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Originally Posted by Daves911L
Browsing the NRCS streamflow forecasts earlier this month. Of course January forecasts are nothing to hang your hat on, as there is still lots of winter yet to come. Currently 107% of median for Powell (the delivery point that counts). That won't make a dent in the problem especially when one considers that the 30 year POR now includes the past 28 years of generally poor runoffs, and that NRCS switched from % of avg to % of median a number of years back.
Was at a water conference last week and lots of discussion on the Colorado. Many presentations by both Reclamation and upper basin managers. Upper basin folks rather pointedly, and correctly, stated they have been making allocations based on inflow percentage almost since the beginning. Then compared that practice to lower basin states that have depended on expected project yield to take essentially a full allocation (and then some!) every year. Seemed to telegraph a coming showdown between the upper basin states that cooperated extensively in the last negotiated drought agreement, and the lower basin states. Reclamation folks for their part made it clear that power generation at the two reservoirs was their only focus. Nothing really unexpected about that, but I'd never heard them say it so directly and unashamedly. Interesting times.
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This looks somewhat analogous to how they spend money in DC. They spend tons of money on worthless crap knowing full well that when important crises pop up like infrastructure collapse or major natural disasters occur nobody’s gonna say, ‘Sorry, there’s no money.’ Instead, they’ll just print more of it debt ceiling be damned.