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Sure I'm going to regret this, but
(a) State and local health departments have since forever had the ability to close businesses for public health reasons.
(b) Expect in the future that the level of closure/restriction/lockdown will be tied to the occupancy rate for hospital and more particularly ICU beds.
I have colleagues in South Korea, where this situation is being managed, including
- Designating hospitals as COVID-19 or non-COVID-19 to preserve health delivery for "ordinary" issues.
- On-demand testing.
- You can subscribe for SMS notification whenever someone in your area tests positive, and you can then see an anonymized history of the persons recent travels, so you can see if you were on the same train or in the same restaurant and get tested if so.
- Plenty of toilet paper ins the shops
This will go from "exploding crisis" to "managed problem".
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