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Join Date: May 2017
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pmax View Post
Something's odd about the Cali numbers...

Apr 2 10701 cases out of 35267 test results.
Apr 3 12026 cases out of 113687

Doesn't that mean out of the 78000 new test results only 1300 were positive ?
I saw it when the change happened. I just couldn't post it.

It could be that they were all negative tests that they just didn't report because they were negative.

But, on the other hand, Cali now has a positive rate of 11.5% while the rest of the country is at a 19.4% positive rate. Quite a difference.

Prior to the dump they were at 30% positive which was very high vs the rest of the country.

I have my guess on what they did but ain't gonna say it. Well, on second thought, yes I will.

They were getting their azz beat up over the huge pending number. So they just cleared out the backlog. (Really, not a bad idea. Old data/samples are worthless data/samples) It looks like there were a high number of actual negatives based on the 30% positive rate prior to the dump. It also looks like there were positives that were classified negative in the dump based on the 11.5% after dump percent. Pure conjecture on my part.

We'll see what % the next few reports show up at. Low rate (11%) and my guess goes up in flames. In line with the national 20% avg and my conjecture has legs.
Old 04-05-2020, 09:25 PM
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