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Virgin Galactic spaceship crashes
This is shocking news. It was on my list to do one of these flights. VG has kiosks at all the Virgin Galaxy lounges. I've been following it for years. Really, really terrible news for the private space travel industry.
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was in mojave for the first couple test flights. tragic, but i hope this does not stop rutan.
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These are risky endeavors. Tragic as it is, accidents are inevitable. I too hope this doesn't stop Rutan and everyone else trying.
RIP to the deceased, and prayers for the injured. |
Space travel is difficult.
It is sad that what is likely some small mistake has set them back many years. |
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Wonder how many cancellations the guy has gotten?
"Book a trip to the moon and Die" That ought to be an enticing sales promo.... |
These private rockets are a whole new frontier. This will certainly not be the last crash. RIP to the brave guys that died.
In fact, if the private Mars mission ever gets off the ground, I give those guys zero chance of surviving the trip, let alone setting up a working Mars base. |
it's a bad week to be a rocket scientist. :-/
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Ad astra per aspera.
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The brave do first so the rest of us can do later. |
I think "private" space endeavors are much over-hyped. There is not really any technical reason why private space technology should be much cheaper than NASA projects and be as safe. It just is inherent in "private" (for-profit) enterprises that corners are cut. It is called "efficiency". Safety will inevitably be sacrificed on the altar of profitability. Space flight is not like riding in a car that can just stop and wait by the side of the road for help if anything goes wrong. Failure No.1 this week was because the "private" enterprise used 40 year old, discarded, Russian rocket engines because they were cheap. And the Virgin "space" plane probably crashed because it did not use the same safety protocols that NASA uses.
Private space flights proved to be extremely risky enterprises! |
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Dennis |
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I mean this is hardly space travel. ...the mother ship (a jet) takes you to 50,000ft, drops, and the rocket pushes you up another 20k ft. For perspective, the google exec guy went about twice as high in a balloon ... and then jumped out. |
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62 miles is about 325,000 ft, or about 200,000 ft. more than the skydivers. I believe the 100 km limit is partly based on it being higher than a balloon or airplane can fly- calculated with some sort of maximum feasible coefficient of lift for a wing along with other performance parameters, basically the plane would need to fly so fast that it would be in orbit (or escape velocity) at that point, not flying. |
Thanks. I had read 71k ft. Maybe that was SS1. (?)
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Found what I had read
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Virgin Galactic spaceship crashes
Very sad. I feel for those who lost their lives in this. I'm certain the program will recover but it will likely be set back many years...
The notion that a government-run is somehow better or safer is sheer idiocy and has no basis in fact. Government experimentation and development in aerospace has a mighty high body count and some spectacular failures too. Ever hear of Apollo 1? How about the Challenger disaster? Columbia? How many rockets blew up on takeoff in the early 1960s? Answer: "a lot". How many test pilots have been killed in the development of aircraft? Again, "a lot". The point is that when anyone - government or private - plays around in the realm of aerospace it is inherently dangerous and there are going to be failures and people are going to die. It's the nature of human beings doing anything involving technology to survive in a realm where we're not naturally adapted to exist in. The same thing happens in extreme climates (mountaineering, sea exploration, etc.) All of the technologies we enjoy and take for granted today are built on the backs of risks taken by others in the past. Many of those who pioneered those technologies died in their development too. Part of the price of human progress. Obviously we try to minimize risk and anticipate problems as technologies are developed but it does happen sometimes. We are hardly infallible. |
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Their airfame design concept has been proven with SpaceShipOne reaching space, so it's a matter of scale (not intending to make a pun about Scaled Composites). Not an insurmountable challenge but not as simple as it sounds I am sure. |
Yeah, scaling up, and you have to scale up the scale up. (not linear)
My cursory take: They are hitting 71kft without payload. They have ways to go, and the fact that they were experimenting with a different rocket fuel is not a good sign. |
How much heavier is SS2 than SS1?
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I don't know.
looking up... Loaded weight: 7,920 lb (3,600 kg) SS2 Loaded weight: 9,740 kg (21,428 lb) per Wikipedia so ~3x considering that they are going from one pilot (SS1) to two + 6 passengers.. that's light. also note that the A-12 (SR71) had a service ceiling of 95,000 ft. (Absolute ceiling I would expect to be a good deal higher) ...they were punching around at Mach 3.5, and at that altitude, in the 60's - the 60's! ... and doing that speed/alt w/o rocket propulsion. -- I would rather have a ride in one of those old-school Ti air-breather jets than in these CF "space" ships. --ymmv |
Some pretty harsh comments. They were [I]testing[I] this ship, and from what I know that is a graduated program, they don't take it to max altitude the first few rounds especially when testing new fuels. And testing new fuels is hardly a bad sign considering the success of the first fuel used, obviously they are anticipating increased performance to a degree that warrants the change. These guys are flying to space remember, not even remotely a safe endeavor on the best days. In the developmental stages set backs are inevitable and are experienced in every program of this type. Modern jet fighter aircraft manufacturers suffer hull losses in most every testing program of new platforms many with fatalities. The gulfstream 650 is a clean sheet design private aircraft, just a business jet, and test pilots were killed during the development.
Rattan and virgin have a laudable safety record and very thorough practices, they are hardly amateurs and I think probably know what they are doing at this point. |
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my take: http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1414868442.jpg http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1414868378.jpg |
I also have to say that I'm not so sure about reports of the engine (and new fuel) causing the problem.
This photo is why. http://forums.pelicanparts.com/uploa...1414868800.jpg Appears that the rocket-plane is lost (tumbling) while the engine is intact. |
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The original heroic men.
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Please review the facts: http://www.virgingalactic.com/space-vehicle-facts.pdf Quote:
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Because for some people $200k is like $20 to you or me. It's no big thing. If you have it, why not? |
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That is, what these guys are doing now pales in comparison to what was done some 50 years ago. And yet people keep making claims about the need to perform highly volatile experiments. This is 2014, where massive computational power is at the disposal of any of these guys. And, rocket science has been well formed, well proven, by generations past; who got there, btw, with slide-rules and massive testing. PS. I expect that Boeing will have a reliable hypersonic mesosphere-riding transport before these guys. (If they don't already) |
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What it says to me (pure speculation) is that they quickly found that they don't have enough energy for that craft (SS2) to make spec. ...or over-heats, or costs too much, or... Or maybe, you think they are simply looking for a greener refinement? ...save the planet and all that rot that guys like Branson are for :rolleyes: Because, space(ish) joy-rides for Billionaires ... meh, I really haven't been following this much. The tech simply doesn't much impress me. seems gimmicky. |
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Catastrophic engine failure is much less likely with SRBs. And if had been like the Antares failure, the whole craft would have been destroyed. I'm guessing it was a structural issue. |
Yeah, the hybrid solid rocket engine was the most intriguing thing about SpaceShipOne.
Have you heard any insider analysis of the failure? Seems unusually quiet on that front. In the meantime... Looking at the engines... compared to the X15 1943 began the development of the first rocket motor of the X15 -they used 2 of these reaction motors for one X-15. Reaction Motors XLR11 - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia Replaced in 1960 with one XLR99 This 1960 engine, it appears, puts out 95% thrust of SS2 engine, but can sustain burn time of 150 seconds, vs the needed 60 seconds burn of the SS2 engine. Looking at those rough thrust numbers and the relative sizes of the SS2 vs the X-15 (like a shuttle-cock vs a dart), and seeing the altitude records of the X-15... I dunno... maybe that SS2 is a lot slippery (at Mach >1) than it appears. |
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I will say I do like composites, a lot, but ... maybe not the best idea here. |
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