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-   -   COVID: By The Numbers (http://forums.pelicanparts.com/off-topic-discussions/1102685-covid-numbers.html)

upsscott 09-23-2021 07:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tobra (Post 11465590)
Poor Denis, too stupid to understand I don't read your angry ranting. Predictably, there is no doubt you are making some other comments that violate the terms of use for this website


Too bad so many people like you moved to California and ruined the place


You are a supreme snowflake. A snowflake for the ages.

island911 09-23-2021 07:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by speeder (Post 11465541)
.. If you are not vaccinated, it will kill you a lot of the time.
...

https://media2.giphy.com/media/If9Dv...giphy.gif&ct=g

https://media4.giphy.com/media/tPdYQ...giphy.gif&ct=g

upsscott 09-24-2021 05:42 AM

https://youtu.be/I6H7urz-HgA
I feel like Jordan Klepper when I’m reading and posting in these Covid threads.

Paul T 09-24-2021 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by upsscott (Post 11466009)
You are a supreme snowflake. A snowflake for the ages.

I never understand anyone who mutes posts...like are you that thin skinned or easily offended that you can't even read the postings of someone you may dislike. Ridiculous IMO...

upsscott 09-24-2021 07:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul T (Post 11466261)
I never understand anyone who mutes posts...like are you that thin skinned or easily offended that you can't even read the postings of someone you may dislike. Ridiculous IMO...


It’s funny because let’s say somebody blocks my comments, they immediately see them when you quote the comment, unless your are blocked of course. At this point Tobra may only see comments from Fintstone or Island. That’s his safe space.

island911 09-24-2021 08:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by upsscott (Post 11466304)
It’s funny because let’s say somebody blocks my comments, they immediately see them when you quote the comment, unless your are blocked of course. At this point Tobra may only see comments from Fintstone or Island. That’s his safe space.

What's even more absurd (than those who block) is that you think it so important for him (or others) to see your drivel. - not exactly strong thought thar.

HobieMarty 09-24-2021 08:48 AM

Covid by the numbers? 1.

I have an Uncle that passed away early this morning from Covid. He was 65 years old and had been in the hospital since Labor Day.
He was not vaccinated and he is the first person in my family to die from this goddamn virus!!!
How do you deal with this?
No one to yell at and can't punch the ***** out of a virus. It's going to be a roller coaster of emotions today.
My Uncle will be missed!!!

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

KFC911 09-24-2021 09:07 AM

^^^^ Very sorry Marty.... may your uncle RIP.

One by one .... it matters.

Our first rate health care ICUs are maxed according to local news. I see thei

speeder 09-24-2021 09:08 AM

Marty, I'm sorry for your family's loss. It's compounded when you know that it probably could have been prevented. RIP.

speeder 09-24-2021 09:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by upsscott (Post 11466009)
You are a supreme snowflake. A snowflake for the ages.

I prefer the traditional word...he's a pussy. And kind of an idiot. The good thing is, I'm not really insulting him because he can't see this. Because he's a pussy. :)

KFC911 09-24-2021 09:12 AM

^^^^ Very sorry Marty.... may your uncle RIP.

One by one .... it matters.

Our first rate health care ICUs are maxed according to local news. I see their leading Drs. pleading on TV.

These are nationaly reknowned facilities... NC is health care rich and I don't have a clue, nor do any of you PARF clowns compared to the experts in this state.

That's my take....

HobieMarty 09-24-2021 09:38 AM

Thanks guys.
Yep, it probably could've been prevented which really makes me angry. If he had been vaccinated, maybe he would have pulled through this, but we will never know.

He went to a Birthday party for one of his grandchildren, turns out a girl there tested positive for Covid, a few days later he has Covid, less than a month later, he is gone!!!

I understand people don't want to be told they "have" to get the vaccine for one reason or another, but still, get the vaccine so that you have a fighting chance of survival if you do get Covid. I don't want another person to die from this virus!!!
Rest In Peace Uncle Kenny.


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island911 09-24-2021 10:19 AM

Sorry for your loss of Uncle Kenny.

You are right that he had been vaccinated, maybe he would have pulled through, but maybe not.

According to the CDC the vax is not perfect for preventing death, https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7037e1.htm#F1_down

Here is their chart that shows more unvax'd die from this than vax'd (about 10:1)
http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1632503160.JPG

They don't show the percentage vax'd vs non-vax'd during that period. (much larger population of unvax'd?) (nothing to see thar)
But interestingly the percentage of vax'd deaths is on the rise, relative to the unvax'd.

We are told that with time away from the vax decreases the effectiveness. (boosters needed)

These vaccines are far from perfect, that is for sure. People who claim otherwise do not like to "follow the science" the numbers.

speeder 09-24-2021 10:28 AM

The bottom line is that getting vaxx'ed is the best we can do right now and it's about 100 times better than nothing...or horse wormer. You need to play the odds in life.

Steve Carlton 09-24-2021 10:29 AM

I’ll take the 10-11+ times chance of not getting seriously ill, clogging an ICU, and surviving by getting vaccinated. I’ll take the booster when I qualify early November, knowing my chances of a breakthrough infection and the consequences will drop even farther.

URY914 09-24-2021 12:15 PM

My wife knows a women that said she was never going to get the shot and never wears a mask. Her daughter is getting married this weekend. The women, her husband (father of the bride) and other daughter (maid of honor) all tested positive this week. Remains to be seen if they will attend the wedding. I'm thinking they probably will and make it not only a wedding but a super spreader event as well.

upsscott 09-24-2021 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by island911 (Post 11466350)
What's even more absurd (than those who block) is that you think it so important for him (or others) to see your drivel. - not exactly strong thought thar.


This is rich coming from you. Lol.

upsscott 09-24-2021 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HobieMarty (Post 11466380)
Covid by the numbers? 1.

I have an Uncle that passed away early this morning from Covid. He was 65 years old and had been in the hospital since Labor Day.
He was not vaccinated and he is the first person in my family to die from this goddamn virus!!!
How do you deal with this?
No one to yell at and can't punch the ***** out of a virus. It's going to be a roller coaster of emotions today.
My Uncle will be missed!!!

Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk


Terrible. So sorry for your loss.

upsscott 09-24-2021 12:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HobieMarty (Post 11466425)
Thanks guys.
Yep, it probably could've been prevented which really makes me angry. If he had been vaccinated, maybe he would have pulled through this, but we will never know.

He went to a Birthday party for one of his grandchildren, turns out a girl there tested positive for Covid, a few days later he has Covid, less than a month later, he is gone!!!

I understand people don't want to be told they "have" to get the vaccine for one reason or another, but still, get the vaccine so that you have a fighting chance of survival if you do get Covid. I don't want another person to die from this virus!!!
Rest In Peace Uncle Kenny.


Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk


By far the most powerful post in this ongoing thread.

cockerpunk 09-24-2021 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HobieMarty (Post 11466425)
Thanks guys.
Yep, it probably could've been prevented which really makes me angry. If he had been vaccinated, maybe he would have pulled through this, but we will never know.

He went to a Birthday party for one of his grandchildren, turns out a girl there tested positive for Covid, a few days later he has Covid, less than a month later, he is gone!!!

I understand people don't want to be told they "have" to get the vaccine for one reason or another, but still, get the vaccine so that you have a fighting chance of survival if you do get Covid. I don't want another person to die from this virus!!!
Rest In Peace Uncle Kenny.


Sent from my SM-N950U using Tapatalk

what a ****ing shame.

it really is a shame. we could be done with this. we could be 100% back to normal. basically almost all covid-19 deaths at this point are preventable.

but we can't have nice things here in this country.

HobieMarty 09-24-2021 02:03 PM

Thank you for all the condolences guys, I really do appreciate it very much.

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Tobra 09-24-2021 02:28 PM

Sorry about your uncle Marty

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrBonus (Post 11465002)
Israel’s current vaccination rate is around 60%. The US is around 55%.

No, you are wrong

Israel is right around 85%

Steve Carlton 09-24-2021 03:10 PM

It depends on how you measure it. Partially vaccinated, fully vaccinated, percentage of eligible population, percentage of total population.

Israel 67% vaccinated, 62% fully vaccinated of population
US 64% vaccinated, 55% fully vaccinated of population


From the NY Times tracker. Probably current, no date provided.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/covid-vaccinations-tracker.html

island911 09-24-2021 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by speeder (Post 11466488)
The bottom line is that getting vaxx'ed is the best we can do right now and it's about 100 times better than nothing...or horse wormer. You need to play the odds in life.

No, it is not about 100 times better It's about 10x better and losing ground as more people get vax'd, and as more people are further away from their vax date.

Let's say, for the sake of illustration, that at one point 90% of the people are unvax'd and 10% vax'd... AND we see numbers that show 90% of the deaths are of unvax'd and 10% of deaths from vax'd. - How effective then is the vaccine?

Let's say that 100% of the population is vax'd. What then would be the percentage of the deaths of vax'd people?

See how that works?

Steve Carlton 09-25-2021 07:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by island911 (Post 11467024)
No, it is not about 100 times better It's about 10x better and losing ground as more people get vax'd, and as more people are further away from their vax date.

Let's say, for the sake of illustration, that at one point 90% of the people are unvax'd and 10% vax'd... AND we see numbers that show 90% of the deaths are of unvax'd and 10% of deaths from vax'd. - How effective then is the vaccine?

Let's say that 100% of the population is vax'd. What then would be the percentage of the deaths of vax'd people?

See how that works?

Your argument is useless because it is based on made up numbers to support your argument. Try reading this and let us know what you think. It's from the NYT August 10, 2021:

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/08/10/us/covid-breakthrough-infections-vaccines.html

In a state with a high vaccination rate, a higher percentage of breakthroughs may simply reflect that fully vaccinated people are a bigger chunk of the population, or that there are few hospitalizations and deaths overall. Imagine a state where just two people are hospitalized but both are vaccinated — breakthroughs would account for 100 percent of the hospitalizations in that state, even though these cases were very rare.
Assessing breakthrough rates

Some epidemiologists and state health officials instead recommend comparing how likely a vaccinated person was to be hospitalized or to die, compared with an unvaccinated person.

To do this, the Times used the number of breakthroughs and the vaccination rate over time to estimate rates of hospitalizations and deaths for each group in every state for which data was available.

In those states, people who were not fully vaccinated were hospitalized with Covid-19 at least five times more often than fully vaccinated people, according to the analysis, and they died at least eight times more often.

island911 09-25-2021 08:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steve Carlton (Post 11467155)
Your argument is useless because it is based on made up numbers to support your argument....

:rolleyes: Trying to show speeder a concept about percentages.

Am I wrong in saying that any CV deaths, when there is 100% of the population vax'd, will be 100% from vax'd people?

Am I wrong in saying that any CV deaths, when there was 100% of the population un-vax'd, those deaths were 100% from un-vax'd people?

THe point being that we have to know the % of the population vax'd & un-vax'd to understand the effectiveness of the vaccine, when presented as "90% of deaths are from unvaccinated, and 10% of CV deaths from vaccinated"

WHEN you hold that number (90/10) up against the ~50% vax'd that 10% death with vax'd is worse than 10% of the vac'd population ... more like 20% (read: the vax is not all that great. Better than nothing, but FAR from perfect)

upsscott 09-25-2021 08:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by island911 (Post 11467202)
:rolleyes: Trying to show speeder a concept about percentages.

Am I wrong in saying that any CV deaths, when there is 100% of the population vax'd, will be 100% from vax'd people?

Am I wrong in saying that any CV deaths, when there was 100% of the population un-vax'd, those deaths were 100% from un-vax'd people?

THe point being that we have to know the % of the population vax'd & un-vax'd to understand the effectiveness of the vaccine, when presented as "90% of deaths are from unvaccinated, and 10% of CV deaths from vaccinated"

WHEN you hold that number (90/10) up against the ~50% vax'd that 10% death with vax'd is worse than 10% of the vac'd population ... more like 20% (read: the vax is not all that great. Better than nothing, but FAR from perfect)


First off, you are a moron. Second, nobody has claimed the vaccine to be perfect. It doesn’t have to be perfect. My guess is that you know this but you love being the Dr. Evil character on the web. My guess is you are waiting your turn to get the booster.

island911 09-25-2021 08:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by upsscott (Post 11467212)
First off, you are a moron. ....

I'm not at all like you.

Quote:

Originally Posted by upsscott (Post 11467212)
My guess is you are waiting your turn to get the booster.

Keep GUESSING, keep advertising your idiocy.

island911 09-25-2021 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by upsscott (Post 11467212)
.. Second, nobody has claimed the vaccine to be perfect. ...

Actually the vaccine manufactures have made the claim that 90% effective at NOT contracting the Chynah Virus.

And then there is Fauci.

http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1632101696.jpg

Again, Scott, keep advertising your idiocy.

Steve Carlton 09-25-2021 09:18 AM

You’re using information that pre-dates Delta.

upsscott 09-25-2021 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Steve Carlton (Post 11467240)
You’re using information that pre-dates Delta.


He uses whatever info out there that makes him feel cool. It’s pretty pathetic actually. Some of the posters here are really skeptical of the vaccine, I can tell. Not island. He’s most definitely vaccinated to the hilt. It’s just so fun to play the devils advocate in everything and it makes him feel cool.

hbueno 09-25-2021 08:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by upsscott (Post 11467454)
He uses whatever info out there that makes him feel cool. It’s pretty pathetic actually. Some of the posters here are really skeptical of the vaccine, I can tell. Not island. He’s most definitely vaccinated to the hilt. It’s just so fun to play the devils advocate in everything and it makes him feel cool.

And yet. lots of members dutifully continue to feed his trolling, day in and day out. The only way to win is to not play his game.

HobieMarty 09-25-2021 08:43 PM

It's pretty simple here. The vaccine is not going to make anyone 100% invincible to this virus but it does give you a fighting chance of survival if you were to get the virus. Nothing is guaranteed in this life, in this world, but if you arm yourself with some sort of defense against the virus through a vaccine, then aren't you better equipped to defend yourself against the virus? I think so. It just seems simple to me, common sense. Vaccines are just a weapon to help you prevail against an ailment. Get the damn shot so you dont die!!! This thing doesn't care what political party you belong to, viruses don't discriminate between races either. Who gives a rat's a$$ about percentages of this or that, it doesnt matter.
I want people to live and to live their lives as they want, I swear to God Almighty I don't want anyone else to die from this damn blasted virus. I say get vaccinated to give yourself a fighting chance just in case you were to get the virus. I really like you guys here and dont want anything to happen to y'all. Thanks for reading my rant. Peace.

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KFC911 09-26-2021 04:33 AM

^^^ I can agree with the above ... with a caveat. Odds are anyone will beat this virus without a vax also... and that's where statistics can mislead the gullible. I'll listen to health care providers and scientists here in NC... we have "our best" working on it ... not posting on Pelican... like me.

Liars, Damn Liars, Statisticians, Glenn, ... :D

island911 09-26-2021 06:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HobieMarty (Post 11467595)
It's pretty simple here. The vaccine is not going to make anyone 100% invincible to this virus but it does give you a fighting chance of survival if you were to get the virus. Nothing is guaranteed in this life, in this world, but if you arm yourself with some sort of defense against the virus through a vaccine, then aren't you better equipped to defend yourself against the virus?...

If you are looking to defend against this virus then look to those who have survived this virus - the VAST majority of which did NOT have a vaccine. You will see that even 90 y/o's have survived this virus - none of them fat.

Hundreds of millions of people have survived this virus just fine without a vaccine. So ranting around, Pollyanna style, insisting that only the vaccine can give fighting chance... is ridiculous. Well, unless you are talking to the "at risk" population - asthmatic obese smoker... Those people should definitely do whatever they can to improve their situation. Vaccine, exercise, Vitamin D.... anything and everything, because this Chynah Virus is here to stay.

island911 09-26-2021 06:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by upsscott (Post 11467454)
He uses whatever info out there that makes him feel cool. It’s pretty pathetic actually. Some of the posters here are really skeptical of the vaccine, I can tell. Not island. He’s most definitely vaccinated to the hilt. It’s just so fun to play the devils advocate in everything and it makes him feel cool.

Quote:

Originally Posted by hbueno (Post 11467581)
And yet. lots of members dutifully continue to feed his trolling, day in and day out. The only way to win is to not play his game.

You two are ridiculously dull.


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