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Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Nor California & Pac NW
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Quote:
Originally Posted by island911 View Post
TX is in the news for their huge spike.

Their 7 day rolling average recently shot up to 66 deaths per day.

The State of NY is down to 26 deaths per day. (7 day rolling average)

IOW The State of NY is down to what has been typical for the State of Texas.

(note the Y-axis scales)





And why is TX shooting up? They've had mask policy...

Also a heat wave that keeps people inside under AC. (as you have noted)

So many variables...

But in no WAY has Texas "shot up like New York."

Throughout this Texas has held numbers that NY is celebrating getting down to.

If Texas shoots up from their current high of 66 deaths per day to 1000 then you can say that Texas "shot up like New York."
Do you comprehend how time lags work? In your world, do effects always immediately follow causes?

See my other post - when NY first hit 7000 new cases/day, deaths/day were only 100. A month later, the deaths/day were 1300 - because effects take time to manifest. Today, TX is at 7000 new cases/day and you're confident that deaths/day will stay at the current 50?
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Old 07-10-2020, 09:16 AM
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