Thread: 270 to win
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yellow911turbo yellow911turbo is offline
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ok, everyone is asleep and i'm awake now.

cnn has it 254 - 252 bush lead
fox has it 269 - 242 bush lead

i'm not sure which states they don't share, but looks like fox gave OH to bush and NBC is also giving it to bush.

edit: wanted to add some things that i've calculated.

fox hasn't given NM to bush yet, but with my calculations, kerry would have to win every vote of the 1% that's left to take NM.
same goes for IA. kerry would have to take every vote to win.
so it is down to OH. currently bush is up 2,793,592 to kerry's 2,656,295 with 99% reporting. i'm not sure how the absentee ballots and the umm... what are they called? provisional ballots.
fox just said that there are about 170k provisional ballots in OH. almost all of those would have to go to kerry for bush to lose and for kerry to be the next president. i'm sure someone out there has calculated the odds of that happening but i'm pretty sure it's not very good.

i don't want to be the one that calls it, but looks like we're gonna have 4 more years of the same. i can't say that i'm very excited about it, but considering what kerry may have brought, i think i'll take 4 more years of the same.

andrew card, chief of staff, is speaking now. he said that they are looking at bush's win with at least 284 votes. also said that bush is the first to win with more popular votes since 80-something. not sure how official his call for an OH win is, but... he said it.

cheers,
serge

Last edited by yellow911turbo; 11-03-2004 at 02:44 AM..
Old 11-03-2004, 02:27 AM
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