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Originally Posted by McLovin View Post
Why would that be the result?
There are many countries, comprising millions and millions of people, that have almost no vaccination (less than 5% of the population), and none of that is happening.
Because in those countries, almost everyone has contracted Covid at least once over the past two years, thus have a degree of acquired immunity, and while acquired immunity appears to fade over time and with new variants, those populations are still overall fairly protected (caveat that a new variant could change things).

Think back to when Covid was first sweeping through those countries and their populations were "naive" to the virus as well as unvaccinated. Look back at news from Brazil and India in their 2020 and 2021 surges - mass graves, overwhelmed hospitals, about 0.6MM "official" deaths in Brazil, 0.5MM in India, both likely grossly undercounted (just like in China, these governments had every reason to lie and under-count - estimates is that India's official numbers are 8X too low).

It wouldn't be that bad in China, because the population has some protection via vaccination, and the healthcare resources are much better. But even if the death rate is one-quarter of the estimated death rate India (so instead of 0.30% of population, say only 0.07%), that would be a million deaths in China.

China has supposedly had only 5,300 Covid deaths - surely a lie, China is even better at undercounting that India, but one that is very important to Xi. Adding a million to that isn't going to make Xi look good. Okay, maybe Xi is immune from looking bad, but his underlings aren't.
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Old 11-23-2022, 09:44 AM
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