Quote:
Originally Posted by GothingNC
Does not look good :-(
Florence: the “Harvey of the East Coast”?
The models are increasingly on board with a scenario where the trough of low pressure that was expected to turn the hurricane to the north late this week will be too weak to do so, as a strong ridge of high pressure builds over the Mid-Atlantic. This “blocking ridge” would block Florence’s forward progress. Florence might then stall and wander near or over the coast for as many as six days, becoming the “Harvey of the East Coast”, dumping prodigious amounts of rain. The analogue would be especially strong if Florence slams inland as a major hurricane with a first round of impacts—as did Harvey near Rockport, Texas—and then stalls to produce a multiday flood disaster, as Harvey ended up doing in southeast TX.
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Oh I hope not. Our land here is fairly flat, so the water spread out. With the hills, valleys and mountains, you will end up with lots of deep, concentrated flooding, even if you do not get the 30-60" of rain we did.
I saw what 7-8" did in Baltimore.