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Predicting a downturn in a long in rhe tooth expansion is not really a great stroke of wisdom. Not having it happen 2 years after the election is not really too accurate.
My prediction was end of this year or early next. Probably won't be correct.
One of my oddball indicators is industrial electricity usage from EIA. Peaks in Aug and lower in Feb.
Data is always a couple of months behind (May was just issued last week). It has been slowing.
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