell it in 5 years. I had fun.
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Understood Matt.
My point was that since he's having such a hard time finding a nice, inexpensive or even reasonably priced 911, the bubble is in itself non existent. Our posts are only as valid as the most recent purchases, not the posts 'for sale'. There are no deals on 911's anymore. The cat's been out of the bag for a few years now. No one knows that better than you, although many have opinions one way or the other. |
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Definitely not in relation to demand. It is my unscientific and unconfirmed belief that demand is mainly driven by enthusiasm for these cars, rather than financial speculation. So I don't see demand declining anytime soon. |
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Seems like most of the actual "data" shared in these discussions start with "when I bought my car 2/3/5 years ago......". Or, "been looking for 6 months and can't find a good one without spending ridiculous money". |
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71 911E Sunroof Project |
pretty nice G50 coupe w/ 85K miles sold on eBay for $36.4K
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Seller wrote like he knew something about these cars. If I didn't buy a car recently it would have definitely been on my list. |
Looks like a nice car, well bought. Cassis red challenges the theory that any unusual color is worth a premium, though. Let's face it -- the car is pink.
There is some curious damage on the rear of the engine compartment -- perhaps it was mashed when a PO was converting the A/C to R-134a. My issue with the car is the "emotional" descriptors in the ad -- the clutch "feels" great; the brakes "feel like new" the A/C "seems" to blow cool, etc. This is all dealer speak that "seems" to describe the condition -- but really doesn't. Hey, it "seems" like it is original paint, and has a strong engine, but I really don't know 'cause I only drove the car 1500 miles. But I am going to make a bunch of speculative claims anyway, that are probably not backed by paperwork. I hate the equivocal language in ads like that. |
A true Condition 1 ("spectacular") 356 Speedster with a pre-auction estimate of $430,000 sold for $286,000 at Russo and Steele in Scottsdale.
This is much lower than it would have got a year ago. |
Prices going into the Fall will tell the true story. At the end of the driving season prices usually tend to fall in a "stable" market. If things really are cooling down there will be a lot of cars for sale with buyers only picking up the less expensive cars.
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Impact bumper cars have just started to climb. These cars will continue to gain interest.
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HAGI™P Index is designed to measure the rare collector's Porsche automobile market, ranging from the 1950s to the new millenium. Due to the representative character of this group this index can be used as a valuable tool to monitor the price development from any rare single Porsche to an entire collection of this marque. HAGI P is an integral part of our overall index universe, a sub index of HAGI Top. HAGI-P is weighted according to our estimate of surviving cars in the relevant models.
Up 4.72% YTD (through May) but the recent trend is down: -3.3% in April and -1.74% in May. 2014 performance was +32.06%, so 2H 15 needs to be very strong or else the hockey stick uptrend may be flattening out.........or just taking a breather if you're a glass half full type. |
The next "Big Thing"?
Any rear-engine, air-cooled high-performance car
from the genius, Dr. Ferdinand Porsche. Or, all 911's from the '70's. "Desirability is the great unknown in measuring something's value." |
What does Wall Street know about motorsport?
The rear-engine, air-cooled Porsche 911 has permanently
established itself world-wide, and will always be very, very highly valued. |
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The supply of cars for sale has definitely been up, and the quality is coming down as people are emptying out the garages. Values for good cars have not dropped from what I can see -- certainly not if BaT is any indication. |
I also think it is a worldwide " car guy" market
in the 70s-80s these 911s were common in the USA and western Europe , but a poster on the wall "dream" in many other parts of the world like Eastern Europe , and much of Asia, Now they are available to many of the "dreamers" who have money. but that does not mean that a plain 911 SC is worth 50k plus , just that there is a larger market than before..... Everything has a bubble , I am hoping my collection of Beanie Babies rebounds to its peak :) |
Yup, and California home prices will never go down....right. When markets go down and you enter into a recession , all luxury item fall fast and no one buys until things get better. Boats took a terrible beating during the last recession. The happiest two days in a man's life is the day he buys a boat and the day he sell his boat. Kind of like the people who buy hot tubs for $8000 and use them 4 times. Then after 7 years they have the rotting tub hauled away.
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Boats and houses are not really comparables to classic cars.
Even so, good houses in good locations have LONG since recovered from the "housing bubble" and are worth more than they were in 2007. Slapdash houses in the outer suburbs of most cities haven't, and probably never will. THe marginal houses in marginal locations haven't. Try buying a "post bubble" house on Coronado Island. Or pretty much anywhere in San Francisco. Or within 20 miles of DC. etc. I'm sure there is a market for used, classic boats, but it is minuscule compared to cars. |
You guys are comparing the mortgage scandal and resulting crash to a long overdue, and natural, price adjustment to air cooled Porsches?
That's simply admitting you have no idea what the mortgage fraud was all about |
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