[aap1966]

In the hope that "all politics ends at the border" I'm posting this here in the (I suspect forlorn) hope that it doesn't get PARFed.

One of the guys I run with has a wife who in her job sees a lot of military and diplomatic communication. I was talking to him the other day about Australia purchasing Virginia class submarines and made a comment along the lines of 'call me paranoid, but I think there must be a, what, 20% chance that we could go to war over Taiwan'.
He smirked and said "From what (wife) has seen, the (Aussie) military is thinking that there's a 20% chance there won't be a war."

Straight shooting sort of guy, so not a comment I'd dismiss out of hand.

Thoughts?

And please, can we avoid the whole "It'd all be rainbows and unicorns if not for Trump / Biden / Sanders / Elon Musk / whoever" rants...................