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jyl jyl is online now
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I hate biotech

check chart of NBIX to see why.

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Old 05-16-2006, 07:30 PM
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Old 05-16-2006, 07:40 PM
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ooooouuuuuuuuuuchhhhhhh.....that's why I stick to mutual funds now. learned my lesson after dumping a butt load into a tech stock on sept 8, 2001.
what happened? did the FDA reject something?
hope you didn't take too much of a beating
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Old 05-16-2006, 08:47 PM
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Yuck, what a drag.
Im still deep in NUVO and ALKS, heres hoping I don't have your luck.
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Old 05-16-2006, 09:23 PM
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FDA rejected the long-acting dose of their insomnia drug. The short-acting dose was approved.

Big shock. Investors thought drug would either be approved outright, or approvable (will approve after resolve some final issues). No one imagined FDA would answer NON-approvable. Clinical data showed efficacy and no safety issues.

Company said FDA letter indicated agency did not have enough time to review all data. This is hard to reconcile with a NON-approvable, but also makes no sense for management to misrepresent a letter that will be promptly examined by securities lawyers. So something weird has happened.

Under an optimistic scenario, they satisfy FDA concerns and get approval in several months or a year. By then more insomnia drugs are on the market and PFE (who will market the drug) may be less committed to it. Under a pessimistic scenario, the long-acting dose is dead, PFE won't market the drug, and hard to see the company's future.

Closed at $54 the day before. After the news was announced, the stock started trading pre-open at $30. Fell as people digested the news, was $25 by the time the market opened. Ended the day at $20. During the day, volume was roughly equal to the entire share count.

Remarkable. But not that remarkable for biotech, unfortunately.

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Old 05-17-2006, 04:24 AM
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