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SLO-BOB 01-26-2008 08:00 PM

Pic the Prez - whose it gonna be?
 
I'm guessing Obama. Note that I said "guessing" not choosing. I think He'll get the Democratic nomination. The Dems know that they'll lose for sure if Hillary gets the nod. That and she just isn't likeable. I think Romney (again - not my choice) will get the Republican nomination. When those two face off Romney's amalgam of slimy insincerity will turn off some would be Republican voters while Obama's more sincere (in appearance at least) presence will rally Democratic voters unlike the previous stiffs who ran uninspired campaigns.

I thought this before he dominated South Carolina btw.

kstar 01-26-2008 08:09 PM

I don't agree with much of Obama's platform, as I typically vote conservative, but his speech tonight was inspiring and uplifting. Hillary's speech after was flat, dull and hopeless, IMO.

The contrast of the two speeches may have created a turning point in the campaign for the Dem. nominee and perhaps the president.

FWIW.

Best,

Kurt

BeyGon 01-26-2008 08:12 PM

I still think it will be the machine, the Clinton Machine for the Dems
Romney for the Republican side.

SLO-BOB 01-26-2008 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kstarnes (Post 3730171)
I don't agree with much of Obama's platform, as I typically vote conservative,

Remember - not who do you want, but guess who it will be. You don't even need to give a good reason. I'm looking for gut feelings, guesses, or thoughtful consideration, but a definite answer as well. For posterity. :)

kstar 01-26-2008 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SLO-BOB (Post 3730175)
Remember - not who do you want, but guess who it will be. You don't even need to give a good reason. I'm looking for gut feelings, guesses, or thoughtful consideration, but a definite answer as well. For posterity. :)

That's what I gave you, Bob! :D

I think Obama has a great chance and is the most inspired candidate - this coming from a conservative voter (registered Ind.).

Do you want one of my kidneys as well? :)

Best,

Kurt

Sonic dB 01-26-2008 08:18 PM

It is a little scary that Hillary has the lead...if she wins the Dem nomination then
the Replicans surely will win the election, McCain whomever gets that nom.
Personally Id like to see a more closely contested Pres. election, therefore hopefully Hillary loses.

SLO-BOB 01-26-2008 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kstarnes (Post 3730182)
That's what I gave you, Bob! :D

Just like a Democrat! Gives a "maybe" and calls it an answer.

:D

I posted a poll to make this more definite.

WI wide body 01-26-2008 08:29 PM

I think that most Dems are beginning to realize that Hillary might be the only Democratic candidate that could lose. Hubby, while being a great asset also brings baggage. Obama has some momentum (even tho SC is not that important) and unless he does something incredibly stupid he appears to have the upper hand right now. His lack of a record is probably an advantage during a time when our nation's leadership and direction apears to be so screwed up.

The GOP is in a similar quagmire. McCain is probably the most likely to have a chance of actually winning the election except that he is viewed as a watered down version of Bush. And that equals loser. Romney has the bucks and in a normal presidential election would far and away be the GOP insider favorite because of business background. And like Obama he benefits by not being a Washington insider and being able to distance himself from President Bush. It would be interesting to see just how far he might take that tack if he gets the GOP bid. One of his biggest flaws might be the perception that he not only resembles John Kerry but that he acts like him.

RoninLB 01-26-2008 08:31 PM

My way back in time fav was Rudy to beat the clinton machine. That seems unlikely presently.

That said my bet's on the clinton machine. Somehow bill will pull it off.

He's the best.

livi 01-27-2008 03:11 AM

Hoping Obama, suspecting Clinton.

imcarthur 01-27-2008 03:42 AM

Obama will get one term as prez & then the voters will swing Repub again but with a milder choice than the current admin.

Just my interested outsider point of view, so no hate or venom, please.

Ian

John_AZ 01-27-2008 04:21 AM

[QUOTE=WI wide body;3730207] Obama has some momentum (even tho SC is not that important)

I dissagree, it was very important. Ex President Bill Clinton was "The first Black President". He called every SC Black minister to support Hillary. Result-Obama win with 55%, Hillary 27%.

John_AZ

turbo6bar 01-27-2008 04:46 AM

Wherez ron paul? :D

Tobra 01-27-2008 05:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by imcarthur (Post 3730377)
Obama will get one term as prez & then the voters will swing Repub again but with a milder choice than the current admin.

Just my interested outsider point of view, so no hate or venom, please.

Ian


not bad prognostication, will elect a democrat, they will turn out to be a disaster in every conceivable way(both in office, and even worse after serving), then we will elect a Republican in a landslide and have them for another dozen years.

That is what we got in the mid 1970's and into the 80's

SLO-BOB 01-27-2008 05:40 AM

Wow! I'm shocked! I thought you would all think I was nuts thinking Obama will win.

FYI - I didn't include Paul because I don't want someone who doesn't have a prayer taking votes from someone else. Brrrrrr. I just got a glimpse of the future. ;)

BeyGon 01-27-2008 05:46 AM

I don't think Obama can win, I don't think Hispanics as a whole will vote for him, I think about 11% of the US is black, maybe 70% of them are Democrats but maybe only 30% of them vote. Maybe more this year ? They are congregated in certain areas, many states don't have a large black population, so I just don't think you will be able to count the black vote as that big of a voting block. It will be offset by in some cases, the whole rest of the state. SC is different, not at all the norm.
Hillary will win the Democrat bid, ALL Democrats will vote for her. The Blacks will lose interest because Obama isn't there. Or, if we are lucky vote against the #$%%^&. The country is more or less 50/50 so only swing voters that really hate the #$%$$ make the difference.
These numbers are just my guess, I am too lazy to look them up.

hytem 01-27-2008 06:11 AM

I don't know. It's a mystery.

Looks like the media is setting up Obama-McCain. But this thing hasn't even started yet. The voters will decide, not MSNBC.

The Obama win in SC is being way overplayed by the media. He won because of the black vote. period. He will have to win the white vote in the big states to be considered seriously. Blacks are only about 13% of the population.

The guy who could win is Gore. But he is so politically inept, he can't even see it.

svandamme 01-27-2008 06:25 AM

if Billary get's the dem ticket, the dem's loose and a repub win's

personally i like what i've seen from Obama, but i fear that he has no chance if winning the prezzy race, just because he's black and the USA probably isn't ready for that just yet... (although i give him more chance of winning then Billary)


don't know much about the republican's, but maybe mcCain ? at least he has been in a war, which gives him at least some credibility in managing one...unlike the current batch of chickenhawks...

BeyGon 01-27-2008 06:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hytem (Post 3730521)
I don't know. It's a mystery.

Looks like the media is setting up Obama-McCain. But this thing hasn't even started yet. The voters will decide, not MSNBC.

The Obama win in SC is being way overplayed by the media. He won because of the black vote. period. He will have to win the white vote in the big states to be considered seriously. Blacks are only about 13% of the population.

The guy who could win is Gore. But he is so politically inept, he can't even see it.


Algor? Hillary has bigger balls than him and sleeps with better looking, smarter women. Not that it matters.

Have you watched or listened to Algor? He is as interesting as wall paper paste. Hillary would kick him around just like she used to, he wouldn't know what hit him after the machine rolled over, they have to be somewhat pleasant to Obama, not Algor, no race problem there.

Shaun @ Tru6 01-27-2008 06:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tobra (Post 3730431)
not bad prognostication, will elect a democrat, they will turn out to be a disaster in every conceivable way(both in office, and even worse after serving), then we will elect a Republican in a landslide and have them for another dozen years.

That is what we got in the mid 1970's and into the 80's

mid last year I was supporting Romney and Rudy. Both men have been extremely successful in their careers and I thought they could make a difference as President: Romney for business skills; Rudy for his Iron Fist.

Both have disappointed me almost as much as McCain.

I also liked Huckabee almost solely due to his preventative approach to problem solving. But he doesn't believe in Evolution, and may not even believe in photosynthesis, so he's out.

And then there's Ron Paul who probably has the best ideas of all the candidates. But he's borderline insane.

the rest of them, forget it.

I just gave a small donation to Obama. Doesn't mean I'll vote for him, but I thought he earned it. He's running a great campaign. But he has little real experience and I don't think he can get Oprah to beat up on Corp. Lobbyists that are really running this country. he needs a little more time.

I have to agree with your assessment, but mostly because of the mess that any President will inherit. Who would have thought 3 years ago this country would be at an all-time low? It is indisputable that Republicans have driven our country into the ground. I can't even imagine the job of getting it back on top, but it's got to include:

1. A national high-speed data infrastructure necessary to keep our businesses competitive in a global market and all of our citizens, from the the inner city poor to the suburban middle class connected, informed, and educated at rates 60 times our current infrastructure. JOBS.

2 A "Transportation Energy Independence" program on the scale of The New Deal, Tennessee Valley, Man on the Moon such that 5 years we will reduce our dependence on foreign oil for transportation by 35%. JOBS.

3. A topshelf education system in which teachers are held accountable and the very best ones are just breaking 6 figures, every student has a computer that is theirs to keep, every student has books, music class and fully funded after-school programs. THE FUTURE.


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