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-   -   Another brand new 737 Max crashes (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1023264-another-brand-new-737-max-crashes.html)

kach22i 05-02-2019 03:18 AM

Interesting article.

Quote:

He took questions for less than 15 minutes. Finally, after parrying a question about whether he had thought about resigning and a last question about blame for MCAS, Muilenburg walked out grim-faced.

As he strode briskly from the room, many reporters had not been called upon. One of those shouted after him: “346 people died. Can you answer some questions?”

Boeing’s proposed software fix for MCAS ensures the system takes input from two sensors, instead of one. It will activate only once, not multiple times, if the sensor reading remains stuck at a high value. And the power of the system will be limited, so that the pilot can always pull back on the control column with enough force to counteract any automatic nose-down movement........

During the shareholder meeting, a couple of small stockholders asked more gently worded questions about the MAX crashes.

One older man, who identified himself as an engineer, questioned how MCAS was designed to depend on a single unreliable sensor. A young woman questioned whether oversight by the Federal Aviation Administration was sufficiently independent.

Muilenburg’s response to the engineer simply reiterated the statement that Boeing had followed its long-standing procedures in the design and development of the MAX.
Not my area of expertise, but the original design/software sounds criminally negligent.

Criminal negligence
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Criminal_negligence
Quote:

......... and recklessness being of intermediate seriousness, overlapping with gross negligence.
Clearly more than "intermediate seriousness", there might be a better phrase for this, like are "are you freaking serious?"

kach22i 05-02-2019 03:32 AM

I looked for news on the 737 Max and found this recent article below.

I was curious find out past the headlines of stopped and canceled orders and sought to find out if the assembly lines are still going and at what rate.

As I posed a few pages back, Spirit AeroSystems of Wichita makes many of the 737 Max fuselages.

May 1, 2019
Spirit AeroSystems won’t immediately move on next Boeing 737 increase
https://www.bizjournals.com/wichita/news/2019/05/01/spirit-aerosystems-won-t-immediately-move-on-next.html
Quote:

Spirit AeroSystems will build fewer 737 fuselages this year than planned because of the grounding of Boeing Co. 737 MAX. Exactly how many fewer, its CEO said Wednesday, will hinge on how quickly the grounded jet returns to service.
They are still making 42 of these a month, where are they stacking them up at?

Quote:

“We can store as many fuselages as we have in any scenario we have planned,” Gentile told investment analysts on the company’s first-quarter earnings conference call.
I assume the wing sections are also stacking up somewhere.

It's Tornado season, all those 737 parts being stored outside might take flight sooner than expected.

seafeye 05-02-2019 10:03 AM

Boeing Manufacturing Countries.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1556820159.jpg


http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1556820179.jpg

KNS 05-02-2019 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kach22i (Post 10445403)
I looked for news on the 737 Max and found this recent article below.

I was curious find out past the headlines of stopped and canceled orders and sought to find out if the assembly lines are still going and at what rate.

As I posed a few pages back, Spirit AeroSystems of Wichita makes many of the 737 Max fuselages.


They are still making 42 of these a month, where are they stacking them up at?


I assume the wing sections are also stacking up somewhere.

It's Tornado season, all those 737 parts being stored outside might take flight sooner than expected.

Boeing is still filling orders for other 737 models, not just the Max.

greglepore 05-02-2019 05:56 PM

Man, Jack screws. Jeff, given that jammed j/s's have been an issue for a long time, whether mechanical or aerodynamic load, why hasn't someone come up with an alternative?

javadog 05-02-2019 06:00 PM

Jackscrews can have tremendous leverage on a component like that and one factor that’s important is that the forces on the stabilizer don’t tend to be able to move the jackscrew. The jackscrew can easily move the stabilizer but the stabilizer cannot easily move the jack screw.

Scott R 05-02-2019 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by javadog (Post 10446357)
Jackscrews can have tremendous leverage on a component like that and one factor that’s important is that the forces on the stabilizer don’t tend to be able to move the jackscrew. The jackscrew can easily move the stabilizer but the stabilizer cannot easily move the jack screw.

Yup, that's why.

Jeff Higgins 05-02-2019 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seafeye (Post 10445890)
Boeing Manufacturing Countries.

A very incomplete list. You will notice that all of the components listed are structural parts and control surfaces. No systems listed - hydraulic, electrical, landing gear, avionics, navigation, environmental, flight controls, etc. There are dozens and dozens (if not hundreds) more suppliers than that. Not to mention who has design responsibility for all of it.

Interestingly, none of the systems, assemblies, or installations implicated in their current issues made this list.

Quote:

Originally Posted by KNS (Post 10446197)
Boeing is still filling orders for other 737 models, not just the Max.

Yup. They will be filling pre-Max orders for some time.

I am not entirely sure (since I have been out of the loop for a couple of years and never worked on Renton aircraft anyways), but it would not surprise me in the least if the affected systems are in place on pre-Max 737 models, if not other Boeing aircraft.

The rather unsophisticated public and press has no idea how new technologies proliferate across the range of currently offered models. The larger twin aisle aircraft, however, are typically flown by more experienced pilots, flying for larger, more successful airlines, and probably would not have the problems demonstrated by second rate third world airlines with under qualified, inadequately trained pilots.

Quote:

Originally Posted by greglepore (Post 10446353)
Man, Jack screws. Jeff, given that jammed j/s's have been an issue for a long time, whether mechanical or aerodynamic load, why hasn't someone come up with an alternative?

Have they been? Really? My God, there are literally tens of thousands of aircraft in the air today with jack screws utilized to set horizontal stabilizer trim. Hundreds of millions of flight hours. There have been a few notable failures, definitely. Each and every one has been traced to improper maintenance or, at worst, faulty manufacturing resulting in premature component failure. The concept itself is very sound.

We could only dream of such reliability in any of the other mechanical devices with which we surround ourselves. Granted, the price of failure in aviation is much higher than with, say, washing machines, but so is the demonstrated reliability. Anything made by man will never be perfect all of the time. Commercial airplanes are actually about as close as we have ever come.

Seahawk 05-03-2019 04:36 AM

Didn't know where else to put this, but I enjoyed the video.

I have been to Davis Mothan (where military aircraft are stored) but not to Victorville.

I would love a tour.

<iframe width="1234" height="694" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/AKzM9R21LZc" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture" allowfullscreen></iframe>

jyl 05-03-2019 09:44 AM

This is an interesting thread. I've no technical knowledge of aircraft. Here's my general conclusion from reading all of this - please tell me if you guys disagree?

1. The plane has some problems (MCAS reliance on single sensor, MCAS operation, warnings optional, training procedure and/or manuals incomplete).
2. The problems can be fixed relatively quickly and inexpensively, once the fix is approved, and the fix won't affect the characteristics that carriers bought the plane (economy, performance, etc).
3. A couple hundred people have died, mostly from third-world countries, the probable damages payout is in the few hundreds of millions US$.
4. Carriers have had to ground their planes for a few months, business losses may be in the few-several hundreds of millions US$.
5. Boeing will be raked over the Congressional coals, but the inquiries will show (maybe) negligence rather than deliberate criminality, fraud, or corruption.
6. The only other source of large commercial aircraft, Airbus, has had similar problems.
7. The carriers are not seeing a downturn in demand, they still need the planes that they have on order, and if they abandon their Boeing orders to buy from Airbus, they'll get their planes even later
8. The current production, that is stacking up as work-in-progress, will be delivered to carriers later this year.
9. Boeing is a critical military contractor in addition to a critical commercial supplier.

If this is all correct, seems to me this will cost Boeing around $1BN in damages and not much in lost orders, although some revenue will be shifted from 1H19 to 2H19.

Rinty 05-03-2019 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jyl (Post 10447019)
This is an interesting thread...

For sure.

Back in the day, when I had my Mooney, I used to subscribe to all the MOT accident reports. They were interesting reading.

Racerbvd 05-03-2019 07:37 PM

This happened just a few miles from my home
Quote:

WTLV Breaking News

*

WATCH LIVE: 737 plane crashes into St. Johns River by NAS Jax

The airplane was a 737 passenger plane with about 150 people on board.

LOCAL*

58 seconds ago

Author:First Coast News

Published:10:41 PM EDT May 3, 2019

Updated:11:29 PM EDT May 3, 2019

JACKSONVILLE, Fla — An airplane with over 100 passengers has gone off a runway and into the St. Johns River near the NAS Jax airport.*

The airplane was a 737 passenger plane with about 150 people on board, a source told First Coast News.*

Everyone aboard the plane is alive and has been accounted for, according to Mayor Lenny Curry and the Jacksonville Sheriff's Office.*

https://www.firstcoastnews.com/mobile/article/news/local/watch-live-737-plane-crashes-into-st-johns-river-by-nas-jax/77-b7db12b0-629b-4b78-83ba-e479f3d13cb5


Captain Ahab Jr 05-04-2019 01:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racerbvd (Post 10447605)
This happened just a few miles from my home

good news everyone is ok

bet it flying to Mecca and operated by 3rd world pilot's :rolleyes:

kach22i 05-04-2019 03:12 AM

More details.................

Boeing 737 coming from Guantanamo Bay slid off runway and fell into Florida river, officials say
https://wtkr.com/2019/05/03/commercial-jet-carrying-136-passengers-lands-in-water-near-nas-jacksonville-sources-say/
Quote:

A spokesman from the Naval Air Station Jacksonville said a Boeing 737 slid off of a runway into the St. Johns River at 9:40 p.m. ET. The station told CNN affiliate WJXT that the plane appears to have skidded off the airport runway while trying to land and ended up in the river.

The station said the plane was arriving “from Naval Station Guantanamo Bay, Cuba into Naval Air Station Jacksonville ” and crashed into the river at the end of the runway..............

The Jacksonville Sheriff’s Office said in a tweet the plane was in “shallow water,” and was “not submerged.“
Looks to be an old facility, hemmed in by the river and a highway. Shorter than usual runways?

http://www.scharch.org/Ed_Scharch/08-nas-jax-oper.htm
http://www.scharch.org/Ed_Scharch/na...ax-general.jpg
http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1556969442.jpg
Quote:

NAS Jacksonville History

Naval Air Station Jacksonville was officially commissioned on October 15, 1940, and it became the first part of the Naval Air Operational Training Command complex, that included NAAS Cecil Field and Naval Station Mayport. Captain Charles P. Mason raised his pennant as the station's first commanding officer...........

The hard-surface runways were painted to resemble the deck of an aircraft carrier.
https://maps-jacksonville.com/nas-jax-map
http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1556968854.jpg

Seahawk 05-04-2019 04:09 AM

NAS Jax is a very modern facility. Home to the P-8 Poseidon and HSM-60 and MH-60R.

I have flown into Jax dozens of times. Beautiful place.

widgeon13 05-04-2019 04:28 AM

CNN had interviewed a woman on the flight this morning and her profound description of the event was "the landing didn't feel right"!

No ****, way to go CNN.

kach22i 05-04-2019 05:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seahawk (Post 10447763)
NAS Jax is a very modern facility. Home to the P-8 Poseidon and HSM-60 and MH-60R.

I have flown into Jax dozens of times. Beautiful place.

737-MMA / P8A Poseidon
Quote:

The MMA, US Navy designation “P-8A Poseidon” ........is based on the 737-800ERX
Thank you for answering my question.

Good to know that the runway is long enough for those two helicopters you listed. ;)

kach22i 05-04-2019 05:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by widgeon13 (Post 10447771)
CNN had interviewed a woman on the flight this morning and her profound description of the event was "the landing didn't feel right"!

No ****, way to go CNN.

More to that article that is newsworthy.

https://www.cnn.com/2019/05/04/us/military-plane-crash-bormann-passenger/index.html
Quote:

(CNN)
A civilian defense attorney aboard the military-chartered Boeing 737 that skidded into a Florida river said the landing "didn't feel right."

Cheryl Bormann spoke to CNN's Don Lemon as she waited with the rest of the passengers rescued following the incident......

"The plane ... literally hit the ground and then it bounced. It was clear that the pilot did not have complete control of the plane because it bounced some more, it swerved and tilted left and right," she said. "The pilot was trying to control it but couldn't, and then all of a sudden it smashed into something."

The plane skidded from the runway into the St. Johns River at 9:40 p.m. ET, but did not submerge.
Quote:

There were also pets checked in the luggage compartment below. Bormann said they have not been rescued, and they likely didn't make it.

URY914 05-04-2019 10:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seahawk (Post 10447763)
NAS Jax is a very modern facility. Home to the P-8 Poseidon and HSM-60 and MH-60R.

I have flown into Jax dozens of times. Beautiful place.

Then you've flown over my house dozens of times too. I live on the east side of the river.

Seahawk 05-04-2019 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kach22i (Post 10447836)
Good to know that the runway is long enough for those two helicopters you listed. ;)

Interesting tidbit - the 60 has a forward landing speed of 70kts if required, which they practice all the time.

Among other reasons, that forward air speed helps with loss of tail rotor control or thrust: At certain forward air-speeds the 60 can fly without an operational tail rotor. Lot's of reasons why, but there is at least one instance where a 60, without tail rotor thrust, was able to land at 70kt forward airspeed and control the landing on roll out. The procedure is in NATOPS. Coming into a hover with an controllable or operation tail rotor is not possible.

Quote:

Originally Posted by URY914 (Post 10448056)
Then you've flown over my house dozens of times too. I live on the east side of the river.

Jacksonville has really come into it's own since the 90's. In the old days SH-60B's were all in Mayport and the H-3's were in Jax. I went to the FRS requal in Mayport and spent many nights over in Jax with friends of mine on the weekends. Things have changed for the better.

Nice place!


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