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fastpat 02-26-2006 06:50 PM

What did Bring Down the Soviet Union...?
 
The myth makers have Ronald Reagan's willingness to spend billions on defense as the reason which ran the Soviet Union out of business, about as ridiculous a notion about the US government as there is. Paul Craig Roberts has a better theory, and he may just be on to something.

Quote:


Lest We Forget

by Paul Craig Roberts


Fifty years ago today Nikita Krushchev gave his Secret Speech to the Closed Session of the Twentieth Party Congress in which he denounced Joseph Stalin. At that time Krushchev, the General Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, held the most powerful political office in the world. The power that Stalin had accumulated in this position had made communism unsafe for communists. Heroes of the Bolshevik Revolution had been subjected to "barbaric tortures" and forced to incriminate themselves "with all kinds of grave and unlikely crimes." Krushchev denounced Stalin before the Party Congress "in order that we may preclude any possibility of a repetition in any form whatever of what took place" under Stalin.

Stalin had turned the unaccountable power that Lenin had embodied in the Communist Party against the party itself. Karl Marx�s reasoning leaves violence as the mediator between classes. Lenin took the reasoning one step further and made violence the mediator of disputes between the Party and the people. Stalin completed the logic and made violence the mediator between the Party and its members. Consequently, no one was safe. The situation was intolerable for all, and Nikita Krushchev brought it to an end.

He no doubt realized that he was reducing his power by reducing the fear associated with his position. But he probably did not know that in denouncing Stalin he was shattering the myth of Party Infallibility and setting in motion the ultimate demise of the Communist Party.

Party members have explained the shattering effect of Krushchev's speech on their belief system. The Eastern European satellites responded first, with the Hungarian Revolution in 1956 and the Czechoslovakian Revolution in 1968, both put down with Soviet tanks. But life behind the Iron Curtain nevertheless changed for the better. Camps were closed. Prisoners were released. Innocent victims were rehabilitated. Dissent became less dangerous. An underground press grew up.

Stalin, said Krushchev, "absolutely did not tolerate collegiality in leadership and in work," but "practiced brutal violence, not only toward everything which opposed him, but also toward that which seemed to his capricious and despotic character, contrary to his concepts. Stalin acted not through persuasion, explanation, and patient cooperation with people, but by imposing his concepts and demanding absolute submission to his opinion. Whoever opposed his concept or tried to prove his viewpoint, and the correctness of his position, was doomed to removal from the leading collective and to subsequent moral and physical annihilation."

Krushchev went on to say that "Stalin originated the concept enemy of the people. This term automatically rendered it unnecessary that the ideological errors of a man or men engaged in a controversy be proven; this term made possible the usage of the most cruel repression, violating all norms of revolutionary legality, against anyone who in any way disagreed with Stalin" or were even imagined to disagree with Stalin. Even ordinary practical and scientific discussions became laden with deadly danger. "The only proof of guilt used," said Krushchev, "was the confession of the accused himself." Confessions, Krushchev said, "were acquired through physical pressures against the accused."

By making communism safe for communists, Krushchev created a toehold for truth. Truth grew in importance and influence. After three decades more, the reformer, Mikhail Gorbachev rose to General Secretary, reached an understanding with Ronald Reagan and brought an end to the cold war and to the Soviet Union itself. Neocons credit the US military buildup, and I, myself, have credited Reagan�s restoration of American capitalism. But the growth of truth in the Soviet Union is what did the job. When Krushchev denounced Stalin, he released the truth.

We need to remember this in our own days, faced as we are with a regime that brooks no dissent, seeks no expert advice, and deceitfully pursues agendas inimical to the US Constitution and to the rights and safety of citizens. We have already fallen dangerously far when the US Department of Justice produces justifications for torture of detainees held without charges or access to attorneys, when Congress and the judiciary acquiesce to the executive disregarding statutory law, and when wars of aggression are started on the basis of lies and false accusations. We now read of Halliburton awarded a $350 million contract to build detention camps in the United States. Bush says "you are with me or against me." Rumsfeld and Cheney already speak of "fifth columnists" and enemies of the regime.

It is a great lie that America needs to give up its civil liberties, the separation of powers, the Geneva Conventions, and humane treatment of prisoners in order to defend itself against terrorism. If these are the Bush regime's terms for protection, Americans need quickly to find another government.

February 25, 2006

Dr. Roberts is Chairman of the Institute for Political Economy and Research Fellow at the Independent Institute. He is a former associate editor of the Wall Street Journal, former contributing editor for National Review, and a former assistant secretary of the U.S. Treasury. He is the co-author of The Tyranny of Good Intentions.

Copyright � 2006 LewRockwell.com

Paul Craig Roberts Archives



Find this article at:
http://www.lewrockwell.com/roberts/roberts152.html


lendaddy 02-26-2006 06:59 PM

locusts?

bigchillcar 02-26-2006 07:28 PM

yes, i would agree that the soviet union did not 'fall' due to u.s. defense spending. but to follow-up on your own parallel drawn to our present administration..the spread of 'truth' within the soviet union required some 30 years before the fall actually occurred..it isn't a fast-acting pill. ;)
ryan

fastpat 02-26-2006 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by lendaddy
locusts?
But the growth of truth in the Soviet Union is what did the job. When Krushchev denounced Stalin, he released the truth.

fastpat 02-26-2006 07:31 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by bigchillcar
yes, i would agree that the soviet union did not 'fall' due to u.s. defense spending. but to follow-up on your own parallel drawn to our present administration..the spread of 'truth' within the soviet union required some 30 years before the fall actually occurred..it isn't a fast-acting pill. ;)
ryan

Perhaps so, but the internet does speed these things up a bit. It's why the Chinese government is scared fecaless over it.

bigchillcar 02-26-2006 07:37 PM

Quote:

It's why the Chinese government is scared fecaless over it.
i can believe that...there is 'quite a large number of chinese people'..they'd be fun to get rankled..lol.
ryan

Eric 951 02-27-2006 07:03 AM

"4 legs good, 2 legs better"

fastpat 02-27-2006 09:41 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by bigchillcar
i can believe that...there is 'quite a large number of chinese people'..they'd be fun to get rankled..lol.
ryan

The last time that happened the Chinese Red Brigades, in the early '60's, killed something like 18 million people.

Now the Chinese are becoming the world's largest fascist state, followed by the Russian Republic, then the US government. I don't know where India fits in the overall hierarchy of governments, but it's loosened the reins a lot in the last two decades.

gaijindabe 02-27-2006 09:52 AM

What did Bring Down the Soviet Union...?

Doomed from the beginning by thinking Karl Marx had any worthy ideas.

Imagine of all those poor college kids sitting through Marxism 101 and "Socialism in the 20th Century" right now.

We should send fastpat into acedemia - if only to shake things up.

fastpat 02-27-2006 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by gaijindabe
What did Bring Down the Soviet Union...?

Doomed from the beginning by thinking Karl Marx had any worthy ideas.

That's right, in order for an idea to be noble it must work and improve the human condition; Marxism was neither.

Quote:

Imagine of all those poor college kids sitting through Marxism 101 and "Socialism in the 20th Century" right now.
That's the last bastion of Marxism in America, Academia is able to resist change from within by the method of tenure granting. The unfortunate side affect of so much socialism being taught in colleges and universities is that it generates a fascist mindset when these folks get to work.

Quote:

We should send fastpat into academia - if only to shake things up.
Tht would be a hoot, but I'm past all that now, I already have more parchment than a man ought to have.:cool:

Mulhollanddose 02-27-2006 10:04 AM

Reagan was the massive straw that broke the camels back, at a time when all quarters of leftism were advising we play nice, Reagan didn't...He pushed them off the cliff.

fastpat 02-27-2006 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Mulhollanddose
Reagan was the massive straw that broke the camels back, at a time when all quarters of leftism were advising we play nice, Reagan didn't...He pushed them off the cliff.
That's the mythology, Mul-berry. It's comfortable, I'm sure, to believe this sort of fairey tale, but that's all it is.

The Soviet Union was well on it's way to economic collapse years before Reagan was elected. All he had to do was stand back and watch. That there was a huge military guild up during the Reagan years was counter-productive and if the progress of the internal rot had not been as deep as it was, the US buildup would have slowed the USSR's collapse like it did in the '50's and agqin in the '60's.

We can talk about both Republican and Democrat administrations who actively saved the USSR during the 20's and 30's if you like, it's an old story.

VINMAN 02-27-2006 10:29 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by fastpat
Tht would be a hoot, but I'm past all that now, I already have more parchment than a man ought to have.:cool: [/B]
And that makes you so much better than everyone else here??

Mulhollanddose 02-27-2006 10:45 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by fastpat That's the mythology, Mul-berry. It's comfortable, I'm sure, to believe this sort of fairey tale, but that's all it is.
It is you offering the mythology. Reagan pushed the USSR over the edge...It is disinformation intended to diminish Reagan to say othewise...This theory fits in with your MO.

carnutzzz 02-27-2006 11:02 AM

Reagan was a genius.

Leave it to FastPat to minimize the accomplishments of the last of the great Presidents.

The arms race was at the heart of the cold war, and the eventual demise of the Soviet Union.

fastpat 02-27-2006 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by carnutzzz
Reagan was a genius.

Leave it to FastPat to minimize the accomplishments of the last of the great Presidents.

The arms race was at the heart of the cold war, and the eventual demise of the Soviet Union.

No, that's a myth, sorry to question something as dear to you as that must be, but the Soviet Union was well on it's way to total economic collapse years before Reagan was elected. His policies were in fact counterproductive.

Reagan was not a good president; at best he was middling. His budget deficits were huge, he spent billions on completely unnecessary military boondoggles that are biting us in the ass still, and expanded the federal government well beyond what it was when he took office.

The last great president in the 20th century was Calvin Coolidge.

Mulhollanddose 02-27-2006 11:14 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by carnutzzz
Reagan was a genius.

Leave it to FastPat to minimize the accomplishments of the last of the great Presidents.

The arms race was at the heart of the cold war, and the eventual demise of the Soviet Union.

Leave it to Pat to diminish one of the greatest Presidents in America, and to accomplish this defending the "truth"ful neo-communist Soviets.

widebody911 02-27-2006 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by fastpat
Reagan was not a good president; at best he was middling.
If you made a cartoon of that, the NeoCons would start rioting in the streets.

dhoward 02-27-2006 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by widebody911
If you made a cartoon of that, the NeoCons would start rioting in the streets.
Only if he had a bomb in his hat....

widebody911 02-27-2006 11:34 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by dhoward
Only if he had a bomb in his hat....
It's times like this that I wish I'd taken art classes instead of programming classes...

dhoward 02-27-2006 11:41 AM

I seem to recall quite a slew of Regan cartoons during his presidency. Many having to do with his defense projects. SDI comes to mind first.
I do, however believe in strong defense initiatives. Even when that entails a strong offense...
YMMV.
:)

techweenie 02-27-2006 11:44 AM

Reagan was an awful president. One of the worst. Somehow, he was embraced by some Americans as the "dotty old uncle" they never had. He was showing signs of dementia when he was still governor of CA. He had a corrupt cabinet and made idiot/zealot appointments.

He rationalized his willingness to run up huge deficits by saying that Americans 'didn't understand them.'

We'll be paying for his failures for generations.

Mulhollanddose 02-27-2006 11:45 AM

http://i45.photobucket.com/albums/f5.../fatmouths.jpg

dhoward 02-27-2006 11:48 AM

Wanna breath mint?
:D

kach22i 02-27-2006 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by techweenie
Reagan was an awful president. One of the worst. Somehow, he was embraced by some Americans as the "dotty old uncle" they never had. He was showing signs of dementia when he was still governor of CA. He had a corrupt cabinet and made idiot/zealot appointments.

He rationalized his willingness to run up huge deficits by saying that Americans 'didn't understand them.'

We'll be paying for his failures for generations.

Agreed.

The only war Reagan won was on the screens of Hollywood and the battle against student aid for those in need.

Mulhollanddose 02-27-2006 12:01 PM

Adam Ulam (Harvard Sovietologist) said, before Reagan took office, that the Soviets could not be stopped unless faced with "a power strong and determined enough to make Soviet foreign adventurism too risky and expensive."...This is precisely how Reagan won the cold war and liberated their peoples from totalitarianism.

kach22i 02-27-2006 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Mulhollanddose
Adam Ulam (Harvard Sovietologist)
Was latter discovered to be a ghostwriter for the communist, feeding hype directly to the Reagan administration.

I just made it up, but prove it's not true.:D

widebody911 02-27-2006 12:22 PM

So if the idea is to trick the other guy to spend himself into the ground, then Osama Bin Laden is a frickin' genius. GWB is spending billions chasing "ter'ists" but OBL's entire operational budget wouldn't fund 20 minutes of IraqNam.

GDSOB 02-27-2006 12:28 PM

Exactly, W took the bait and stepped into this mess. The War on Terrorism is as effective as the War on Poverty & the War on Drugs.

fastpat 02-27-2006 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Mulhollanddose
Leave it to Pat to diminish one of the greatest Presidents in America, and to accomplish this defending the "truth"ful neo-communist Soviets.
I'm beginning to see the reasons you have such a hard time out here, Mul-berry. Your philosophical and moral yardstick is way too short, probably no more than 26 inches, maybe less. It's definitely not the full 36 inches.

You've stated that Ronald Reagan was a great president, but have yet to list a single reason why that is true.

Since he is not responsible for the collapse of the Soviet Union in any way, you'll have to come up with other reasons.

Go ahead, enlighten us. Borrow a real yardstick (and use it) before you begin, though, otherwise you know what's going to happen.

fastpat 02-27-2006 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Mulhollanddose
Adam Ulam (Harvard Sovietologist) said, before Reagan took office, that the Soviets could not be stopped unless faced with "a power strong and determined enough to make Soviet foreign adventurism too risky and expensive."...This is precisely how Reagan won the cold war and liberated their peoples from totalitarianism.
Yeah, yeah, Ulan and Richard Pipes used to be on McNeil-Lehrer on a regular basis in the last decade of the Soviet Union spouting their nonsense. I'm not sure, but I'd guess that the CIA's getting caught completely flatfooted by the speed of the collapse, indeed that it was happening at all, was because they listened to these two idiots and a few more whose careers were built on the back of the cold war and their prowess in Soviet knowledge.

Funniest thing was, in the spring of 1983, when I was in grad school, a former economist within the Soviet hierarchy who had immigrated to America as a Russian Jew, gave a talk at my university about the impending collapse of the Soviet Union. He was very thorough, spoke for about two hours and answered all questions, though he was hard to understand because of his thick Russian accent. He told us all why the collapse was going to happen, and was only off by about 2 years, he thought he would occur in 1987. Of course, large systems have a momentum of their own and being as close as two years is pretty accurate. I wish I could remember his name, maybe if I call the school they have records. It was open to the public, but only something like 75 people were there. Reagan of course, had done virtually nothing at the time of his talk to bring down the system.

Anyone who thinks Ronald Reagan caused the collapse of the Soviet Union is the kind of person who thinks the rooster's crowing makes the sun rise.

carnutzzz 02-27-2006 02:37 PM

"While Liberals believed that the United States should be reconciled to the existence of the USSR and the continuation of the failed containment policy known as the Cold War, Ronald Reagan saw a way to bring that government to its knees--now, in our time. He increased our military budget, forcing the USSR to increase its own military spending to match. In fact, given the 28.3% increase in the Gross Domestic Product during the 1980's, the overall increase in military spending as a percentage of the GDP only increased by .6% during Reagan's term, though it nearly doubled in dollar amount from $158 billion to $304 billion (in 1987 dollars). To the Soviet economy, however, a drastic increase in spending was unsustainable, and Reagan's proposed anti-ballistic missile defense system (Strategic Defense Initiative) which was a death-blow. The USSR could never hope to match it. The moment that Soviet leader Mikhail Gorbachev insisted that SDI research be stopped at the summit in Reykjavik, and Reagan walked away from the table, the Soviet Union was doomed. The critics may have a point--if we had just waited another fifty or a hundred years, the Soviet Union may well have suffered an economic collapse. At what cost? During that time billions of people would have lived out their lives in fear and virtual slavery, and no one can tell how many would have died in its death throes. No collapsing government has ever gone quietly onto ''the ash heap of history'' of its own volition."

- http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1152635/posts

jkarolyi 02-27-2006 02:53 PM

Yep...what CarNut says.

Let me ask you Pat...is there any part of accepted, academically reviewed American history that you believe, or do you exclusively base your beliefs on revisionists? If you think history books are biased and have an agenda, revisionists are much, much worse.

Keep in mind folks...this is the same guy who says that Hitler wouldn't have bothered the US and would have still been defeated if we had no (or a very weak) military. :D

fastpat 02-27-2006 05:56 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by jkarolyi
Yep...what CarNut says.

Let me ask you Pat...is there any part of accepted, academically reviewed American history that you believe, or do you exclusively base your beliefs on revisionists? If you think history books are biased and have an agenda, revisionists are much, much worse.

Revisionist history doesn't apply to what we've been discussing about Ronald Reagan, but there are important aspects to this question.

I've found that historical revisionists fall into two categories. The first, which Mr. Karolyi seems to mention are those who restate history to show a specific agenda. Socialist historians are a near perfect example of this type. They recast well known historical events in the light of social justice or emphasize certain facts and downplay others to change the view of what actually happened during an event or period. Revisionists of this type can write a history of an event either just after it has occured, most histories of the War of Northern Aggression were of this type written by the victor; other times these historians retell stories decades later.

The second type of historical revisionist is one that has done research and either discovered unpublished information, taken another look at facts or data and done modern statistical analysis on it, or put together facts in a new way to tell a more accurate history than has been told in the past. Tom DiLorenzo's work on Abraham Lincoln is such a book.

It's my opinion that the first group are not a good thing and should be ignored; and that the second group are highly valuable and we need many more of them.

Quote:

Keep in mind folks...this is the same guy who says that Hitler wouldn't have bothered the US and would have still been defeated if we had no (or a very weak) military. :D
Looks like we have one of the first types of revisionism in the above statement, that's not what I said, precisely.

In order to make a substantive statement on what the German's could or could not have done to America in 1942 and later one needs to know the logistics of the time, and know them extremely well.

The Germans, already engaged on what was effectively three fronts; the eastern, the western, and the southern; was in no position to attack and invade America; in point of fact the Germans could not have mounted a successful invasion of Great Britain itself at any time with the known resources at their disposal.

Here's a list of three critical war production items, by year.

1939 Production of Aircraft
Britain......7,940
USSR......10,382
Germany...8,295
German deficit 10,027

1940 Production of Aircraft
Britain.....15,049
USSR.......10,565
Germany..10,247
German deficit 15,367

1941 Production of Aircraft
Britain.......20,094
USSR.........15,735
Germany....11,776
German deficit 24,053

You can see that this is an issue, but there's more.

1939 Production of tanks
Britain.........969
USSR.........2950
Germany...1300
German deficit 2619

1940 Production of tanks (Russian T34 in service 9/1940)
Britain.........1399
USSR..........2794
Germany.....2200
German deficit 1993

1941 Production of tanks (Germany invades Russia 6/1941)
Britain..........4841
USSR............6590
Germany......5200
German deficit 6231

And one more logistical fact chart:
1939 Production of Artillery pieces
Britain..........1400
USSR..........17348
Germany.......2000
German deficit 16748

1940 Production of Artillery pieces
Britain..........1399
USSR..........15300
Germany......5000
German deficit 11,699

1941 Production of Artillery pieces
Britain...........5300
USSR...........42300
Germany.......7000
German deficit 40,600

Facts from Why the Allies Won by Richard Overy, 1995.

These important war material produciton numbers aren't revisionist, they simply tell you that logistics are what stopped the German conquest of the USSR, and readied Stalin to invade Poland, then Germany itself long before D-Day.

When the German army invaded the USSR they had 3,350 tanks and 650,000 horses to oppose the USSR's 15,000 tanks. the German's were Generaled better, but the USSR had the ultimate weapon, Winter. The Germans did not have a strategic bombardment aircraft at all, Britain had many.

I state categorically that Germany would have been defeated without the involvement of the US government in any way, by Britain and the USSR.

yellowline 02-27-2006 06:33 PM

In case you forgot the sequence of events, we declared war on Japan after they attacked us. We didn't head-on declare war with Germany. Under the Tripartite Act, they voluntarily declared war on us. They were not obliged to declare on us simply because Japan did. What were we gonna do, duck and run? If anything, Germany forced us into the European theater, otherwise I think it would've been a tough sell to the American people to fight in Europe.

The Japanese attacked us first. And if you maintain that we shouldn't have been in Hawaii, why not examine their island-hopping game? How long before they may have looked into attacking LA or the West Coast? Or should we have let the West go to them, because it was wrong to have waged hegemony on the indiginous peoples of the West? It goes on and on and on, Pat. When to stop?

The prevailing quote of the generation was "The only way for evil to succeed is for good men to do nothing." That attitude, and nothing else, drew the world into war. The Germans were deluded into thinking they were good, and the Allies used propaganda too.

bigchillcar 02-27-2006 09:49 PM

i agree that a full-scale invasion of the united states by any of the axis trio is far-fetched. our country is much too large and far away. the manpower and materials needed simply were not even close to being in supply. i think it's more than arguable, however, that u.s. involvement in the european theatre hastened germany's demise. britain was a similar strategic problem, being surrounded by water, much like america. france was easily invaded and occupied, once countries like poland, etc on its eastern side were crushed..france was the unlucky casualty of being geographically reachable. but america played an enormous role in stopping italy in its tracks and pushing germany out of france, especially after normandy. i think all students of history with any sense at all agree that hitler guaranteed germany's ultimate defeat through bull-headed advancement into russia and its mammoth winter. had he focused his resources on the conquest of britain, instead of invading russia, would he have eventually succeeded in bringing them to surrender? i think this is arguable either way..maybe, maybe not. we'll never know..at one time it certainly looked like it just might happen..
ryan

Tervuren 02-28-2006 06:17 AM

Fast Pat, if the US had stayed truely neutral, those deficits might not be as strong. FDR was gunning for war, and was shipping supplies like crazy to anti-axis countries. Without that support, I doubt the allies could of done as well as they did.

chuckw951 02-28-2006 06:22 AM

I credit Lech Walesa.

fastpat 02-28-2006 07:45 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by chuckw951
I credit Lech Walesa.
He certainly helped a great deal in delivering the final blows, as did Vaslav Havel. Havel did the thing that all governments fear the most, he made people laugh at government.

Rick Lee 02-28-2006 08:05 AM

I think Pope John Paul II comes in second after Lech Walesa.

Mikhail Gorbachev belongs in this list too. Remeber, the first hole in the fence was when Hungary opened their border to Austria in May 1989. I was in East Germany in July 1989 and by then East Germans needed visas to visit Hungary. I went from E. Germany to Austria, where we drove into Hungary and you could see the Trabants on the side of the road with East Germans wandering in the fields, crossing into Austria. This was only possible because Gorbachev made it clear he would not use military force to stop Hungary from opening their border. The USSR did not collapse for another two or so years, well after all their East European "satellite" states had new governments.


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