Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul T
I’m not quite that bearish on it, but it will most definitely have a net detrimental impact on jobs, I would imagine. I think with most professions though, it will come to be used as just another tool, rather than an outright job replacement.
Now, if you want to get real conspiratorial, there are those that think AI was created simply to preserve human intelligence to be used in the aftermath of the next geophysical mass casualty event, which the “elites” know is coming soon, which will destroy ~95% of life on earth. Just to brighten your day, lol….
|
My guess is that certain sectors will see some reductions. If there's a team of 15 people doing a certain job at a certain company today, then tomorrow or 3 or 6 or 10 years from now, there will be 5 or maybe 2 or 3 people doing the same job more efficiently than the team of 15 people doing it today.
And the folks that are great at a particular job today, may not be the best at it when it's heavily using AI in 5-10 years.
Many years ago, I managed a FLAPs (for a year). We had a cashier that I realize now was probably on the spectrum, but functional. When I started, our cash register was an old style cash register. She was constantly making mistakes, often the same mistakes over and over again never learning even when I explained what she was doing wrong. The company changed to a computerized point of sale system. I dreaded this girl using that system. She took to it like she'd written the program herself. She never made a mistake, and usually fixed other peoples' issues.
I work with 2 guys now. Both are network engineers. One is strongly resisting learning anything to do with automation. The other has embraced it and is using agents both at work and at home to create things, and he's very successful at it. He has said "I'm a network guy not a coder, but if you came to my desk, I'm embarrassed to say that I'd probably look like a coder." (I'm not sure why that would be embarrassing). I'm hoping to learn from him.
I've tried coding off and on over the years. I remember Basic when I was a kid and we had a C64. Coding for days out of a magazine or book for nothing useful to happen or for a typo on some line out of 100,000 lines to be causing it to not work. Ugh. And then Fortran 77 in college, double ugh!
I've now done a little bash scripting and sql and a little bit of other stuff. But some of this stuff (when it makes sense and has a practical application that seems useful) is great. I'd love to learn to do this stuff, and I'm going to give it a go. Of course for me, it seems like a smart career move if I want to be able to work until I'm ready to retire.
But yes, there are lots of holes, HUGE HOLES today that are a bit scary that most folks don't think about, aren't aware of, and aren't scared by. I don't intend to share everything with the world and make myself a commodity (more than we already are).