Thread: Moderna
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jyl jyl is online now
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Quote:
Originally Posted by red-beard View Post
You cannot compare the life expectancy of a 74 year old to the median age of death of 74 years. One is combining data of a group of all people with trait "X" (dying of Covid). They other is looking at subset of people with Trait "Y" (being 74 years old).

The fact that they share the number 74 is meaningless.
And that’s not what I did.

If you want to know how much longer an average 74 y/o man will live, you go to the actuarial tables, look up 74, male, and get 11.76 yrs.

I used this actuarial table https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/STATS/table4c6.html
“the period life expectancy at a given age is the average remaining number of years expected prior to death for a person at that exact age, born on January 1, using the mortality rates for 2017 over the course of his or her remaining life.”

So, if that average 74 y/o man is killed - by gunshot, accident, Covid, whatever - that is 12 years of life erased.

So combine the Covid deaths by age cohort, with actuarial tables, and you can calculate how many years of life have been lost to Covid.
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Last edited by jyl; 10-15-2020 at 03:57 PM..
Old 10-15-2020, 03:54 PM
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