Quote:
Originally posted by jyl
After the Dem convention, Kerry had a brief lead. After the Rep convention, Bush will have a brief lead. Eventually the convention bounce fades. November is still too far away to call this other than a coin flip, IMO.
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I agree with your statement, but keep in mind that Kerry's bounce was minimal compared to what other candidates have received in the past. Going into the Republican Convention (pre-bounce) Bush was on top in most polls. This places GW currently in a very strong position, because he does not need a post-convention bounce.
Kerry's campaign is not dead, but it is pretty weak at the moment. Much of the lack of strength is due to Kerry himself. I hate to sound partisan, but Kerry is just not that strong of a candidate when you get right down to it. The Republican's strategy is spot on...go after Kerry's record. His record is a legitimate and relevant talking point.
All in all, November is a long way away and a lot can happen, so to say Kerry is toast at this time would be premature.