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Racerbvd 11-24-2007 02:06 PM

How Long Do We Have?
 
How Long Do We Have?
About the time our original thirteen states adopted their new constitution in 1787, Alexander Tyler, a Scottish history professor at the University of Edinburgh , had this to say about the fall of the Athenian Republic some 2,000 years earlier:



'A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government.'


'A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury.'


'From that moment on, the majority always vote for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy, which is always followed by a dictatorship.'

'The average age of the world's greatest civilizations from the beginning of history, has been about 200 years'

'During those 200 years, those nations always progressed through the following sequence:


1. from bondage to spiritual faith;

2. from spiritual faith to great courage;

3. from courage to liberty;

4. from liberty to abundance;

5. from abundance to complacency;

6. from complacency to apathy;

7. from apathy to dependence;

8. from dependence back into bondage'



Professor Joseph Olson of Hamline University School of Law, St. Paul , Minnesota , points out some interesting facts concerning the 2000 Presidential election:

Number of States won by:

Gore: 19

Bush: 29



Square miles of land won by:

Gore: 580,000

Bush: 2,427,000



Population of counties won by:

Gore: 127 million

Bush: 143 million



Murder rate per 100,000 residents in counties won by:

Gore: 13.2

Bush: 2.1



Professor Olson adds: 'In aggregate, the map of the territory Bush won was mostly the land owned by the taxpaying citizens of this great country. Gore's territory mostly encompassed those citizens living in government-owned tenements and living off various forms of government welfare...' Olson believes the United States is now somewhere between the 'complacency and apathy' phase of Professor Tyler's definition of democracy, with some forty percent of the nation's population already having reached the 'governmental dependency' phase.



If Congress grants amnesty and citizenship to twenty million criminal invaders called illegals and they vote, then we can say goodbye to the USA in fewer than five years.



If you are in favor of losing the USA as we know it today, then by all means, delete this message. If you are not, then pass this along to help everyone realize just how much is at stake, knowing that apathy is the greatest danger to our freedom.

nostatic 11-24-2007 02:14 PM

Professor Olsen's analysis ranks up there with some of the most moronic things I've seen. And I've seen a lot...the "square miles won by" is especially sassy.

If you want to look at the decline of democracy, look at the track record of the government under Clinton and then Bush2.

livi 11-24-2007 02:31 PM

In short, I suppose most people dislike criminal invaders..

tabs 11-24-2007 02:37 PM

I love the new & improved Nostatus...LOL

HardDrive 11-24-2007 03:30 PM

Everyone Panic.

Racerbvd 11-24-2007 03:44 PM

Quote:

Everyone Panic.
If the hilderbeast or the socialist obamma win, you better, as jobs will leave this country instead of be taxed out of business. I have talked to a few friend and they will move their money & business to avoid having the seized by socialisthttp://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1195951448.jpg

HardDrive 11-24-2007 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racerbvd (Post 3605502)
I have talked to a few friend and they will move their money & business to avoid having the seized by socialist

I knew there was an upside to this.

RoninLB 11-24-2007 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Racerbvd (Post 3605349)
[B]


'A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury.'


'From that moment on, the majority always vote for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy, ..... [/I]


this is what throws me.. W Europe is leaning to greater capitalism because their socialist policies don't create enough jobs, leads to a lower standard of living and drives young job seekers overseas.

It's no secret that this is happening in WE.

Moses 11-24-2007 04:09 PM

The first candidate who clearly states that the invasion of Iraq was a mistake will have me listening. I don't care what party they represent.

Shaun @ Tru6 11-24-2007 05:00 PM

I think we Snopes'd this back in 2005.

http://www.snopes.com/politics/quotes/tyler.asp

Shaun @ Tru6 11-24-2007 05:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Moses (Post 3605529)
The first candidate who clearly states that the invasion of Iraq was a mistake will have me listening. I don't care what party they represent.

you'll never vote for Obama or Paul.

Chuck Moreland 11-24-2007 05:31 PM

For the history buffs (not me), what has been the cause of the fall of all the great empires? What are the common themes?

JCF 11-24-2007 05:48 PM

Gee, he left out the number of PEOPLE who voted for B vs. G
That would be ;

Gore - 50,999,897 (48.38%)
Bush - 50,456,002 (47.87%)

Maybe we should just let the land vote.

Excuse us but we are trying to have a democracy here.
You and "your friends" can always relocate to Putins Russia if you don't like it - Hell I'll pay your way if you promise to never return.

Dottore 11-24-2007 06:03 PM

Looney Tunes

nostatic 11-24-2007 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chuck Moreland (Post 3605624)
For the history buffs (not me), what has been the cause of the fall of all the great empires? What are the common themes?

hubris

dd74 11-24-2007 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chuck Moreland (Post 3605624)
For the history buffs (not me), what has been the cause of the fall of all the great empires? What are the common themes?

Greed, expansion. To that extent, again the question: "How long do we have?"

RoninLB 11-24-2007 08:25 PM

Economics and war create and destroy civilizations.

CRH911S 11-24-2007 11:30 PM

I thought Gawd created America?
Seriously though, I think religion is going to be our downfall if anything.

Shaun @ Tru6 11-25-2007 04:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chuck Moreland (Post 3605624)
For the history buffs (not me), what has been the cause of the fall of all the great empires? What are the common themes?

Transfer of information, sophistication and realization from the Home Office to the colonies.

Rick Lee 11-25-2007 05:38 AM

How much empirical evidence is there really on democracies lasting around 200 years? How many democracies were there before the U.S.? England was a constitutional monarchy with a parliament. But I don't think I'd call it close to a democracy. What was before that? Ancient Athens? While I agree, it looks like our voters want and more and more from the public trough and that is very bad news for us, I don't know how it fits into some model of democracies lasting 200 yrs. and being an impossible form of government for the long term.

Moses 11-25-2007 06:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shaun 84 Targa (Post 3605582)
you'll never vote for Obama or Paul.

Or Hilary or Thompson.

I was kind of hoping Bloomberg would enter the race.

Rick Lee 11-25-2007 07:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Moses (Post 3606216)
Or Hilary or Thompson.

I was kind of hoping Bloomberg would enter the race.


Yeah, then we can have a nationwide ban on transfats and all guns.

Shaun @ Tru6 11-25-2007 07:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Moses (Post 3606216)
Or Hilary or Thompson.

I was kind of hoping Bloomberg would enter the race.

Bloomberg is a little too liberal for my tastes.

Usmellgass2? 11-25-2007 07:18 AM

I think BV has presented a very good point. This information helps to shed light on why people of certain demographics vote a certain way. In a nut shell there are 2 large groups demonstrated here. One that feels the government should provide them a comfortable living and one that wants the government off their backs so they can provide for them selves.

There is of course other issues but I think this is the overwhelming underlying one that compels our politics.

I have always thought BV was a narcissistic rich kid ( not that that is bad, I envy that) but I think he is spot on this time.

btw we do not live in a democracy, we live in a republic.

nota 11-25-2007 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chuck Moreland (Post 3605624)
For the history buffs (not me), what has been the cause of the fall of all the great empires? What are the common themes?

invasion mostly for the mid-eastern ones up to alex the G
then splits and rot was a main cause

rome fell to the christians who caused the DARK AGE in the west

western euro's got quite a few by hi-teck [gun] threw out the world
then lost them as the teck tranfered or the will to bear the costs became less

I do not see the USA as an empire, but do see the age of empires as over
modern trend is to split as the english and USSR did and form unions like the euro common market

nota 11-25-2007 08:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Usmellgass2? (Post 3606286)
I think BV has presented a very good point. This information helps to shed light on why people of certain demographics vote a certain way. In a nut shell there are 2 large groups demonstrated here. One that feels the government should provide them a comfortable living and one that wants the government off their backs so they can provide for them selves.

There is of course other issues but I think this is the overwhelming underlying one that compels our politics.

but I see the nanny state as a GOP ideal
as the ban on sex and drugs is supported by the rightwing christians
and that is hardly getting the government off the peoples backs
I do support the idea of less goverment esp in the nanny state form

Chuck Moreland 11-25-2007 09:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by nota (Post 3606380)
but I see the nanny state as a GOP ideal
as the ban on sex and drugs is supported by the rightwing christians
and that is hardly getting the government off the peoples backs
I do support the idea of less goverment esp in the nanny state form

Those are social policies. I think Smellgas's point was about fiscal policy.

Usmellgass2? 11-25-2007 09:33 AM

Nota,
I think you are correct, there are groups such as the Christan right that want too much authority over individual choice and liberty. I feel the popular concept of extreme political correctness, overwhelmingly supported by the left, and the hordes of professional victims that have been spawned are just as bad. Nether should have a place in our government. I would be very happy if I never heard from Pat Robertson or Al Sharpton again (fat chance).
I will point out though, Sharpton and his cronies feel much more entitled to the earnings of the productive people in our society. The left openly acknowledges that the more people they can get on social programs the deeper their vote pool will be.
These are splinter issues, I feel BV's original statement is very true of the big picture.

nostatic 11-25-2007 09:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Usmellgass2? (Post 3606286)
I think BV has presented a very good point. This information helps to shed light on why people of certain demographics vote a certain way. In a nut shell there are 2 large groups demonstrated here. One that feels the government should provide them a comfortable living and one that wants the government off their backs so they can provide for them selves.

wow. nice analysis of the data (some of which is completely false btw...did you read the snopes link?). Can you look at tea leaves and see a picture of a pony as well?

Usmellgass2? 11-25-2007 09:48 AM

Nostatic, try to grow up enough to discuss issues like an adult. Leave the smack talk to the punks on MTV

btw I missed the snoops link. I have seen very reliable mapping of the election by county and clearly supports the same concepts.

nostatic 11-25-2007 09:52 AM

you take a fabricated set of rather ambiguous data, and reach an asinine conclusion. What's to talk about?

Please tell me how the data equates to the righteous right being taxpaying citizens and the left being tenement-living leaches. Really. 'splain to me because I don't see how number of square miles won fits into it. Unless of course you already have your conclusion and you're grabbing at any dumbass number you can to fit with a racist, xenophic agenda.

Oh wait, was that too MTV?

Usmellgass2? 11-25-2007 10:00 AM

Ya it really is a little too much MTV. Its demographics plane and simple. Im really not surprised you are waiving that race card already. Definition of a pro victim.

nostatic 11-25-2007 10:02 AM

i'm simply taking the original "data" and "analysis" to task. Period. If you think that is reasonable work then more power to you. I think it is simply an agenda propped up by garbage. And the snopes research proves that.

If you want to argue that the welfare state is going to be the end of the country, that is another discussion. But you instead were congratulating the OP on the great data and conclusions.

Usmellgass2? 11-25-2007 10:17 AM

I am not going to spend much time nit picking the "data" I believe the OP supports very sound concepts. My opinion is formed by many years of data and experience that I am obviously comfortable with.

Thank you for dispensing with comments about tea leaves ect. That educates no one.


I do feel we are being seriously hurt by the trend to move towards a welfare state, and sooner or later it well lend to the collapse of our economy. When everybody wants a free ride there is no one left to pull the cart.

Usmellgass2? 11-25-2007 10:29 AM

I just skimmed the snoops page as you suggested. The OP and the snoops opinion does not seem too far apart. the numbers and references does not match perfectly. I am not surprised. But I feel it tends to support to concept of the OT more than discredit.

nostatic 11-25-2007 10:31 AM

years of data and experience in what capacity? In social science research? Cultural anthropology? Economics and/or political science?

Concepts without "data" are empty opinions. You can support them, but do so blindly. Again, I think that accepting tripe arguments as originally put forth do more to damage this country than the welfare state. A lack of critical thinking and analysis skills are part of the problem with this once-great land and economy.

If you have other data and analysis to support the conclusion that "40% of the population is in the governmental dependency phase" I'd be happy to see it. And especially how one can draw that number from election data.

nostatic 11-25-2007 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Usmellgass2? (Post 3606609)
I just skimmed the snoops page as you suggested. The OP and the snoops opinion does not seem too far apart. the numbers and references does not match perfectly. I am not surprised. But I feel it tends to support to concept of the OT more than discredit.

So you believe that 4 pieces of data (one of which is fabricated) is sufficient to lead to the conclusion drawn?

Usmellgass2? 11-25-2007 11:42 AM

My opinions are far from formed from anything blind or empty. My education is in Mechanical engineering, My wife recently studied cultural anthropology (not her major). We found it fascinating. My opinions come from 50 years of political awareness. If you choose to dismiss my opinions as un enlightened you are wrong. If you do not agree with them that is fine and you have my respect.

Moneyguy1 11-25-2007 11:44 AM

One will cherry pick available data that supports preconceived ideas. There is no arguing with a true idealouge.

How long do we have? Depends on how long before the rift in our society gets to a point where there will, by necessity, be another Civil War.

nota 11-25-2007 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Chuck Moreland (Post 3606478)
Those are social policies. I think Smellgas's point was about fiscal policy.

well welfare is a social policy
and inforcement and prisons cost money too
so in fact there are very few real pure social policies
all have costs

the other biggie is the cost of CORP WELFARE
as most list that as being far bigger then the small payments to people
esp if the CORP farm programs and tax credits are inc in the totals

I personaly would favor a smaller federal goverment
less inclined to be a nanny state except to limit CORPs
but with a balanced budget paid for by taxing the rich
as the original income tax laws was ment to do
and leave the welfare programs to the states


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