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Quote:
Originally Posted by wdfifteen View Post
Perhaps they believe their infrastructure is ready to handle the victims now. Here in the US graph that Dr Fauci keeps showing appears to make the assumption that we can’t limit the number of people who are going to get sick, we can only delay when they get sick so our facilities have time to ramp up capacity.
We will all get it eventually, the math says at least 80% of us, that's the bottom number.

If we take this years flu numbers, 36M reported cases so far.

That's ~10%+ of the population.

~50% of the population gets vaccinated meaning the real number of infected is 20% of the unvaccinated population.

The 36M number is an estimate based on reported cases.

Flu severity ranges from a mild annoyance to you die from it.

How many people who get the flu see a Dr?

1/1, 1/2, 1/3, 1/4?

1/3 seems reasonable.

That makes the 36M number 108M

~80% of the unvaccinated population on the low side, ~95% on the high side.

There is currently no vaccine for Covid.

We are all getting this.
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Last edited by stomachmonkey; 03-16-2020 at 09:54 PM..
Old 03-16-2020, 09:45 PM
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