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canna change law physics
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Houston, Tejas
Posts: 43,429
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jyl
And that’s not what I did.
If you want to know how much longer an average 74 y/o man will live, you go to the actuarial tables, look up 74, male, and get 11.76 yrs.
I used this actuarial table https://www.ssa.gov/OACT/STATS/table4c6.html
“the period life expectancy at a given age is the average remaining number of years expected prior to death for a person at that exact age, born on January 1, using the mortality rates for 2017 over the course of his or her remaining life.”
So, if that average 74 y/o man is killed - by gunshot, accident, Covid, whatever - that is 12 years of life erased.
So combine the Covid deaths by age cohort, with actuarial tables, and you can calculate how many years of life have been lost to Covid.
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You are not getting it. A median age 74 is not equal to a person who is 74. Apples and Oranges. The median 74 is an average of All age groups. So you must use age 0 off the actuarial tables.
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James
The pessimist complains about the wind; the optimist expects it to change; the engineer adjusts the sails.- William Arthur Ward (1921-1994)
Red-beard for President, 2020
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10-16-2020, 04:19 AM
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