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tabs 07-10-2019 08:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Por_sha911 (Post 10513785)
The Soothsayer said to Caesar on the way to the Senate, ,"Beware of the Idea of March." Caesar replied, " The Ides of March are here and nothing has happened?" The Soothsayer then said, "But the Ides of March are not yet gone."

RWebb 07-10-2019 10:29 AM
so, tabs - what Int'l mutual fund types do you favor now?

Clint Lando 07-10-2019 11:10 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tabs (Post 10519099)
The Soothsayer said to Caesar on the way to the Senate, ,"Beware of the Idea of March." Caesar replied, " The Ides of March are here and nothing has happened?" The Soothsayer then said, "But the Ides of March are not yet gone."
some day I'm right

tabs 07-10-2019 11:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RWebb (Post 10519272)
so, tabs - what Int'l mutual fund types do you favor now?
I would stay with US Equities..it is the high ground in any flood. The world seems to think that as the USD and Bond markets have gained strength..Cash is flowing into the US.

tabs 07-10-2019 11:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clint Lando (Post 10519329)
some day I'm right
My above Missives are the stark reality of the situation unencumbered by any wishful thinking, bias, delusion, deceit, stupidity or pettifoggery. It is a clear assessment without any emotional attachments that some may subscribe to it. One may think that those who are dismayed to hear such a clear assessment are themselves living in one form of denial or another and can not handle the truth.

The pettifoggery that goes on over the above and related subjects really reflects the mindless informational level of monkeys chattering at each other in the trees..God help us all you wana Banana?

Clint Lando 07-10-2019 01:57 PM
http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1562795822.jpg

NoRush993/951 07-11-2019 08:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RWebb (Post 10519272)
so, tabs - what Int'l mutual fund types do you favor now?
Russian.

NoRush993/951 07-11-2019 08:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by tabs (Post 10513657)
People are willing to take low long term interest rates because they are decidedly pessimistic about long term economic performance. If there were more confidence rates would be higher as higher rates would have to be paid to attract money away from alternative investments.

The FED short term rate is the overnight lending rate to banks...and is set by the FED..to speed up or slow the flow of money.

The fact that there is an inversion belies the fact that the herd is more pessimistic economically and the FED is out of touch with that sentiment. The pressure is on the FED to lower rates to get in synch with global sentiment..

Tabs- Great insight on the confidence correlation to rates. That isn't printed often enough.
Confidence turn coming mid January '20. Should signal the rate upturn resumption.

KFC911 07-12-2019 02:31 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Clint Lando (Post 10519523)
I'm beginning to enjoy yer posts....carry on :).

ckelly78z 07-12-2019 03:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NoRush993/951 (Post 10521242)
Tabs- Great insight on the confidence correlation to rates. That isn't printed often enough.
Confidence turn coming mid January '20. Should signal the rate upturn resumption.
What makes you believe that a confidence turn will happen early next year ? Elections, tarriffs, political pedophile rings exposed ?

KFC911 07-12-2019 04:27 AM
He's got an early warning Tweet detector :)!

cabmandone 07-12-2019 05:14 AM
I'm wondering how big the drop will be when the FED announces it will not to lower rates.

KFC911 07-12-2019 05:47 AM
Everything the FED has done since Dec. 4th....it depends on that "end game".... imo.

My advice....buy pot....specifically ACB....cause I've driven the price down with my purchases ;)

It's wonky-donkey....world-wide...who's gonna fart next....

Shaun @ Tru6 07-12-2019 04:15 PM
Ted, what's your crystal ball say about needing to raise the debt ceiling now because we may run out of money before congress comes back from recess?

Sooner or later 07-12-2019 04:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun @ Tru6 (Post 10522193)
Ted, what's your crystal ball say about needing to raise the debt ceiling now because we may run out of money before congress comes back from recess?
You have to raise the debt ceiling. The bills are coming in on items or services we have already received.

Company A contracts with Tru 6 to coat $10,000 of product. You fulfill the order and ship to them and they put product to use.

You send them the bill and they refuse to pay.

We can easily qualify for and get a loan for payment.but if we do we will go over our self imposed debt limit. You will have to wait until we drop our debt before you get paid. But under current conditions we can't see that happening.

Question: How happy would you be?

Shaun @ Tru6 07-12-2019 04:25 PM
My question focused on Ted's thoughts on how the markets will react.

Sooner or later 07-12-2019 04:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun @ Tru6 (Post 10522208)
My question focused on Ted's thoughts on how the markets will react.
Bonds would hate it. Defaulting on payments (non bonds) due. Bonds rates would climb. US credit rating could decline. Market would drop due to concerns on lower US credit rating.

It is not going to happen. It may have short term implications if no deal is done with time running short.

Sooner or later 07-12-2019 04:45 PM
We hit the limit earlier this hear. We are currently taking "extraordinary measures" to keep from going over. Early to mid Sept those "E M" will have run their course and other measures will take place. Loss of funding to National Parks, base commissary, those and other non essentials would be shut down or limited.

Short term little harm to bonds or stocks. Long term and a loss of faith creates problems.

William930t 07-13-2019 04:13 AM
I am wondering why the FED even wants to ease rates in our current phase of slow steady growth, the longest such period in market history. A future correction or recession is likely, so why not wait until indicators show lowering rates will truly help: hold your ammo.


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