Quote:
Originally Posted by Jeff Higgins
Hasn't most (all?) of what the "experts" tell us they "know" proven to be as well?
Let's face it - we are just winging it. We have no idea what's going on. No idea how many have it, no idea how early and how quickly it spread, no idea how to protect ourselves, no idea how much longer this will go on, no idea...
Anyone who claims to "know" otherwise is a self aggrandizing fool. Time has proven all of them wrong.
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That must be why so many countries, from Korea to Taiwan, New Zealand to Italy, China to Australia, have somehow managed to control their virus epidemics, and now the US is one of the disease pariahs along with Brazil, India, Russia and other places without a fraction of our resources.
Within the US, that must be why Washington, Oregon, and others have managed to hold cases down while Texas, Florida, Arizona are seeing it get out of control like it did in New York.
You don’t have to know everything there is to know about something to take effective actions. We know enough about this virus to know how to more or less control it, sure with crude and costly measures that are way suboptimal, but still work. We just don’t always do what it takes.
I find that engineers are particularly prone to analysis paralysis in this sort of situation. I think that they are used to situations that they understand really well, down to decimal places, where the principles and details have been very well figured out, and they have very good insight and tools. So a situation where we are learning as we go along, dealing with conflicting and incomplete data, don’t know many of the fundamentals of how things work, is very frustrating for them.