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-   -   Bubble finally deflating? (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/showthread.php?t=872603)

silverc4s 06-30-2015 06:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wm711 (Post 8689272)
Didn't I just recently see a $600K S in black, RHD? Or was I dreaming.

Might have been the UK RS..

wm711 06-30-2015 06:47 AM

$600000 S

http://www.early911sregistry.org/forums/showthread.php?112760-600-000-rhd-2-4s-sold

Ferraripete 06-30-2015 07:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by silverc4s (Post 8689895)
Might have been the UK RS..

no. not an rs. this was the Richard Hamilton car.

Ferraripete 06-30-2015 07:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wm711 (Post 8689272)
Didn't I just recently see a $600K S in black, RHD? Or was I dreaming.

you were not dreaming...bonhams goodwood auction of last weekend.

another long hood s went for nearly $250k

an 83 930 turbo went for nearly $170k

don't count the bubble as bursting just yet...

2ndTARGA 06-30-2015 07:58 AM

Take a look at just what went in to that car:

Bonhams : Formerly the property of Richard Hamilton,1973 Porsche 911S 2.4-Litre Coupé Chassis no. 9113300884 Engine no. 6331402/911/53

To me, that seems like an anomaly. 48 993tt's currently (and in most cases repeatedly) listed on eBay and cars.com? not so much.

dienstuhr 06-30-2015 11:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2ndTARGA (Post 8690071)
Take a look at just what went in to that car:

Bonhams : Formerly the property of Richard Hamilton,1973 Porsche 911S 2.4-Litre Coupé Chassis no. 9113300884 Engine no. 6331402/911/53

To me, that seems like an anomaly. 48 993tt's currently (and in most cases repeatedly) listed on eBay and cars.com? not so much.

"This car carries the registration 'RGO 6L', a number which will resonate with Porsche aficionados, placing it alongside a batch of historically important 911 models successfully campaigned by racing drivers such as Nick Faure."

Why would the registration number "RGO 6L" resonate with Porsche aficionados? Other than that Faure's Carrera RS bore reg no RGO 2L? It's certainly no GVB 911D ;-)

Plus, right hand drive. The breathless prose of the auction description is laughable. But apparently, effective.

Cheers

d.

ShopCat 07-01-2015 06:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2ndTARGA (Post 8688746)
Well, some of us are old enough to remember the bust in the early 90's. I saw a formerly $1M Ferrari F40 sell for $350K to name just one example. So anything can happen.

And there's demographics as well. When I started going to car shows the "can't loose" investment cars were, believe it or not, top-level Model A's. This caused any Model A that still sat on 4 wheels to be dragged out and restored and flogged. Then it was T-birds, and so on. This article sums it up well: Baby Boomers Created the Classic-Car Market—and Could Crash It – Feature – Car and Driver

But wait, none of us Porsche owners will never get too old to care, right? Hmmm, maybe all those cheap Tips are worth a 2nd look. I could store a bunch of them for 10 years and make a killing!

Im with you, plus I find it extremely arrogant to think "No no no, MY car is better than ALL of those other cars of the past, it would NEVER follow that same trend we've seen over and over again. Its different."

Nick Triesch 07-01-2015 10:51 AM

Just a few years ago I saw my little SO Cal house go all the way up in value to past $600,000. I remember folks saying that So Cal homes would never go down again. Then the bubble, then down to under $300,000 overnight. Now steady at $400,000. All in the last 7 years. Cars, guitars, mandolins, antique radios and such are all the same. What goes up must come down. Just drive your cars and have fun.

KNS 07-01-2015 10:59 AM

I just scrolled through the "Cars for Sale" here (haven't really looked in a few weeks). It seems many cars that would have been snapped up a while ago are for sale with several 'bumps'.

Palum6o 07-01-2015 11:49 AM

I think these cars 'were' more fun when money and values weren't so much a part of it. I almost feel sorry for the new generation of air cooled owners. Is it possible anymore to just have fun and drive them? All this anxiety... Just shut up and drive already.

Rick Brooklyn 07-01-2015 01:43 PM

You all seem fully convinced that the main market driver is some sort of speculation / get-rich-quick greed.

Could it be simply that prices have been rising because more and more people are sick and tired of riding in computers on wheels and they long for the experience of driving a real car instead, and the aircooled 911s are the greatest example of an uncomplicated, nimble, and very analog (at least up to and including the SC) sports car, and demand vs supply has led to higher clearing prices?

That's certainly the case with me. When i finally manage to buy my 911 I won't be giving a damn about resale values and future price trends because I want to drive that mother****** until the wheels fall off or until the government makes it illegal (de jure or de facto) for people to drive their own cars, whichever comes first.

Westy 07-01-2015 07:07 PM

^^^^ Understand ur point, but.......Uncomplicated? Just a quick read of the Tech Forum would suggest they're more complicated than Dennis Leary. Which is strange since you can look in the motor compartment and there it is. ALL of it!! Looks simple enuff!

nota 07-02-2015 05:50 AM

I don't get the over-restored like to new prices
for cars that are a joy to drive but will NOT retain that value if driven

who cares about matching numbers or perfect trim bits or paint color
the point is the cars performance

the insane prices are not for all cars
but many cars are being bumped into ever higher prices now
that is where the bubble is and will pop
cars like the 912 that get drug into the 911s class :rolleyes:
or the middies
the 67 S is not the car that will drop alot in value

btw these cars all rust
investments should not rust

Rick Brooklyn 07-02-2015 05:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nota (Post 8692961)
btw these cars all rust
investments should not rust

It's better to burn out than it is to rust, as a great poet once said

NYNick 07-02-2015 05:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rick Brooklyn (Post 8692195)
You all seem fully convinced that the main market driver is some sort of speculation / get-rich-quick greed.

Could it be simply that prices have been rising because more and more people are sick and tired of riding in computers on wheels and they long for the experience of driving a real car instead, and the aircooled 911s are the greatest example of an uncomplicated, nimble, and very analog (at least up to and including the SC) sports car, and demand vs supply has led to higher clearing prices?

That's certainly the case with me. When i finally manage to buy my 911 I won't be giving a damn about resale values and future price trends because I want to drive that mother****** until the wheels fall off or until the government makes it illegal (de jure or de facto) for people to drive their own cars, whichever comes first.

^^^^This.
Tell Rich about the bubble bursting.
Hey, Rich, they're some *****in' deals out there for 911's these days, huh?

As I said, try buying one of these cars and get back to me about the soft market for 911's.

Good luck Rich. Market is tough, especially in our neck of the woods.

Nick

ShopCat 07-02-2015 06:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NYNick (Post 8692975)
^^^^This.
Tell Rich about the bubble bursting.
Hey, Rich, they're some *****in' deals out there for 911's these days, huh?

As I said, try buying one of these cars and get back to me about the soft market for 911's.

Good luck Rich. Market is tough, especially in our neck of the woods.

Nick

Is "our neck of the woods" even a thing anymore? You know, with all this internet stuff going on and $150 one way flights...

NYNick 07-02-2015 08:17 AM

Ever try buying a nice 911 is metro NY? You'd figure out 'our neck of the woods' pretty quickly.

Matt Monson 07-02-2015 09:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rick Brooklyn (Post 8692195)
You all seem fully convinced that the main market driver is some sort of speculation / get-rich-quick greed.

Could it be simply that prices have been rising because more and more people are sick and tired of riding in computers on wheels and they long for the experience of driving a real car instead, and the aircooled 911s are the greatest example of an uncomplicated, nimble, and very analog (at least up to and including the SC) sports car, and demand vs supply has led to higher clearing prices?

That's certainly the case with me. When i finally manage to buy my 911 I won't be giving a damn about resale values and future price trends because I want to drive that mother****** until the wheels fall off or until the government makes it illegal (de jure or de facto) for people to drive their own cars, whichever comes first.

Um, show me where I have ever posted that this is speculation. I think many other of the regulars here would question the validity of that statement as well.

Your reasons for wanting one of these are pretty common these days actually. And add in the fact that the actual cost of ownership and maintenance has skyrocketed and we have cars that cost more. You get a bunch of guys all coming into their earning curve who had posters of IB 911s and 930s on their walls and they create an increase in demand with limited supply. The collector grade top of the market thing isn't really relevant to the average price of one of these cars, IMO.

Quote:

Originally Posted by NYNick (Post 8692975)
As I said, try buying one of these cars and get back to me about the soft market for 911's.

Nick

He is trying to buy one and I think what we are seeing in the post I quoted is some of the frustration of trying to buy one.

2ndTARGA 07-02-2015 11:26 AM

I think this quote from NASDAQ.com may very well sum up this entire thread:

Economic bubble

Definition:

A market phenomenon characterized by surges in asset prices to levels significantly above the fundamental value of that asset. Bubbles are often hard to detect in real time because there is disagreement over the fundamental value of the asset.


No, wait, maybe it's this one:

“Another sign to watch for: In every bubble, there are always people trying to burst it by declaring that financial assets have become overvalued. At first, Prof. Goetzmann says, such skeptics earn respectful attention. But eventually, investors turn on them with anger and ridicule.”

A&F 07-02-2015 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nick Triesch (Post 8691933)
Just a few years ago I saw my little SO Cal house go all the way up in value to past $600,000. I remember folks saying that So Cal homes would never go down again. Then the bubble, then down to under $300,000 overnight. Now steady at $400,000. All in the last 7 years. Cars, guitars, mandolins, antique radios and such are all the same. What goes up must come down. Just drive your cars and have fun.


That has more to do with financing.

A small SoCal house could sell for $600k because someone could finance that and have a job to clear the ARM payments.

I don't think collectors are paying 6-figures on 911s using credit and hoping to flip it in 5 years for a profit.


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