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jamesnmlaw jamesnmlaw is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
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your chance of death if infected

to calc your chances: # of deaths from virus / # of outcome

# of outcome = # of recovered cases + # of deaths from virus

for the US, as of yesterday, 10.65% chance of dying if you get infected

UK, Spain, Sweden, Netherlands aren't reporting # of recovered cases or # of active cases so you can't extrapolate # of outcome and therefore can't extrapolate death % of those infected..... “Who controls the past controls the future. Who controls the present controls the past.” works the same for statistics

as of yesterday, death % is infected: 15.43% Italy; 4.80% Germany; 28.06% France; 11.28% Canada; 36.43% Belgium

perhaps we should ask the Germans what they're doing but we might not like the answer

of course, statistics are only relevant if the data is correct i.e., what is 'recovered' and what is 'a death caused by the virus' so this is all just a steaming pile

risk of contracting? don't know but I'll do whatever I have to do to minimize exposure even if it means avoidance and other preventative measures like not going to a bar or a movie theater and when I do go out for the necessaries I wear an M95 mask and gloves and wipe myself down with sanitizer because it is the best I can do to protect myself even though I wonder if I'm developing Howie Mandel syndrome

I only hope that the virus mutates to something lesser or that the big brains will develop a vaccine or at least develop a more successful treatment regimen but meanwhile I'll do the best that I can do and try not to think about it too much

putting my tinfoil hat on so I can get back to my real job

I am

thinking all the time so that you don't have to

Last edited by jamesnmlaw; 07-02-2020 at 11:50 AM.. Reason: sometimes the alcohol interferes with my syntax
Old 07-02-2020, 11:48 AM
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