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A Man of Wealth and Taste
 
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Join Date: Dec 2002
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Terrorism ....and the Stock Market

Yesterday Indonesia was the site of a Terrorist attack...15 Killed, 150 injured....USA Stock Market ...DOW was down 150 points, Nasdq was down 40 points which is = to 240 DOW points... Newspaper corrobrates my analysis....Stock Market was down due to Terrorism....Looks like my case has been proven that Terrorism can bring the US financial system crashing down around our ears...

So boyz if you wana keep you Porsches better sign on to the war on Terrorism....

The Stock Market indicates the State of Economic activity which = JOBS = Paychecks = Porsches in the Garage....

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Old 08-06-2003, 08:54 AM
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Do you think market jumps (+3% or more) if they bring back Saddam's head on a stick, or do you think that's becoming a tired story by now?
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Old 08-06-2003, 10:10 AM
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To me, those effects only reflects the stupidity of traders, who overreact to news that have nothing to do with what they are trading. Greed and stupidity are to only two
parameters affecting the stocks market on such a short reaction time. I can see how the planes hijacking affected the airline industry, on the long run, but reactions to a daily event make no sense to me. Maybe Tabs can explain me how it works. My guess is that this is just fear, causing overraction to try to be ahead of everybody else.

Aurel
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Old 08-06-2003, 03:51 PM
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A Man of Wealth and Taste
 
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Who ever said Money and investing was a rational endevor...Bond Traders take the cake for skitishness...it all comes down to preserving capital and not being on the wrong end of the stick...better to be safe than sorry attitude... So they head for the doors at the first sign of INSTABILITY.

Yeah I think if Sadam is caught the market will respond favorably...USA force of arms will be prercieved as winning, and there will be one less bogey man out there to worry about. But Bin Laden would be the real coup.
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Old 08-07-2003, 11:55 AM
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Someone once told me that a bond investor can hope to get a relatively small return (the coupon) but is exposed to a very large risk (default), so as a breed they are very skittish. This assumes interest rates are constant, and I suppose it doesn't apply to government bonds perceived as having no risk of default. But anyway maybe bond investors still learn this skittishness in the nest, as it were.
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Old 08-07-2003, 03:49 PM
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Talking about stocks and 9/11, do you remember that ?

On Sept. 6, 2001 2,075 put options were made on United Airlines, and on the day before the attacks, 2,282 put options were made on American Airlines.

The comission in charge who investigating who did it seems to be going nowhere...

http://www.newsmax.com/archives/articles/2002/6/2/62018.shtml

Is it because that would reveal who had previous knowledge of 9/11, and therefore who really organized it ?
I still don`t buy the Al Quaeda story...

Aurel
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Old 08-07-2003, 04:10 PM
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I meant:

The comission in charge of investigating...
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Old 08-07-2003, 04:12 PM
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I'm positive that Tabs knows very little about the market. About terrorism, I'm not so sure...

Old 08-07-2003, 05:06 PM
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