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-   -   Comparing flu vs CV19 deaths - apples to oranges (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1059796-comparing-flu-vs-cv19-deaths-apples-oranges.html)

Sooner or later 05-02-2020 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by island911 (Post 10849158)
"Mexico has confirmed 16,752 coronavirus cases and 1,569 deaths,

That's a lot less death than NYC, right?

And that 1,569 is not Mexico city, but all of Mexico.

So they have the China Virus, they have more people in a more dense urban area... and yet their death count is not nearly as high.

And we keep on getting the drum-beat message that "staying home" (perhaps for years) is the only answer.

Who believes that anymore?

They are not testing. For every test Mexico performs the US does 30. They are about 3 weeks behind the US on the curve.

How many die in Mexican slums and never see s hospital. Their data probably isn't much better than Iran's.

You are not hearing the stay at home for years drum beat from me.

Sooner or later 05-02-2020 01:33 PM

I have been compliing every antibody study throughout the world. There may be orhers.

For clarification purposes.
Death rate is the calculated rate based off the total number of death divided by the total number or known and unknown cases that were found in the antibody study.
The % infected is the % infected that were found in the study.
The 15/1 (example) is the multiplier needed to get the rate of infection in known cases to the rate found in the study.

USC/LA County
0.18% death rate, 4.1% infected, unknown per known 28/55-1

Chelsea (hot spot)
0.31% death rate, 31% infected, unknown per known 15-1

Gangelt Germany(hot spot)
0.37 death rate, 15% infected, unknown per known 15-1

Netherlands
0.63% death rate, 3% infected, 15-1

Helsinki
0.19% death rate, 3.4% infected, 28-1

Miami
0.17% death rate, 6% infected, 16-1

NY (hot spot)
0.78% death rate, 15% infected, 11/12-1

Stanford/Santa Clara
0.13% death rate, 3.2% infected, 50/85-1

Geneva
0.6% death rate, 5.5% infected, 6/1

Denmark
0.38% death rate, 1.7% infected, 13/1 (9,496 blood donors)

Belgium (Highest death rate per known cases in the world)
0.93% death rate, 4.3% infected, 15/1

Sooner or later 05-02-2020 02:21 PM

This is how far down the curve (or inaccurate their reporting), Mexico is. On April 1st Oklahoma had 719 cases and 30 deaths. On the same date, all of Mexico had 1215 cases and 29 deaths.


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