[tadd]

The big unknown, aside from how large the time window of infection is, is how long will the body keep immunity. SARS and MERS the body will keep antibodies for 2-3 years. Some in the Corona family are only months.

So it may roll thru, then roll thru again till we reach to herd immunity.

Nobody wants critical people being turned away from care. That said, Italy is there.

Even if 0.001% of the population have a very hard time with the virus, out of 360 million, is still a big number all at once. There just aren't that many ICU beds.

Things are just getting warmed up. Exponential growth is a sneaky thing. Sadly, testing is slow, so the numbers will grow quick. Maryland started with three cases two weeks ago in one county. We are now at 43 confirmed as of last night in 11. Doubling every week gets you to big numbers quick... but with a nice slow, 'yea whatever nothing to see here', start.

As has been said, we will all get this till we reach herd immunity levels. Not if, but when. That is what we can control. Thank you social distancing. I wish this had been the message put out, not the image of not enough ventilators.

My prediction is that April will be really climbing the ramp up, we might peak in late may.