|
We will have really solid numbers on this pandemic in a few years, until then we wing it with whatever data we have.
Broad observations:
Italy Spain and NYC had extensive unknown community spread that completely overwhelmed their healthcare systems. By June they may have 500/M dead and a similar number leaving the hospital with severe heart, lung, or kidney damage.
CA and WA isolated very early and contained a lot of community spread. As a result hospitalization and death/M numbers are relatively low and so far it looks unlikely that their healthcare systems will become overwhelmed.
How do we get out of this mess? We need very high testing numbers along with containment and contact tracing so we can identify the haves from the have nots. The closer we get to the Taiwan and S. Korea model, the better our outcomes.
__________________
2021 Cayman GTS 4.0L
2020 Macan (dog hauler)
|