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Originally Posted by stealthn
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I would imagine a slow transition following the likes of a half-bell curve.
Let's say we are at about 5% electric vehicles in 2018, and it took us 15 years to get there.
So another 20-25 years to get there, not 8-12?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electric_car_use_by_country
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Country 2017 2015
California 4.8% 3.1%
Europe 1.74% 1.41%
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https://study.com/cimages/multimages/16/Standard_deviation_diagram.svg.png
I suspect trucks, Diesel trucks specifically will be the last holdouts, then they will switch to hydrogen or some hybrid mix.
Maybe Europe can do it, Germany specifically is investing highly in renewable energy for their power grid.
France's nuclear energy plants providing the cheapest electricity in Europe are scheduled to be decommissioned at tremendous costs as they are too old to go on. Electric cars with no electricity, not a good combination.