Quote:
Originally posted by lendaddy
OK, change it to 1000 doors. You pick one and I get the rest. I open all but one of mine and you have the choice to switch.....
It does matter what happened before. Either you have it or I do, there are only two possible outcomes....but the odds it was in my group of doors is much greater.
Make sense now?
|
The odds that I have the correct door are 1000 to 1. At first. So sure, you've got better odds. At first.
Once you've eliminated all of your doors except one, and the winner is still hidden, there is no reason to assume yours is better than mine.
In fact, I'd stay with my door, because you've proven that you can't pick a winner after opening 99.8% of the options available to you!