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No I don't mean me and my casino buffet habits I mean the world situation. The danger in the world is if events get out of control and become unmanagable, then anything can happen. Kennedy during the Cuban Missle Crisis didn't let events over take him, he methodically dealt with each issue taking time to think his course of action through...and by keeping a short leash on his military leadership, who was prone to take direct military action. which in deep hindsight would have resulted in WW3.


At present the fires that are burning most brightly are and can spin out of control.

1. Crisis in the media...the Dan Rather fiasco very well could bring the hegemony that the media has enjoyed since the demise of Richard Nixon in 1974 to an end... The media will be put in a sense in it's place..and will operate in a much less arrogant manner.

2. Crisis in Irwreck....The CIA report that the prognosis in Irwreck is bleak....events are likely to stay pretty grim as the best case scenario....the US can't afford to pull out for 4 main reasons:

A. loss of face in the Islamic world..we will have proven Osama right that America is weak

B. Further instability in Irwreck would creat a vacume of powe,r in which the jihadists would take full advantage of.

C. The world can ill afford such large oil reserves to fall into instabilty

D. If Irwreck falls into, out and out chaos then other regimes in the area become at risk

3. Crisis in American Politics... The USA is more polarized than at anyother time since the American Civil War. In paticular the Democrats being out of power are doing everything they can to regain power even to the detriment of the Nation (obvious fragmentation of the poitical process only gives aid to our enemies)

4. Continuing Crisis of Terrorism or deepening of the clash of Civilizations...with the lax and unaccountable nuclear weapon situation in Russia any weapon in the hands of the Jihadist would be used as a first strike weapon. further increasing hostility towards the USA and west further increases world instabilty......the primary damage would be to the world economy and it's financial system

5. Crisis in Nuclear Proliferation...North Korea and Iran are unpredictable actors....further if Iran makes the Bomb how long will it be before other nations in the ME have one as well, and with their track record of instability there is a high likely hood that one will be used.

6. US Deficeit spending ...while necessary for the short term belie deeper fiscal problems in the long term ...the funding of SS and Medicare....such spending in the long term weakens the ability of the US economy to recover from any recessionary period.

7. Disaffection of long term Allies and the UN with regards to the US...while this disaffection has been developing since the end of the Cold War... it has deepened at the very time the US has shown a hint of distress and at a time when a solid front against terrorism should be shown

I think thats enough for now...I gotta check the Mail box to see if my trust fund check came.


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