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island911 island911 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cabmando View Post
So you think only the cases that lead to death are the important stat? How about the numbers hospitalized or that will develop lifelong issues due to the virus?

Like I said, the stat is that 60% of the population have health issues that put them at risk should they become infected. Heart disease, obesity, diabetes, compromised immune systems due to cancer or just having a weakened immune system in general, a long list of issues that put people at risk. So to say that 3.86% result in death really doesn't mean much. It's about the number of people at risk whose life would be threatened by getting this virus. Death alone doesn't tell the whole story. Some people who get this virus will end up with lifelong complications as a result of having it. So to say that "this virus is not a huge threat to the majority of the population." is wrong. If 60% truly have health issues that could make this virus life threatening to them, it's a huge threat to the majority of the population.
n'No. I'm only pointing to the ridiculousness of the 60% number.

The crude 3.86% I put up is laughably draconian for death rate.

Let's look at this another way... Do you believe that exposure to this virus misses the young, and that's why we have so few (%) entering hospitals and/or dying from CV?

I expect that you would see virus exposure as higher with the general population that goes out and about every day, but IDK...

The knowledge that we do have at this point paints a picture much different than some 60% of American exposed get hospitalized.

What is the number for known hospitalizations? Divide that into the known cases.(while ignoring the unknown/untested)

A quick check says 269k hospitalizations. ...3.5E6 cases... so 7.7% of known cases end up in hospital.

IIRC 7.7% is much less that 60%

So this begs the Q; what kind of mental gymnastics does someone do to get 60% ?
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Old 07-16-2020, 01:57 PM
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